NFL Playoff Predictions & Best Bets 2023

Last Updated: Jan 22, 2023

The 2022-2023 NFL playoffs kick off with Super Wild Card Weekend, splashing six games from Saturday through Monday.

The Game Day’s NFL staff put together their favorite football postseason picks, including sleeper teams, breakout players, AFC and NFC winners, and their favorite pre-Super Bowl NFL futures bet. (We’ll of course have more coverage of Super Bowl 57 as we had into The Big Game.)

Read on for TGD writers’ NFL playoff predictions.

NFL Playoff Predictions: Staff Picks

NFL PlayoffsAFC SleeperNFC SleeperAFC BreakoutNFC BreakoutAFC WinnerNFC WinnerTop Futures Bet
Frank AmmiranteJaguarsCowboysKadarius ToneyK.J. OsbornBillsEaglesEagles: Win NFC (+175)
John ArliaChargersBuccaneersJames CookRachaad WhiteBills49ersBills over 49ers in SB57 (+1200)
Anthony CervinoJaguarsCowboysEvan EngramDaniel JonesBengalsCowboysBengals vs Cowboys in SB57 (+1600)
Garrett ChorpenningJaguarsSeahawksIsaiah McKenzieRay-Ray McCloudBills49ersJAC: Win AFC (+2200)
Kevin DavisChargersCowboysJerick McKinnonKenneth WalkerChiefsEaglesEagles: Win Super Bowl (+550)
Scott EngelChargersCowboysJames CookIsaiah HodginsBengalsEaglesBengals: Win AFC ( +420)
Lance PattonChargersBuccaneersIsiah PachecoBrandon AiyukBengals49ersBucs: Win NFC (+1100)
Pat PickensChargersCowboysJosh PalmerSamson EkubamBills49ersChargers: Win AFC (+1100)
Matt WilliamsChargersCowboysJosh PalmerDalton SchultzBills49ersCowboys: Win NFC (+550)

Before reading more on our NFL postseason picks, take a peek at our top NFL playoff futures odds. Compare our favorite sportsbooks to find the best NFL futures prices.

Best NFL Playoffs Futures Bets

Read our writers’ NFL pick of the day for postseason betting:

Eagles: Win NFC (+175) at Caesars Sportsbook

The Eagles have been the best team in the NFC from start to finish. They have a first-round bye along with home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs.

The 49ers are their biggest threat, but they have Brock Purdy at quarterback. While the rookie has played well, he’s still highly unproven. We’re getting good value on the number-one seed at +175 odds. - Frank Ammirante

Bengals: Win AFC (+420) at Caesars Sportsbook

It is widely assumed that either the Chiefs or Bills will win the AFC title, but the Bengals are the defending conference champs and know how to get the job done. Josh Allen is not quite playing his best and Cincinnati is second in the AFC in turnover differential. - Scott Engel

Eagles: Win Super Bowl 57 (+550) at Caesars Sportsbook

Fly like an eagle and fly to the bank with the Eagles winning the conference. They only need to win two games, and they were the best team in the conference during the regular season. They’re sort of a bargain among Super Bowl odds, too, which I’m happy to grab. (Don’t miss Kevin’s NFL Playoffs Simulation, too, for more on the Eagles’ chances.) - Kevin Davis

Cowboys: Win NFC (+550) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The Cowboys have a balanced attack on offense and playmakers on defense (2nd in sacks, 1st in forced turnovers). It seems that no one is giving Dallas an honest chance, but that is a mistake. - Matt Williams

Bills defeat 49ers in SB57 (+1200) at Caesars Sportsbook

Call it chalky all you want, but I’m convinced that the Bills get their fairytale finish to a tumultuous season at the expense of the 49ers, who enter the NFC playoffs on the best recent form of any team. - John Arlia

Chargers: Win AFC (+1200) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The Chargers have fought injuries and coaching incompetence for much of this year. I would’ve put the Niners here, but I’ll talk about the Bolts: a talented, trendy Super Bowl pick in the preseason that now doesn’t have any expectations. - Pat Pickens

Jaguars: Win AFC (+2200) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Jacksonville is making its first trip to the postseason since 2017, and with a SB-winning coach in Doug Pederson, they have all the leadership they’ll need to potentially pull off a run at the AFC title. - Garrett Chorpenning

Bengals vs Cowboys in SB57 (+2800) at BetMGM Sportsbook

I love the value on the Bengals vs. Cowboys exact teams to reach the Super Bowl NFL Future at BetMGM. 28/1 odds on teams with clear paths to the big game — yes, please. (Find more top Bengals odds.) - Anthony Cervino

AFC Playoff Sleeper Team Prediction

Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers went 5-2 down the stretch, with Justin Herbert completing over 70% of his passes. LA has a team of stud performers capable of shining in the postseason, such as Herbert, Keenan Allen, and Austin Ekeler, along with a defense that is finally healthy headlined by Joey Bosa, Khalil Mack, and Derwin James. This is a SCARY five-seed. - Matt Williams

The Chargers are just as talented as anyone in the AFC, but the recent history of beating themselves in big games weighs heavy on bettors minds. However, the matchup with Jacksonville in the Wild Card is favorable, Justin Herbert has his full battery of playmakers, and the defense is talented enough to make waves. This team can beat anyone if they play to their full potential, especially since they’re finally healthy after dealing with key injuries all season long. - Lance Patton

Jacksonville Jaguars

Nobody thinks the Jaguars are for real, but there is common ground between the 2022 Bengals. A Super Bowl-winning head coach, a second-year quarterback in the midst of a leap, and an underrated defense. The Jags are dangerous. - Anthony Cervino

NFC Playoff Sleeper Team Prediction

Dallas Cowboys

Dallas as the sleeper team in the NFC. They get regularly mocked because of their playoff failures since the mid-90s. But Mike McCarthy has done an underrated job as head coach, and the Cowboys have difference-makers on both sides of the ball. - Scott Engel

AFC Playoff Breakout Player Prediction

Jerick McKinnon, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

He might be 5’9 and 30 years old, and a backup running back in a pass-heavy offense, but I am convinced that McKinnon will have a two-plus-touchdown game in the playoffs. Over his last six outings, McKinnon has scored at least 1 touchdown over his last six games, and in half of those games, he has had two.

Watch for him to repeat previous playoff heroics with this KC backfield that trusts him to pass-block for their air-first offense. - Kevin Davis

Kadarius Toney, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

Toney is the Chiefs’ secret weapon who could be unleashed in the postseason. He’s an explosive and elusive player who may emerge as their most dangerous wideout.

The former Giant comes into the playoffs following two of his best games as a Chief, combining for 115 total yards and a touchdown. - Frank Ammirante

NFC Playoff Breakout Player Prediction

Rachaad White, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tom Brady loves his pass-catching running backs, especially in the playoffs, so don’t be surprised if the ASU product finishes his rookie season with a flourish. Plus, “Playoff Lenny” should have a relatively short leash. - John Arlia

AFC Conference Champion Pick

Buffalo Bills

The Bills have been elite on both sides of the ball all season long, and following their heartbreaking exit from last year’s playoffs, they’ll be determined to come back stronger and win it all. - Garrett Chorpenning

NFC Conference Champion Pick

San Francisco 49ers

I love the 49ers out of the NFC. The Eagles may have the bye, but San Francisco is tough and loaded with playoff experience. The Niners should also be hungry after blowing the NFC Championship Game a year ago. - Pat Pickens

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

It’s a long shot at (+1100) for a reason, but Tampa’s offensive line has been littered with injuries all season – they’re getting healthy with the return of Tristan Wirfs and potentially Ryan Jensen. The defense is talented and experienced enough to anchor this team, plus betting on Tom Brady in the playoffs has been a profitable endeavor for the last two decades. - Lance Patton


TGD Staff

The Game Day's betting and fantasy sports analysts bring you 20+ years of experience.

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