Packers vs Bears Player Props: Smash Chicago RB Overs Against Green Bay

Frank AmmiranteSenior Sports Writer
@FAmmiranteTFJ
Last Updated: Jan 8, 2026

The Green Bay Packers (9-7-1) take on the Chicago Bears (11-6) in an NFC North showdown in the NFC Wild Card Round. These teams split the season series, with the Bears winning the most recent meeting, as Jordan Love was forced to leave early due to injury.

With the Packers struggling to defend the run of late, this sets up nicely for the Bears’ running backs in this matchup.

Below, you’ll find my favorite Packers vs Bears Wild Card props, where I’ll dive into this matchup between two division rivals.

All NFL odds used for these Packers vs Bears player props are current as of Thursday, Jan. 8, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Packers vs Bears Player Props

D’Andre Swift: Over 61.5 Rushing Yards (-110) vs Packers

The Packers allowed Derrick Henry to rush for 216 yards against them in Week 17. When the Bears faced the Packers back in Week 16, Swift ran for 58 yards on only 13 attempts, averaging 4.5 yards per carry.

There’s a good chance that Ben Johnson will try to lean on the running game a little more, especially since Swift didn’t get enough usage in that game.

I’m betting the Bears will win this game, which would create a favorable game script for Swift. With the Bears playing with a lead, that would mean more rushing volume.

I’m backing Swift to go over his rushing yards prop as my NFL pick of the day.

Kyle Monangai: Over 44.5 Rushing Yards (-112) vs Packers

Kyle Monangai has been a valuable contributor in the Bears’ backfield in his rookie season, rushing for 783 yards while averaging 4.6 yards per carry. Monangai’s interior running is perfect for playoff football.

While Swift is the lead back in this committee, there have been several games where both backs got a lot of work. We saw this against the Eagles, where both backs rushed for 125+ yards.

When the Bears faced the Packers in Week 16, Monangai racked up 50 rushing yards on only nine carries, so 44.5 is a reasonable bar for him here, especially since this could be a run-heavy game plan.

Jordan Love: Under 225.5 Passing Yards (-112) @ Bears

Jordan Love is averaging 225.4 passing yards per game this season, which is right around this number.

In the Week 14 meeting with the Bears, Love threw for 234 yards on only 25 attempts. He departed in the second quarter of the Week 16 matchup because of a concussion.

The reason why I’m riding with the under in this spot is that I’m betting that the Bears control the time of possession with efficiency on the ground.

With Swift and Monangai racking up yardage, that could take time off the clock, resulting in fewer possessions for Love to get to this number.

Christian Watson: Under 53.5 Receiving Yards (-112) @ Bears

The same line of thinking applies to my Christian Watson fade. I’m going under 53.5 receiving yards, even though he’s gone over this in three of his last five games.

Watson blew up for 89 yards against the Bears in Week 14, but put up only 17 against them in Week 16. That was because Love left early, but I still think the Bears will make a concerted effort to take Watson away.

The deep threat has the highest number among Packers’ wideouts, so he feels like the safest to fade in what’s likely going to be a run-heavy and low-scoring game.

Target the last of my Packers vs Bears props with the top sportsbook promotions for 2026.

Author

Frank Ammirante

Frank Ammirante is a Senior Sports Writer at The Game Day. Previously, he wrote for 4for4 Football and RotoBaller. Frank is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association while maintaining an active presence within the community. He has competed in industry contests like the Scott Fish Bowl, The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational, and more. Frank will be making his debut in Tout Wars this year. He's got a diverse sporting background, but specializes in football and baseball.

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