The Dallas Cowboys (6-2) come off their bye week to take on the Green Bay Packers (3-6), who have hit rock bottom following a road loss to the Detroit Lions (2-6), extending their losing streak to five games.
Green Bay was dealt with a major blow in Detroit, as edge rusher Rashan Gary suffered a torn ACL which will keep him out for the season. The fourth-year former first-rounder had already racked up six sacks in nine games, so this is a huge loss to the Packers defense.
To make matters worse, cornerback Eric Stokes, running back Aaron Jones, and wide receiver Romeo Doubs each sustained injuries in this game. Doubs will be out for a few weeks, while Jones’ status is unclear at this time.
This could have a significant impact on this matchup against one of the best teams in the NFC. With that in mind, let’s take a look at Dallas vs Green Bay best bets for Week 10.
Cowboys vs Packers Odds
Cowboys vs Packers odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook as of Monday, Nov. 7, at noon ET.
Dallas comes in as five-point road favorites at the time of this article, highlighting Green Bay’s continued struggles and recent injuries. The Packers’ offense could be undermanned in this game, which is shown in the 42.5-point total.
Take a look at the best Cowboys odds and Packers odds for the 2022 NFL season.
Cowboys vs Packers Implied Totals
Cowboys 23.75, Packers 18.75
Bookmakers project the Packers to have a tough time with the Cowboys’ defense, which is one of the best units in the NFL. They like Dallas to take care of business on the road in a low-scoring affair.
Cowboys vs Packers Pick of the Day
Read more on this Cowboys vs Packers bet below.
Cowboys vs Packers Prediction
Cowboys 24, Packers 16
We have a few mismatches in favor of the Cowboys here. The first one is their defense against the Packers’ struggling offense. Dallas ranks No. 1 in total DVOA, coming in at No. 3 against the pass and No. 7 in run defense, per Football Outsiders. Meanwhile, Green Bay is 22nd in EPA per play, according to RBSDM.com.
Even if Jones was able to play, it’s hard to envision a scenario where the Packers can move the ball effectively against one of the best defenses in football. Green Bay will need to come through with a huge defensive effort in this one.
The problem is that there’s a major hole in their run defense, as they rank 31st in rush DVOA. That’s bad news against one of the best rushing attacks in the league, led by Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard, ranking No. 2 in rush DVOA. Dallas should be able to control the game on the ground.
When you add in the loss of Gary along with Stokes’ potential absence, it makes it tough to see how the Packers can slow down the Cowboys’ offense. Let’s also remember that quarterback Dak Prescott is coming off his best game of the season, where he completed 77.8 percent of his passes with 250 yards and two touchdowns.
When you combine each of these factors, you come away thinking that the Cowboys should be closer to touchdown favorites in this game. However, we can never count out Aaron Rodgers at Lambeau Field, especially in a desperate situation at 3-6, so the current spread does make sense.
Having said that, we’ll ride with the Cowboys to get another win here.
Cowboys vs Packers Bet Tips
Here are some Cowboys vs Packers betting trends to consider before placing your bets:
- The Cowboys have performed well against the spread, covering in six of eight games.
- The Packers have been the opposite, failing to hit their spread in six of nine.
- The Under is 5-2-1 in Dallas games this season.
- Green Bay games have gone Under the number in six of nine.
- The Packers are dealing with a myriad of injuries on both sides of the ball.
- Dallas’ elite running game should exploit Green Bay’s leaky rush defense.
Cowboys vs Packers Best Bets
Cowboys -5 (-110)
I’m totally comfortable laying the points on the road with a healthy Cowboys team whose strength (running the ball) directly aligns with Green Bay’s weakness (defending the run). It’s going to be tough for the Packers to pull this one off with their injuries. I love the fact that we just need a touchdown for Dallas to cover here.
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Under 42.5 Points (-110)
The Under is a combined 11-5-1 in each of these two teams’ games. While this is a low number, it’s reflective of the Packers’ offensive struggles along with their injuries to key players. Dallas won’t need to air it out to pour on points here — they can just control the clock with the run.
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Cowboys vs Packers Props
Check out the best Cowboys vs Packers player prop bets this week with our props comparison tool. Click on “Show More Games" below to find the Dallas vs Green Bay game and see all of its prop bets.
