Carolina Panthers (4-9) at Green Bay Packers (10-3)
Panthers Packers Bet Tips
Odds & Betting Lines for Panthers-Packers Picks
- Against The Spread: Packers -8.5 (-105)/Panthers +8.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Packers (-420)/Panthers (+320)
- Total: 51.5 — Over 51.5 (-115)/Under 51.5 (-105)
- Implied Team Totals: Packers 30, Panthers 21.5
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Panthers-Packers Key Injuries
PanthersPanthers RB Christian McCaffrey is expected to miss his fifth straight game on Saturday night due to injury. He missed the first three in that period with a shoulder while sitting out last week’s loss with a thigh injury. The thigh is expected to keep him out again versus Green Bay. While McCaffrey is not expected to play, the Panthers could get some help on offense in the form of D.J. Moore. Moore was sidelined for last Sunday’s loss to Denver after being placed on the reserve/ COVID list early last week. While Moore tested positive for the coronavirus, there is a shot he can return and play against the Packers. If Moore misses his second consecutive game, Pharoh Cooper will be in line for an uptick in snaps and targets for the second straight outing. Cooper caught all three targets for 52 yards in Week 14 against the Broncos.
PackersThe Packers are not dealing with any new injuries of significance entering Week 15.
Panthers Packers Players to Watch
Panthers RB Mike Davis is set to start yet another game this season if Christian McCaffrey sits with a thigh injury, which is the anticipated outcome. In his past three games since Week 11, Davis has gone for 79 total yards or a touchdown with three scores total in that period. In last week’s loss to the Broncos, Davis totaled 93 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 16 touches (five receptions). Davis has also seen 5+ targets in 9-of-12 games since Week 2, including back-to-back outings with six. Davis, a solid all-purpose replacement for CMC, will get a tough but exploitable matchup with the Packers on Saturday night. While Green Bay’s defense is only surrendering the 11th fewest rushing yards per game (109.7) this season, they have been gashed by teams who punch them in the mouth and play physical football. While the Packers managed to hold Detroit and Philadephia running backs to nearly nothing total yardage-wise with two touchdowns combined in their past two games, they allowed 100+ total yards to three different backs (James Robinson, Jonathan Taylor, David Montgomery) in the three games leading up to the Eagles matchup in Week 13. Packers TE Robert Tonyan has emerged as the most-reliable Green Bay pass-catcher not named Davante Adams this season. Tonyan is third on the team in targets (52), second in receptions (46), and third in yards (533). However, where Tonyan really shines is in the touchdown department. Tonyan is second on the club in receiving scores with nine. In his past four games, Tonyan has been exceptional. In all four outings since Week 11, Tonyan has had five targets with at least four receptions, 36 yards, and a touchdown. He is currently riding a four-game scorning streak. The Panthers will be hard-pressed to contain Tonyan as they are allowing the most receptions (75), the fifth-most yards (771), and the sixth-most touchdowns (6) to enemy tight ends in 2020.
Panthers Packers Weather Report
The weather at Lambeau Field calls for overcast nightly skies at the time of kickoff with a 0% chance of precipitation. The temperature is set at 26 degrees Fahrenheit with 6 mph winds blowing North.
Panthers-Packers Picks & Best Bet
BEST BET: Over 51.5 (-115)We know the Packers can score. They are the No. 1 team in points per game (31.5). And while the Panthers can be hit or miss, they are at a respectable 23.6 PPG, good for 19th in the NFL. However, the Panthers have scored at least 27 points in three of their past five games, including two straight at that number. As a result, the Over is 4-1 in the Panthers’ past five games, including two straight. Meanwhile, the Over is 4-3 in the Packers’ past seven games, but 0-2 in each of their past two outings. In back-to-back games in which the total went Under, the mark was set at 55.5 against the Lions — it missed by a half of a point — and 50 against the Eagles, which missed by four. Both the Eagles and Lions’ offenses are either hot or really really cold. The Panthers have been popping, especially against superior opponents like the Chiefs and Vikings, which bodes well for the Over in a likely shootout with Green Bay. The Over is 6-1 in the past seven meetings between the Panthers and Packers, hitting the Under in last year’s bout. Last season’s total was set at 49 points and missed by nine. Last year’s Under snapped a six-game streak between these two clubs that went Over.
CONSIDER: Panthers +8.5 (-115)While the Packers are one of the NFL’s best teams, sometimes their games are too close for comfort. Three of their past five games were decided by fewer than seven points. The Packers are 2-3 against the spread in their past five games, failing to cover against the Colts, Lions, and Jaguars. Two of those three teams are incredibly inferior to the Packers. The Panthers are normally the inferior team, but they have played their games close. They are 4-3 ATS in their past seven games and 2-1 in their past three, failing to cover last week. Two of the teams the Panthers covered against were the Saints and Chiefs. Both clubs are in Green Bay’s class. They also covered against the Vikings, but I won’t classify Minnesota at the level of the aforementioned clubs.
PASS: Panthers (+320)Forget about the Moneyline on both sides. The Packers (-420) are not worth wagering because of the minimal return unless you use it in a parlay as a lock victory. On the other side, I am not giving the Panthers much of a shot. While in my Bills-Broncos preview, I had mentioned that the Broncos could win at home (though, I am not picking it or recommending it) — for reasons, read the article. However, in this one, I can’t make the case. Aaron Rodgers is playing at an elite level as is the Green Bay offense as a whole. Their defense also makes just enough plays to win in close games. The Packers, who control their own destiny as the NFC’s No. 1 seed, will handle their business at home on Sunday afternoon. Anthony Cervino is 48-40-1 on his NFL Best Bets in 2020.
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