When the season started, many people thought that the Broncos/Ravens game would be one of the most entertaining matchups in Week 13. Unfortunately, Denver has underperformed and Baltimore is a lopsided favorite.
For my Denver vs Baltimore best bets, I’ll delve into the numbers to find a betting angle for what I expect to be a low-scoring game.
Broncos vs Ravens Odds
As of Wednesday Nov. 30, at BetMGM Sportsbook, the Ravens are favored by more than a touchdown against the Broncos.
Based on what we have seen this season, this isn’t surprising.
Take a look at the best Broncos odds and Ravens odds for the 2022 NFL season.
Broncos vs Ravens Implied Totals
Ravens 23.50, Broncos 15
The bookmakers are not only expecting the Ravens to win by more than a touchdown, but for the Broncos to score only two touchdowns.
Broncos vs Ravens Pick of the Day
Read more on this Broncos vs Ravens bet below.
Broncos vs Ravens Prediction
Ravens 20, Broncos 14
One look at the standings is all you need to know about this week’s game. The Broncos are last in the AFC West with a 3-8 record, while the Ravens are in first place in the AFC North with a 7-4 record.
As bettors, though, it is not as simple as looking at the standings and betting on the Ravens, as they are huge 8.5-point favorites. Looking at Baltimore’s game logs, they aren’t putting away weak opponents as easily as they should be.
Last week, they lost 28-27 to the Jaguars as three-point road favorites. The week before, they only beat the Panthers 13-3.
As for the Broncos, outside of last week’s 23-10 loss against the Panthers, they’ve only lost one other game by more than a touchdown. They held the line against the Titans, Broncos, Chargers, Colts, and 49ers, and three of Denver’s losses have been in overtime. If Denver won all three of those games, they would have a winning record right now.
Baltimore should win, but I believe that we will see a closer game than the lines imply.
Broncos vs Ravens Bet Tips
Here are a few Broncos vs Ravens betting trends to consider before making your bets:
- The Broncos are 3-8 straight up and against the spread.
- The Ravens are 7-4 straight up, but only 4-6-1 ATS.
- The point total has not changed since it opened at 38.5 points.
Broncos vs Ravens Best Bets
Broncos +8.5 (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Broncos are a much more competitive team than their record and negative press indicate.
They have played a tough schedule, and even with a weak offensive performance by Russell Wilson, their defense has been strong this year. It takes a lot to beat a team by more than a touchdown, and Denver should at least keep this game close.
If Baltimore stays at +8.5 or better, take the Broncos to cover.
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Under 38.5 Points (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Broncos covering and the Under hitting at 38.5 points should be correlated this week. If the Ravens put together another weak offensive performance, then the Broncos defense and offense should assist in keeping the total number of points below 38.5.
For all of Denver’s faults this season, their defense is not to blame.
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Broncos vs Ravens Props
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