Week 7 Team Betting Trends for NFL

Last Updated: Jan 9, 2021

Marcus Mosher reveals the most important NFL Week 7 Team Betting Trends for football wagerers to use in their sports bets.

The NFL’s Week 7 has an incredible slate of games, featuring two undefeated teams facing off and multiple division matchups. Here are the top NFL Week 7 Team Betting Trends ou need to know before placing a wager to get you prepared for the upcoming week.

1. The New England Patriots have now lost 5 of their last 7 games dating back to 2019

To say the New England Patriots have struggled as of late is a bit of an understatement. They have covered or won outright in just two of their previous seven games.

Their two wins during that time? A Week 1 win over the Miami Dolphins and a Week 3 win over the Las Vegas Raiders. Whenever this team has faced a big-time opponent, it has failed to answer the bell.

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They lost to the Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs in back-to-back weeks near the end of the 2019 season and then lost to the Chiefs and Seattle Seahawks early this year.

New England is still a field-goal favorite against the San Francisco 49ers in Week 7, which feels like far too many points for a team with a losing record.

You can never count out the Patriots, but this is no longer a dominant team.


2. The Over has hit in five straight games for the Las Vegas Raiders.

Don’t look now, but Jon Gruden and the Las Vegas Raiders suddenly have one of the best offenses in the NFL.

They are averaging 30 points per game and are starting to get back essential players in their offense, such as right tackle Trent Brown and starting receiver Bryan Edwards.

Week 7 NFL Team Betting Trends: Derek Carr's Raiders are rolling on offense
Derek Carr’s Raiders are rolling on offense (Kirby Lee, USA TODAY Sports)

Their defense is still among the worst in the NFL, giving up just over 30 points per game. Worse yet, they are allowing 6.24 yards per play, the third-most in the NFL.

That’s why it’s not a surprise that the Over has hit in every one of their games this season as the Raiders are suddenly in a shootout every game. With Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers coming to town in Week 7, expect another high-scoring, back-and-forth game for the Raiders.


3. The Pittsburgh Steelers have settled for the Under in 9 of the last 13 games.

Over the previous two seasons, it hasn’t been debatable which team has the best defense in the NFL. The Pittsburgh Steelers have done an incredible job of forcing turnovers and forcing opponents off the field.

Over the last 18 games, Pittsburgh has allowed an average of only 15.8 points, the fewest in the NFL. In Week 7, they will face a 5-0 Titans team that just lost starting left tackle Taylor Lewan for the season due to an ACL tear.

Expect this to be another low-scoring game for Pittsburgh in which the total comes under 45 points.


4. The Detroit Lions have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 16 games.

The Detroit Lions got a much-needed win in Week 6 over the Jacksonville Jaguars, but that doesn’t cover up just how bad this team has been lately. They’ve lost 12 of their last 14 games and have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 16.

One reason the Lions have struggled so much against the spread lately has been their passing game. They had injuries to the quarterback position last season, but despite Matthew Stafford returning to the field in 2020, they are averaging only 230.4 passing yards per game.

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Under Stafford, this has been a team that relies on their quarterback to be elite, and he has been anything but in 2020. If the Lions can’t get their passing attack back on track against the Atlanta Falcons in Week 7, it’s time to officially push the panic button this Detroit team.


5. The Chicago Bears have covered the spread just 6 times in their last 18 games.

The Chicago Bears currently sit at 5-1, tied for first place in the NFC North. However, they carry just a +12 point differential on the season, and their five wins have come by a combined 20 points.

Many are wondering if this team is for real. Should the Bears be considered among the best in the NFL? One sign that they could be “paper tigers" is their recent record against the spread. Despite winning 10 of their last 16 games, they have covered the spread in just six games.

In fact, the Bears have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their previous 18 games dating back to 2019.

Oddsmakers don’t view them as legit contenders; Chicago is being given 6-6.5 points against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 7 by many books. This game will tell us a lot about the Bears moving forward and how to wager on them for the final half of the season.

See all of our Betting Offers and Odds and Betting Lines for NFL Week 7 games.

Author

Marcus Mosher

Marcus Mosher is an NFL analyst at The Game Day, residing in Erie, PA. He covers the NFL from a betting and fantasy perspective, producing written and video content. Marcus currently hosts multiple football-related podcasts and is a managing editor at USA Today’s Sports Media Group covering the Las Vegas Raiders. He has previously worked at The Athletic and Bleacher Report.

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