The New Orleans Saints and Philadelphia Eagles will square off in Week 11 in a battle of two teams that have been scrappy and feisty this season.
The Saints gave the Tennessee Titans a run for their money last week before ultimately suffering their second two-point loss in a row, dropping them to 5-4 on the season.
The Eagles, on the other hand, will return home after earning their second consecutive road win with a 30-13 throttling of the Denver Broncos. They’ve stabilized since their 1-3 start, going 3-3 over their past six games.
Will New Orleans bounce back on the road? Or will Philly earn its first home win of the season? Let’s explore with our Saints vs Eagles predictions and best bets.
Please note that all NFL Week 11 odds and lines are current as of 1:00 p.m. ET on Friday, November 19.
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Saints vs Eagles Prediction
Over the last two weeks, Saints quarterback Trevor Siemian has actually played quite well in place of Jameis Winston. While New Orleans has narrowly lost both of his starts, he’s managed a 4:0 TD/INT ratio while throwing for 547 yards over his last two games.
The Saints have also received a boost from Mark Ingram, who helped fill in for an injured Alvin Kamara last week. Kamara (knee) is expected to miss this week as well, but his Eagles counterpart Miles Sanders (ankle) is expected to return.
While Siemian has been solid, Jalen Hurts has been better. While his passing has been an issue at times, he ranks tied for first among all quarterbacks in rushing touchdowns with five and trails only Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson in rushing yards at the position.
Schematically, the Saints are decent in coverage but rank 26th in rushing the passer, per Pro Football Focus. They are fantastic against the run, however, ranking first according to PFF. Containing the dynamic Hurts will be key for them.
While cornerback Marshon Lattimore was a force to be reckoned with in the past, that really isn’t the case anymore as he has allowed five touchdowns and over 600 yards on the year. Accordingly, this sets up to be a good matchup for Eagles rookie wide receiver DeVonta Smith.
This should be a tight matchup, but look for the Eagles to prevail behind their superior signal-caller.
Prediction: Eagles 23, Saints 20
Saints vs Eagles Best Bets
Best Bet: Eagles -2 (-110) at Betway
Wager: 0.25 Units
At two points, this is still relatively close to a “pick ’em". The home-field advantage for Philly more than likely assisted with this going over just a one-point spread on our NFL gameday odds.
In all honesty, this is a game that is probably worth staying away from, but we’re not here to back out.
The dynamic ability that Hurts brings combined with some solid matchups in the passing game makes the Eagles look fine here. New Orleans’ offensive line also isn’t what it used to be while Philadelphia gets to the passer well, primarily from their defensive interior.
Siemian is a fairly traditional dropback type of passer who was just sacked four times by the Titans, who aren’t known for their defense. That is a recipe for the Eagles’ defensive linemen to do some damage.
All things considered I’d lean towards Philadelphia here, but this should be a nail-biter if you bet the spread.
Best Bet: Under 43 Total Points (-110) at Betway
Wager: 0.25 Units
While my score prediction adds to exactly 43, I must admit that the Under seems way more plausible. The Saints have averaged just 23 points per game during Siemian’s two starts, while the Eagles have scored 22 points or less in half of their games this season.
Hurts has been up and down this year, especially when he’s had to throw the ball. If New Orleans can neutralize Philadelphia’s running game and force him to pass, we could see a sluggish game with more punts and field goals.
As for the Eagles, they have competent pass rushers inside that could limit Siemian, who’s completing less than 50 percent of his passes this year when under pressure.
It’s far more likely we see a game with both teams scoring around 20 points, making the Under our NFL bet of the day.
Best Bet: Saints Moneyline (+115) at Betway
Wager: 0.25 Units
With such a tight spread, this game could go either way. With that in mind, New Orleans getting a plus price at +115 seems like a fine bet to make, especially since Philadelphia has yet to win at home this year.
If the Saints can keep Siemian relatively clean, they could pull out a sloppy win. Their defense has allowed the seventh-fewest points per game this year and should be able to keep this one close.
While New Orleans has been tough to pin down from a betting standpoint this year because they play such a conservative brand of football, but they’re worth throwing a bit of money on at plus odds in a winnable game.
Thanks for reading our NFL Week 11 Saints vs Eagles Predictions! For more NFL betting tips, check out our NFL Week 11 Best Bets.