This week we have an NFC East matchup between the Washington Commanders and the New York Giants. Washington is one of the teams in the NFL that has been trending up lately, winning three straight games.
New York, on the other hand, has been trending in the wrong direction, as they’ve lost their last two games.
One of the tightest divisions in the NFL right now has got to be the NFC East. The Eagles have lost just once all year and sit in first place while the Cowboys are right on their heels in second place.
Despite having a 7-4 record, the Giants find themselves in third place with the Commanders in last at 7-5.
The Giants will look for their first win since Week 10, while the Commanders try to stay hot.
Continue reading for my Washington vs New York best bets and predictions for this NFC East showdown.
Commanders vs Giants Odds
As of Monday evening, the Commanders are the favorites to win on the road over the Giants. With the way both of these teams have been trending, I’m not surprised to see the Commanders as the favorites.
With an implied total of 40.5, the sportsbooks are expecting this to be one of the lowest-scoring matchups for Week 12. Daniel Jones and Taylor Heinicke will face off as the starters, as Heinicke has started the last six games for Washington.
Commanders vs Giants Implied Totals
Commanders 21.5, Giants 19.5
As the lines open up, the Commanders are the early road favorites over the Giants. With that being said, I wouldn’t be shocked if the line was nearly even when game time comes around Sunday.
Commanders vs Giants Pick of the Day
Read more on this Commanders vs Giants bet below.
Commanders vs Giants Prediction
Commanders 23, Giants 20
Since taking over as the starting quarterback in a Week 7 win over the Packers, Heinicke has led this team to five wins. This includes a win on Monday Night Football over the previously undefeated Philadelphia Eagles.
The only loss they’ve had in their last six came against the Vikings, where they lost by just a field goal, 20-17. Heinicke has done a fine job filling in for the injured Carson Wentz.
As for New York, Jones has been hot and cold this year, with four games where he didn’t throw a single touchdown. He’s also been using his feet well, as he’s run for 451 yards and four touchdowns.
He’s only thrown for 250-plus yards once all season, which was against the Lions.
The Commanders’ defense gives up just 19.7 points per game this year, which is the 10th-best mark in the NFL. As for the Giants, they give up 21.1, which is 14th.
The Giants have been dealing with a handful of injuries lately and the defense hasn’t done well, with just four interceptions and 20 sacks on the season.
Washington should be able to throw on this weak Giants’ secondary and they have plenty of pass-catching weapons. Between Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel, and rookie Jahan Dotson who recently returned from injury, they should be able to beat this secondary and put some points up through the air.
Commanders vs Giants Bet Tips
Here are a few Commanders vs Giants betting trends to consider before making your bets:
- The Commanders won both of their two meetings last year.
- Washington is 5-0-1 ATS since Heinicke has been the quarterback.
- The total has gone Under in four-straight games for Washington.
Commanders vs Giants Best Bets
Over 40.5 Points (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Commanders defense does not give up a ton of points and Jones has not exactly been lighting the world on fire with his passing. He’s topped 200-plus passing yards in four of 11 games this year and has four games without a passing touchdown.
Washington isn’t the best against opposing quarterbacks, but they’re good enough that they’ll slow down Jones and the passing attack. As for the rushing game, they’re tough against opposing running backs, and star running back Saquon Barkley has two games in a row with 39 or fewer rushing yards.
While it’s a lower total, I’m taking the Under here. Don’t expect a shootout this week, but this should be a fun game to watch nonetheless.
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Commanders -2.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: .5 Units
While Heinicke and this offense have been playing great as of late, the biggest factor here has got to be their defense. I don’t think the Giants can rely as heavily on their running game as they have been lately, and that clearly hasn’t worked in the past two games as Barkley has struggled.
Jones and the Giants will struggle this week against a red-hot Commanders team. I’m expecting they’ll be put in a lot of situations where Jones is forced to throw, and we might see multiple turnovers in this one for the Giants’ offense.
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Commanders vs Giants Props
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