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Falcons vs Titans Predictions & Best Bets

Last Updated: Oct 26, 2023

Week 8 in the NFL sees Desmond Ridder and the Atlanta Falcons (4-3) taking on Derrick Henry and the Tennessee Titans (2-4) at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee.

This game offers a wide variety of value plays across the board for prospective bettors.

Let’s dive in and examine some odds, predictions, best bets, prop bets, and a same-game parlay for a matchup between two teams looking to gain momentum in their respective conferences.

Falcons vs Titans Odds

NFL odds used for this Atlanta vs Tennessee preview were found at DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of Tuesday, October 24, at 6 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Falcons (-130) • Titans (+110)
  • Spread: Falcons -2 (-110) • Titans +2 (-110)
  • Total Points: Over 37 (-105) • Under 37 (-115)
  • Implied Score: Falcons 19.5, Titans 17.5

Falcons vs Titans Predictions

Score Pick: Titans 19, Falcons 16

The Falcons enter this game as narrow two-point road favorites, which is understandable given their standing atop the NFC South Division and how they own the better record between the two teams.

The total for this matchup sits at 37, signifying oddsmakers and sportsbooks are anticipating a low-scoring game on Sunday afternoon in Nashville.

The first seven weeks of the NFL campaign have seen both Atlanta and Tennessee struggle to generate offense and put points on the board with any regularity. From a statistical perspective, the Falcons rank 29th in football in points scored per game (16.4), while the Titans rank 25th (17.3).

What’s kept both teams’ heads above water has been strong defensive play, specifically in limiting offensive touchdowns. As a team, the Falcons rank ninth in the NFL in opponents’ offensive touchdowns per game (1.7), while the Titans are tied for fourth (1.5), via NFL Team Rankings.

Given both teams’ offensive inefficiencies, combined with their stellar play on defense, this game has all the makings of a scrappy, defensive snoozefest, which should play right into the hands of the Titans.

Look for Tennessee to eke out a win in front of their home crowd.

Falcons vs Titans Best Bets & Props

Titans +2 (-110)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

Our first best bet will target the Titans against the spread (+2).

Fresh off their Week 7 bye, the Titans enter this game well-rested and have posted an impressive 2-0 record at home this season ATS.

Mike Vrabel’s defense has also been terrific this season defending against the rush, ranking seventh in football in opponents’ yards per rush (3.6) and third in team tackles per game (68.8), via NFL Team Rankings.

On the other side of the ball, and despite being 4-3 on the season, the Falcons have been outscored 133-115 (-18 point-differential) in 2023 and continue to be a model of inconsistency and unpredictability on a week-to-week basis.

Will Levis is getting the start.

For that reason, I’m making the Titans ATS my NFL bet of the day.

Under 37 (-115)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

Our second best bet will target the Under on the game total of 37.

This matchup features two top-10 defenses in terms of total yards conceded, with Atlanta ranking fifth in the NFL (1,998) and Tennessee ranking ninth (2,034), per The Football Database.

It’s also important to note that If Tannehill is unable to go, Tennessee should run the ball a ton with the (newly developed) two-man tandem of Henry and the vastly improving Tyjae Spears out of the backfield.

Given the strong possibility of a backup QB suiting up for Tennessee, coupled with both teams’ ability to sustain offense and stay on the field, I have no issue laying a single-unit wager on the Under at a respectable (-115) price point.

Falcons Under 19.5 (-115)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

Our third and final best bet will pinpoint the Under on Atlanta’s team total in points (19.5).

Although the Falcons’ offense includes some big names, including the likes of Bijan Robinson, Kyle Pitts, and Drake London, it’s been mind-boggling how moderate it has been through the first seven weeks of the season.

Despite Ridder’s 250 passing yards and rushing touchdown during last week’s win against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, his performance was overshadowed by the three lost fumbles, all within the red-zone.

From an advanced-metrics perspective, Ridder ranks 21st among active QBs in both passer rating (84.1) and intended air yards (7.7), per NFL Next Gen Stats, further reiterating Atlanta’s ability to move the ball downfield and keep drives alive.

Look for a well-rested, well-organized, and “in your face” Titans defense to completely stymie Ridder and the Falcons on Sunday.

Falcons vs Titans Same-Game Parlay

Falcons vs Titans SGP (+162)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

  • Titans: Over 17.5 (-102)
  • Titans (+110)

Our same-game parlay will target Tennessee’s team points total (17.5) coupled with the Titans winning outright. Let’s start with the Titans’ point total.

Given the uncertainty at the quarterback position for the Titans, all eyes will be on Henry to carry the load on offense for Tennessee. At the tender age of 29, King Henry remains one of football’s most feared backs.

In Tennessee’s last game, a 24-16 loss against the Baltimore Ravens in London, England, Henry was impressive, rushing for 97 yards on 12 carries (8.1 yards per carry) to go along with a TD.

Henry has also performed well in the advanced-metrics department, ranking seventh among active running backs in rushing yards over expected (66) and tied for ninth in touchdowns (three), per NFL Next Gen Stats.

Although their defense has held the fort this season, I think this is a bad spot for the Falcons. Look for Tennessee to exceed their point total.

We’ll round out our same-game parlay with the Titans on the moneyline.

After suffering back-to-back losses at the hands of the aforementioned Ravens and division rivals Indianapolis Colts, a bye week couldn’t have happened at a better time for Vrabel’s men.

The Titans will keep it close, take care of the football, and ultimately take full advantage of a Falcons team playing consecutive road games.

Combine the two plays on a single-unit wager at an enticing (+162) price point.

Author

Domenic Lunardo

Domenic is a freelance sportswriter at The Game Day. Previously, he wrote for The Hockey Writers, Prime Time Sports Talk, and Faceoff Sports Network. Over the past few years, Domenic has provided analysis more frequently in the sports betting industry and maintains an active presence on Twitter, primarily posting daily betting cards across the NHL, NFL, MLB, NBA, college basketball, and soccer. Although Domenic has a diverse sporting background, he specializes in hockey and football.

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