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Bears vs Vikings Predictions

Posted: Oct 4, 2022Last updated: Oct 5, 2022

The Chicago Bears (2-2) face the Minnesota Vikings (3-1) in a Week 5 NFC North clash. Chicago dropped a 20-12 decision to the Giants in Week 4, while Minnesota prevailed by a 28-25 score over the Saints in London.

The Bears have struggled with both their passing attack and slowing down the run, while the Vikings, playing under a new offensive scheme implemented by first-year coach Kevin O’Connell, are still acclimating but have managed to win their last two games by a combined seven points.

Let’s examine our Chicago vs Minnesota best bets, predictions, and betting tips for this Week 5 showdown.

Bears vs Vikings Odds

The Vikings’ status as touchdown favorites as of Tuesday is somewhat eye-catching in that their last two wins have been by such close margins. However, Minnesota has won three of the last four in the series by an average of 9.3 points - as well as the fact Chicago has averaged just 16 points per game thus far and is 0-2 on the road - helps explain not just the spread, but the total of 44 points, as well.

Take a look at the best Bears odds and Vikings odds for the 2022 NFL season.

Bears vs Vikings Implied Totals

Vikings 25.5, Bears 18.5

Oddsmakers clearly have faith in the Vikings continuing to acclimate to O’Connell’s system well against a defense that should enable them to run a very balanced attack. They also seem to think the Bears’ passing attack won’t be able to fully capitalize on Minnesota’s weaknesses in the secondary.

Bears vs Vikings Pick of the Day

Read more on this Bears vs Vikings bet below.

Bears vs Vikings Prediction

Vikings 27, Bears 20

The Vikings have averaged a modest 98 rushing yards per game, but their offensive line has actually facilitated a solid 4.27 RB yards per carry. Meanwhile, the Bears are allowing an NFL-high 183.3 rushing yards per game at 4.8 RB yards per carry after most recently having been gashed by Saquon Barkley for 146 yards in Week 4.

Chicago is ranked No. 21 in open field yards allowed specifically, and the collection of metrics doesn’t bode well for a matchup against Dalvin Cook. Cook overcame a shoulder issue to put together a gutsy 20-for-76 line on the ground against a tough Saints front seven in Week 4, but he could be primed to explode in this matchup and provide O’Connell with the luxury of calling a game in near-perfect conditions.

It’s additionally worth pointing out that while the Bears’ 168.5 passing yards per game allowed looks exceptional, it’s largely a mirage. Chicago had the benefit of facing Trey Lance in his first start under monsoon-like conditions and without George Kittle in Week 1, as well as matchups against Davis Mills and Daniel Jones.

And, given Aaron Rodgers was in an even earlier stage of acclimation to his receiving corps when Chicago saw him in Week 2, Kirk Cousins and his pass-catching weapons are the toughest challenge yet for this secondary. The likes of Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen could regularly hit for chunk gains considering the Bears allow 11.0 yards per completion.

It’s not all doom and gloom for Chicago, however, which should be able to make occasional inroads against a Vikings defense that’s allowed 131 rushing yards per game and another 263.5 per contest through the air at an elevated 69.8 percent completion rate.

Their vulnerability could be just what Justin Fields needs after completing only half his pass attempts through the first four games. Fields enjoyed success against the Vikes in his one previous encounter with them, going 26-for-39 for 285 yards with a TD and adding 35 rushing yards in Week 15 last season.

Bear vs Vikings Bet Tips

Here are some Bears vs Vikings betting trends to consider before placing your bets:

  • The Vikings are 1-3 against the spread, including 1-1 at home.
  • The Bears are 1-2-1 against the spread, including 0-2 as a road team and 0-1 in division games.
  • The Vikings are 13-13 ATS in NFC North matchups since Cousins’ arrival in 2018.
  • The Bears have prevailed in three of their last four games in Minnesota and done so by an average of 7.3 points.

Bears vs Vikings Best Bets

Over 44 Total Points (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

As already outlined, the Bears’ passing game showed at least some signs of life in Week 4, and the Vikings’ defense continues to be a work in progress. Meanwhile, Minnesota has shown a reasonably good command of O’Connell’s offense and should have no trouble keeping Chicago guessing with a balanced attack, which should be enough to send this game at least slightly Over.

Before placing this bet, get the best Bears promo codes.

PARLAY: Vikings ML & Over 44 Total Points (+148) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

The case for a Vikings victory and the Over already having been made, this is a great way to combine both bets at a very appealing price. It’s also worth noting that Minnesota is 19-8 straight up as a home favorite during Cousins’ tenure while the Over is 14-12-1 in that split, as well.

Before placing this bet, get the best Vikings promo codes.

Author

Juan Carlos Blanco

Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports since 1997 and actively writing about the fantasy sports and sports betting industries since 2015 for multiple websites. He has covered a wide variety of professional sports leagues, including the NFL, MLB, NBA, CFL, Arena Football League, Alliance of American Football, XFL, NPB and KBO. He was the recipient of the FSWA's 2016 Newcomer of the Year award for his work with RotoWire.

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