Super Bowl 55 DFS Picks on Monkey Knife Fight: Monkey Knife Fight (MKF) combines elements of daily fantasy sports and traditional prop betting to offer a unique array of contests daily for a multitude of sports, including Super Bowl LV DFS Plays.
With a star-studded Super 55 matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs on tap Sunday, Feb. 7, MKF enhances the enjoyment of the NFL’s biggest game with exciting opportunities to win cash based on your knowledge of some of the top players in this year’s clash.
The GameDay will break down two MKF contests for Super Bowl LV that we feel have profit potential. This year’s title contest features plenty of big names, so here’s a closer look at two opportunities involving five of the most offensively explosive players in action.
All game settings and point totals are current as of Tuesday at noon ET.
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Super Bowl LV DFS Picks
MKF Contest: More or Less
Fantasy Points (Pick 2/2 correctly to win 3.5x your Buy-in)
MKF Fantasy Points NFL Scoring Breakdown
Passing TD: +4 Fantasy Points
Passing YD: +0.04 Fantasy Points
Interception: -1 Fantasy Points
Rushing YD: +0.1 Fantasy Points
Rushing TD: +6 Fantasy Points
Reception: +1 Fantasy Points
Receiving YD: +0.1 Fantasy Points
Receiving TD: +6 Fantasy Points
Return TD: +6 Fantasy Points
2 Point Conversion: +2 Fantasy Points
Fumble Lost: -2 Fantasy Points
Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs: More Than 26.5 Fantasy Points
Mahomes tore through the Buccaneers secondary for 462 yards and three touchdowns back in Week 12, with his spectacular effort partly responsible for Tampa Bay allowing the fifth-most passing yards (283.8) of any team on its home field this past regular season. The Bucs also gave up an NFL-high 71.2 percent completion rate at Raymond James Stadium, and their elite run defense led to teams targeting Tampa Bay through the air at an NFL-high 65.4 percent clip this regular season and postseason.
That dovetails perfectly with the Chiefs’ preferences, considering KC has passed 61.8 percent of the time to date (including their two postseason games). While Mahomes exceeding this benchmark will require about a 325-yard, three-touchdown day along with at least a handful of rushing yards, the reigning Super Bowl MVP has hit or exceeded that yardage and touchdown tally on seven occasions this season and postseason.
Given the expectation of a pass-heavy gameplan for KC and the fact the Bucs allowed the eighth-most opponent plays per game at home (68.1), I lean toward Mahomes eclipsing the 26.5.
Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Less Than 22.5 Fantasy Points
Brady, despite his unparalleled Super Bowl experience and four SB MVPs, has a tall order in front of him Sunday. The Chiefs allowed a minuscule 59.4 percent completion rate on the road this season while also goading quarterbacks into 16 interceptions overall. KC also was fairly vulnerable to the ground attack whenever teams were able to keep things close against them, as the Chiefs allow 121.9 rushing yards per contest and 4.5 RB yards per carry.
That relatively favorable matchup, coupled with the likelihood Bruce Arians tries to offset his usual aggressive style with a relatively balanced attack to keep the ball out of Mahomes’ hands, could certainly lead to Brady’s pass attempts being kept in the 30-to-35 range after he averaged 36.3 over the Buccaneers’ first three playoff games. It’s also worth noting KC allowed a middling 62.4 opponent plays per road game this season, which also limits Brady’s opportunities to rack up fantasy production.
When also considering the Chiefs limited wideouts to a poor 59.7 percent catch rate – thereby potentially cutting off a major pathway to Brady’s fantasy success significantly – I’m in the camp of the future Hall of Famer falling somewhat short of this number.
Super Bowl 55 DFS Picks: Daily fantasy football players should pick the Under on Tom Brady’s fantasy football scoring for Super Bowl LV. (USA TODAY Sports)
MKF Contest: Touchdown Dance
(Pick 3 players to exceed 3.5 combined TDs to win 4.5x your buy-in)
Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
Hill tortured the Buccaneers in one of the most prolific quarters for a receiver in NFL history back in Week 12, compiling seven receptions for 203 yards and two touchdowns in the opening period on his way to a 13-269-3 line in KC’s 27-24 win over the Bucs at Raymond James Stadium. Hill found the end zone on 17 occasions overall (15 receiving, two rushing) this regular season, and he added three touchdowns thus far this postseason via a hat trick against the Browns in the divisional round. Considering Tampa Bay also allowed 17 TDs to receivers during the regular season and Hill averaged well more than a red-zone touch per game (21 over 15 contests) in 2020 as well, a multi-TD game here wouldn’t be out of the question.
Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs
Kelce notched a career-high 11 touchdown receptions this past regular season and has added another three scoring grabs as part of a 21-227 line through the Chiefs’ first two postseason games. Kelce also saw a hefty 23.7 percent of KC’s targets and logged 22 looks in the red zone over 15 regular-season contests. Moreover, Kelce averaged a touchdown reception every 9.5 catches during the regular season (one every 7.0 grabs in the postseason), and the Buccaneers already surrendered an eight-catch effort to him back in Week 12.
Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Evans’ reception total could well be below his usual standards in this contest due to the Chiefs’ aforementioned ability to limit receiver production, but that doesn’t mean he may not find himself in the end zone at least once. After all, the multi-time Pro Bowler saw 19 red-zone targets over 16 games, and he actually exited the Week 17 contest against the Falcons in the first quarter with a hyperextended knee on a pass in the end zone. The veteran’s 6-foot-5 frame certainly makes him an excellent target for Tom Brady in close quarters near the goal line as well, and despite KC’s stinginess against receivers, it’s worth noting the Chiefs allowed just under a touchdown per game (15) to wideouts and are surrendering an NFL-high 74.1 percent red-zone touchdown success rate this regular season and postseason.
Done reading Juan’s Super Bowl 55 DFS Picks?
Decided your Super Bowl LV DFS Plays? Claim our signup offer for new customers of Monkey Knife Fight! Before you play one of these games and use our Super Bowl 55 DFS Picks, register for a Monkey Knife Fight account using the promo code “TGD" to receive a 100% bonus instantly on your first-time deposit up to $50! Sign up today and join the MKFing team. 🏈
