Chiefs vs Vikings Predictions & Best Bets

Last Updated: Oct 3, 2023

We’ve reached bye weeks in the NFL, leaving us with a more limited schedule than we have been able to enjoy so far. However, we still have the potential for some high-scoring affairs, with a battle between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Minnesota Vikings being among them.

The Chiefs have been much of what was expected from them, starting off with a 3-1 record. The Vikings have disappointed after reaching the playoffs last season, posting a 1-3 mark. Let’s dig into the betting market for this matchup and highlight some wagers that could prove to be profitable.

Chiefs vs Vikings Odds

NFL odds used for this Kansas City vs Minnsota preview were found at DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of Tuesday, Oct. 3, at noon ET.

  • Moneyline: Chiefs (-205) • Vikings (+170)
  • Spread: Chiefs -4.5 (-112) • Vikings +4.5 (-108)
  • Total Points: Over 53 (-108) • Under 53 (-112)
  • Implied Score: Chiefs 29, Vikings 24

Chiefs vs Vikings Predictions

Score Pick: Chiefs 31, Vikings 24

After losing their first three games, the Vikings finally put one in the win column last week when they defeated the Panthers in Carolina. Their defense led the way, limiting the Panthers to 13 points. It came at the perfect time, given the struggles of Kirk Cousins.

After three straight games with at least 344 passing yards, he managed just 139 yards through the air. He did contribute two touchdown passes, but was picked off twice.

Facing a struggling Panthers’ offense with rookie Bryce Young at the helm is certainly a stark contrast to what Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will bring to the table this week. After losing to the Lions in Week 1, they have reeled off three straight wins, two of which came on the road.

During that span, their opponents scored a total of 39 points. Look for Mahomes to take advantage of the Vikings’ underwhelming defense and earn the Chiefs a victory.

Chiefs vs Vikings Best Bets & Props

Race To 25 Points: Chiefs (-125)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

As prolific as the Vikings’ offense can be, the Chiefs have a good defense. They have not allowed more than 21 points in any of their four games. They have faced some underwhelming opponents in the Bears and Jets, but the Lions and Jaguars scored a combined 30 points against them.

Despite holding the Panthers down in Week 4, the Vikings have still allowed an average of 23.8 points per game. The Vikings might not reach 25 points on offense, while the Chiefs could blow past that number themselves, making this our NFL bet of the day.

Chiefs 1H -3.5 (+110)

FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

The Chiefs have generally started off well, having a lead at the half in each of their first four games. In three of those games, they had a lead of at least seven points entering the half.

The Vikings have not led at the half yet this season and have been down by at least four points at halftime in three of their games. Look for the Chiefs to take a comfortable lead into the break.

Successful 2 Point Conversion (+220)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 Units

Given their struggles on defense and how potent the Chiefs’ offense can be, it would not be a surprise to see the Vikings playing catchup for most of the second half. If they do find themselves down by multiple touchdowns, they could attempt a two-point conversion to help get back into the game.

At these odds, it’s worth placing a small wager on one to be converted.

Chiefs vs Vikings Same Game Parlay

Chiefs vs Vikings SGP (+134)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

  • Chiefs 1H -2.5 (-122)
  • Race to 25 Points: Chiefs (-125)

We’re already on the Chiefs to win the race to 25 points. It’s difficult to envision a scenario in which the Vikings’ defense can hold down Mahomes long enough for the Vikings to reach that mark first.

Given how well the Chiefs defense has played, even though this game will be at home for them, the Vikings might be hard-pressed to even reach 25 points by the time the final whistle sounds.

After taking the Chiefs to cover a spread of -3.5 in the first half earlier, we get another point in our favor for the parlay. The Chiefs only need to lead by a field goal to cover here, making it an appealing second leg to get us to plus odds.


Mike Barner

Mike started covering fantasy sports in 2007. In addition to The Game Day, Mike has written for RotoWire, Sportsline, Sports Illustrated, DK Live and RealTime Fantasy Sports. In 2018, he was a finalist for the 2018 FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. .

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