While the Jets entered the 2023 season with playoff (and championship) expectations, things haven’t exactly gone to plan, as they now sit at 4-8 amid a five-game losing streak.
On the other hand, the Texans didn’t have many expectations at all and are now well-positioned in the AFC playoff race at 7-5.
Let’s take a look at the NFL Week 14 predictions for this game and see if we can find some value.
Texans vs Jets Odds
NFL odds used for this Houston vs New York City preview were found at DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of Thursday, Dec. 7 at 10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Texans (-205) • Jets (+170)
- Spread: Texans -3.5 (-112) • Jets +3.5 (-108)
- Total Points: Over 33.5 (-110) • Under 33.5 (-110)
- Implied Score: Texans 19.25, Jets 13.75
Texans vs Jets Predictions
Score Pick: Texans 20, Jets 10
This game features a tale of two teams heading in different directions, and unfortunately for Jets fans, the J-E-T-S are the ones heading in the wrong direction. Zach Wilson is about to get his second go as a starter this year, and I’m honestly not sure that’s any better (or worse) than going with Trevor Siemian, Brett Rypien, or any other options they have.
Regardless of who is under center, the offense looks completely inept and has scored 13 points or less in each of their last six games.
The Texans, however, have won four of their last five and have looked like a new franchise under first-year head coach DeMeco Ryans.
While C.J. Stroud has come back to earth a bit lately, the Texans have way too much firepower for the hapless Jets and should be able to chalk up a road win without too much trouble.
Texans vs Jets Best Bets & Props
Texans -3.5 (-112)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 2 units
At the beginning of the season, I never thought I would be saying that the Texans covering 3.5 points on the road against the Jets would be a no-brainer, but here we are. While the Jets defense is really good, the Texans have scored at least 21 points in each of their last five games and should be able to move the ball enough to put up points.
With Wilson starting, the Jets will likely keep him under wraps and lean on Breece Hall – which is going to limit their already-low scoring upside. The Texans may not be able to put up 30 on the tough Jets defense, but I don’t think they need to put up more than 20 to cover here for my NFL bet of the day.
Jets Under 10.5 (+136)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit
Not to beat a dead horse, but the Jets offense is atrocious so we might as well see if we can make some money off their ineptitude. They’re putting up just over 260 total yards per game (“good” for second-worst in the league) and are scoring just 14.3 points per game.
Over the last five weeks, their per-game point total is even worse at nine points per game. No matter who starts at quarterback, the odds are good enough here that there’s a lot of value in taking the Jets to score 10 or less points.
Texans Win by 7-12 (+400)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 units
We’re getting a little specific here, but I like the +400 odds enough to take a bit of a risk with 0.5 units. The Texans will be without Tank Dell again, but Noah Brown is healthy again and Nico Collins is looking like a force to be reckoned with as he comes off a huge Week 13.
The Jets defense is good, but their offense is going to have a tough time keeping up with the Texans and I like this sweet spot with the Texans winning by just over a touchdown.
Texans vs Jets Same Game Parlay
Texans vs Jets SGP (+156)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 2 units
- Jets Under 12.5 (+114)
- Texans (-205)
The Texans moneyline doesn’t give us much value (and the value just got a little worse as I was typing), but we can still get some nice odds if we combine the Texans to win with the Jets scoring under 13 for the fifth time in their last seven games.
With the over/under set at 33, I think it’s safe to say the Jets aren’t going to put up a ton of points this week. As long as we feel good about the Texans winning straight-up (and I do), there’s enough value here to put two units on this parlay.