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Browns vs Broncos Predictions & Best Bets

Last Updated: Nov 22, 2023

Two of the NFL’s hottest teams will square off Sunday when the Denver Broncos host the Cleveland Browns at 4:05 p.m. ET..

Denver, winners of four straight, rallied for a 21-20 victory over Minnesota in Week 11 to reach .500 (5-5) for the first time this season. Meanwhile, Cleveland ran its winning streak to three games after edging Pittsburgh, 13-10.

At 7-3, the Browns are right on Baltimore’s heels atop the AFC North.

Which team will continue its resurgent play? Here’s a look at what to expect as we break down the NFL Week 12 odds for Browns-Broncos.

Browns vs Broncos Odds

NFL odds used for this Cleveland vs Denver preview were found at DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of Wednesday, Nov. 22, at 11:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Broncos (-122) • Browns (+102)
  • Spread: Broncos -1.5 (-108) • Browns +1.5 (-112)
  • Total Points: Over 35 (-110) • Under 35 (-110)
  • Implied Score: Broncos 18.25, Browns 16.75

Browns vs Broncos Predictions

Score Pick: Browns 17, Broncos 13

Sean Payton has Denver winning consistently again after last year’s embarrassment under Nathaniel Hackett. Russell Wilson still isn’t performing to the level of his Seahawks days, but he’s at least beginning to make more plays.

He’s third in the NFL with a 104.3 passer rating.

That said, there’s a bit of a smoke-and-mirrors feel to the Broncos’ success. Three of the four wins during their win streak have come by two points or fewer.

That good fortune, if you will, ends this week against the Browns, who continue to ride a strong ground game and the NFL’s top-ranked defense to victories.

Browns vs Broncos Best Bets & Props

Browns +1.5 (-112)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

Cleveland’s running game continues to be essential to its success. Not only does it take pressure off Dorian Thompson-Robinson, it also helps control the clock.

The Browns rank third in the NFL in rushing (142.7 yards per game).

With the Broncos’ bottom-ranked run defense up next (160 yards per game), Jerome Ford and Kareem Hunt are poised for another strong day. The Broncos were gashed for 175 yards on the ground last week against Minnesota.

Based on those trends, I’m taking Cleveland +1.5 as my NFL bet of the day.

Under 35 (-110)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

The Browns are averaging 22.7 points, but some regression is expected without Deshaun Watson. In Thompson-Robinson’s first two NFL starts, they’ve scored just 16 points and totaled 425 yards.

That’s it.

They should fare a bit better against the Broncos, who have been susceptible to big plays. But the Browns would be remiss if they didn’t stick to their strengths and turn this into a rock fight.

Browns: Over 1.5 TDs (-130)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

Thompson-Robinson’s limitations are no secret. He’s averaging just 3.7 yards over his first 80 attempts and has yet to throw for a touchdown. But he’ll have opportunities to do some damage against the Broncos.

While Denver’s improved defensively over the last month, it’s still allowing an NFL-worst 400.1 yards on average. It’s also bottom five in the NFL in sacks and has been terrible at stopping the run.

The Browns should be able to wear Denver down and find the end zone at least twice.

Browns vs Broncos Same Game Parlay

Browns vs Broncos SGP (+450)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

  • Browns (+102)
  • Browns Over 16.5 (-115)
  • Under 37 (-154)

The spread is small enough that I’d rather take Cleveland to win outright in exchange for better odds. For what it’s worth, the Browns are 4-1-1 ATS over their last six games and have covered in two-thirds of their games.

The total is on the lower side, so to protect myself, I’m juicing it a few points to 37. The Browns have gone Under that number in five of their last eight games.

Assuming their defense is up to task, they’ll help keep the Broncos in check to cash in on this leg.

Author

Doug Bonjour

Doug covered college and prep sports in Connecticut for more than a decade, including stints as the UConn women’s basketball and UConn football beat reporter for Hearst Connecticut Media. During his time reporting on the 11-time national champion Huskies, he covered three NCAA Final Fours. He also has written for the Associated Press and New York Times.

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