ByMatt De Lima

Jan 26, 2024

Rashee Rice Player Prop Locks for AFC Championship vs Ravens

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In two of his last three games, Rashee Rice has at least 127 receiving yards. He’s averaging eight targets per game in this postseason.

Not bad for a rookie. The Kansas City Chiefs have been looking for a playmaking receiver since the departure of Tyreek Hill, and Rice has looked the part for most of the 2023 NFL season.

Now in the AFC Championship game, Rice will be tasked to produce against one of the best defenses. Let’s break down the best Rice props for the AFC Championship Game between Kansas City and the Baltimore Ravens.

All Conference Championship odds used in these props are current as of Monday, Jan. 22.

Rashee Rice Prop Pick of the Week

Rashee Rice Passing Yards Prop

Rashee Rice: Over 58.5 Receiving Yards

bet365 Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

Most sportsbooks are holding firm at this yardage threshold, but bet365 gets the nod for having the best juice. Rice has eclipsed 58.5 yards in six of his last eight games.

While Baltimore has been formidable against the pass this year (eighth-best during the regular season), it has allowed at least one wide receiver to accrue 58.5 yards or more every week since Week 12, including last week’s win against the Houston Texans.

Rice is averaging 58.6 receiving yards per game, just 0.1 more than this week’s receiving prop. However, it’s important to remember how much more he’s playing and how many more targets he’s earning in recent weeks compared to the first half of the season.

Rashee Rice Receiving Yards Alt Prop

Rashee Rice: 100+ Receiving Yards

bet365 Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 Units

Rice has been hot lately. He’s collected 100-plus receiving yards in two of his last three games.

It’s certainly worth a quarter of a unit to play these really favorable odds (+525). We know the Ravens want to get out to an early lead, and if that’s the case here, that will make the Chiefs take more chances in the passing game.

The ol’ gunslinging days of Patrick Mahomes don’t really exist anymore as defenses have shifted to force him to execute and play underneath by maintaining deep leverage in coverage. So Baltimore won’t allow Rice to get over the top for any big 30-plus-yard receptions, but they will live with him and his pass-catching teammates to work underneath.

PlayerProfiler has Rice as the third-best receiver in yards after catch (6.4 YAC per target). Volume is important here, so this is more of a game-script bet.

If you believe the Chiefs will be playing from behind, Rice earning at least a dozen targets gives him a real shot at this yardage milestone.

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Matt De Lima

Matt is a sports content editor at The Game Day with more than 10 years experience in the fantasy and betting spaces. He is a two-time Fantasy Sports Writing Association award finalist with previous experience working for Sports Illustrated, Full Time Fantasy, FFToolbox, 4for4, and RotoExperts. Born and raised in California, Matt now calls southern Maryland home. He is a Virginia Tech alumnus and a life-long 49ers, Lakers, and Dodgers fan.

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