Week 17 of the NFL concludes with the final Monday Night game of the regular season.
Still chasing the top seed in the NFC, the Los Angeles Rams (11-4) will visit the Atlanta Falcons (6-9).
Keep reading to see the latest Rams vs Falcons odds and my MNF best bets for Week 17.
Updated MNF Odds Comparison
The Rams are favored by 7.5 points on Monday night, with a moneyline of -470. Meanwhile, Atlanta’s moneyline is +360, and the over/under is set at 49.5 points.
All NFL odds used for these Monday Night Football predictions are current as of Friday, Dec. 26, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
MNF Implied Scores & Team Totals
Rams 28.5, Falcons 21
There is no question that the Rams are the clear favorites on Monday, with MVP frontrunner Matthew Stafford facing a lackluster Atlanta defense.
However, coming off back-to-back wins with Kirk Cousins at quarterback, oddsmakers believe the Falcons will find some success offensively, potentially staying within a touchdown.
Sportsbook Play of the Day
Monday Night Football Predictions
MNF Score Prediction: Rams 34, Falcons 21
While it appears that the Falcons are playing better down the stretch, wins over the struggling Buccaneers and Cardinals aren’t the same as going toe-to-toe with the Rams.
Feeling as if they let a game get away from them last week, the Rams will come out with a point to prove, much like they did in a 45-17 win over the Cardinals that came off a loss.
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To his credit, Kirk Cousins has led the Falcons to a couple of wins, taking advantage of Atlanta’s playmakers. However, things may not come as easily this week against a Los Angeles defense that’s giving up fewer than 20 points per game despite giving up more than 30 points in three of their last four games.
Of course, even if the Rams aren’t stout defensively, the Atlanta defense can’t be trusted against Matthew Stafford and company.
The Rams have scored at least 34 points in seven of their last nine games, and if that trend continues against a lackluster Falcons defense, Cousins and the Atlanta offense will have trouble keeping pace.
Monday Night Football Bet Tips
Keep these Monday Night Football bet tips and trends in mind before making your Rams vs Falcons best bets.
- At 11-4, the Rams have the NFL’s best record against the spread.
- The Rams are 4-1 against the spread as road favorites.
- The Falcons are just 2-4 straight up and 2-4 against the spread at home this season.
Monday Night Football Best Bets
MNF Over/Under Pick: Rams @ Falcons: Over 49.5 Points (-115)
Each of the Rams’ last four games has ended with at least 59 total points, with their previous two games reaching 75 points.
There is nothing about Atlanta’s defense to suggest they can prevent the Rams from scoring 30+ points, which has been a virtual guarantee over the last two months.
Meanwhile, the Falcons are rounding into form offensively, and with the Rams showing some holes defensively lately, this should be another high-scoring affair for Los Angeles.
MNF Pick Against the Spread: Rams -7.5 (-115) vs Falcons
If this game becomes a shootout, the Falcons may have a tough time staying within a touchdown of the Rams for 60 minutes.
At some point, the Los Angeles defense should get some stops or force Kirk Cousins to make mistakes, allowing them to build a more comfortable lead.
The same can’t be said of the Atlanta defense slowing down MVP frontrunner Matthew Stafford once he gets into a rhythm. Ultimately, the Rams will keep scoring, while the Falcons will fade.
Back Los Angeles with your NFL pick of the day.
Monday Night Football Prop Bet
MNF Prop Bet: Kirk Cousins 2+ Passing Touchdowns (+147)
While Cousins isn’t the same quarterback he was in his prime, he has thrown multiple touchdown passes in back-to-back games.
That’s a sign that he’s getting comfortable with the talented group of playmakers around him.
More importantly, the last four quarterbacks to face the Rams have thrown multiple touchdown passes, making it tough to turn down plus odds for Cousins doing the same.
Monday Night Football Parlay
Best MNF Same-Game Parlay (+435)
- Rams: Over 29.5 Points (-125)
- Puka Nacua: 100+ Receiving Yards (-139)
- Bijan Robinson: Over 124.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards (-114)
Even in their losses, the Rams have been hard to slow down over the last two months, making it a safe assumption that they can score at least 30 points against the Falcons.
A big reason for that success has been Puka Nacua, who has 573 receiving yards over his last three games, almost making 100 receiving yards a conservative estimate for Monday night.
Finally, don’t sleep on Bijan Robinson, who has easily surpassed 125 total yards in five of his last six games and should figure prominently in a high-scoring game.
Lock in these three plays for your best Monday Night Football parlay.