Monday Night Football features an AFC showdown between the Cleveland Browns and Denver Broncos in Week 13.
The Browns (3-8) are coming off a thrilling victory over the Steelers, while the Broncos (7-5) have won seven of their last 10 games.
On this page, we’ll dive into the Browns vs Broncos matchup, including best bets and predictions for this Week 13 Monday Night Football game.
Updated MNF Odds Comparison
The Broncos are close to touchdown home favorites because they’re in a good spot against a bad Browns team riding high after a win over a division rival.
All NFL odds used for these Monday Night Football predictions are current as of Monday, Dec. 2, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
MNF Implied Scores & Team Totals
Broncos 24, Browns 18
We’ve got a projected low-scoring game because the Broncos have a stout defense. Denver has allowed less than 20 points in five of their last six games.
Take a look at the best Monday Night Football odds for the 2024 NFL season.
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Monday Night Football Prediction
MNF Score Prediction: Broncos 24, Browns 16
The Broncos are rolling right now. Not only have they gone 7-3 in their last 10 games, but rookie quarterback Bo Nix is playing at a high level in recent matchups.
Nix has thrown for 11 touchdowns with only one interception in his last five games.
During this stretch, the rookie ranks 5th in EPA per play, behind only Joe Burrow, Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Matthew Stafford.
In this same sample, the Browns rank 25th in Pass EPA on defense, so we could see another strong performance from Nix.
On the other side, it’s likely that Jameis Winston is going to struggle against a Broncos defense that ranks 1st in Pass EPA.
Monday Night Football Bet Tips
Keep these bet tips and trends in mind before making your Monday Night Football bets.
- The Broncos are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- The Browns are 2-1 against AFC North opponents but 1-7 against everyone else.
- Denver’s defense is 1st in Pass EPA, which is bad news for Jameis Winston.
Monday Night Football Best Bets
MNF Over/Under Pick: Browns @ Broncos Under 42 Points (-112)
This is a bet on Jameis Winston struggling against the top-ranked pass defense in EPA.
As mentioned above, the Broncos have held opponents to less than 20 points in five of their last six games.
That means Denver will have to do most of the work to push this total Over the number.
I’ll bet against that happening, with a 24-17 or 24-16 type of score line in this one.
Expect a lower-scoring game, so take the Under in our best NFL bet today.
MNF Pick Against the Spread: Broncos -6 (-115) vs Broncos
Bo Nix and the Broncos defense are playing at too high of a level to bet against in this spot.
All we need is a six-point win against an abysmal Browns team.
Prior to the Browns’ upset over the Steelers, they had lost by 21 to the Saints and 17 to the Chargers.
I could see that happening once again vs a red-hot Broncos team.
Monday Night Football Prop Bet
MNF Prop Bet: Javonte Williams Under 13.5 Longest Rush (-115)
Javonte Williams has been one of the most inefficient running backs in the NFL this season, averaging only 3.7 yards per carry.
The Broncos’ running back has only one 20+ yard rush this season. In fact, his longest run of the year is 20 yards.
This is more of a plodder than an explosive runner.
Javonte has gone Under 13.5 as his longest rush in five of his last seven games.
Monday Night Football Parlay
MNF SGP (+500):
- Devaughn Vele: Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
- Jerome Ford: Over 12.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
- Jerry Jeudy: Under 59.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
The Week 13 MNF SGP starts off with Devaughn Vele Over 36.5 receiving yards.
Sean Payton compared Vele to Marques Colston leading up to tonight’s game.
Vele has put up 80 and 66 yards in his last two games, so 36.5 is a low bar.
I’ll add Jerome Ford Over 12.5 receiving yards because the Broncos have allowed 502 receiving yards to running backs this season, which ranks 27th in the NFL.
As the primary pass-catcher in the Browns’ backfield in a game where the Browns are likely trailing, we could see more usage for Ford.
I’ll finish it off with Jerry Jeudy Under 59.5 receiving yards.
I’m fading one of the hottest receivers in the NFL because he’s going up against an elite cornerback in Patrick Surtain II.
