ByScott Engel

Feb 1, 2024

Most Bet Super Bowl 58 Prop Bets: Kelce Over Receiving Yards?

Do you want to know what are the best and most popular Super Bowl 58 prop plays? Check out the rundown of featured wagers that are drawing in the most action as the showdown for the Lombardi Trophy approaches.

You also have to keep an eye on what lines are moving, so select props are also highlighted.

All Super Bowl 58 odds used in these props are current as of Feb. 1.

Most Bet Super Bowl 58 Props

Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD Scorer


To get more out of this wager, I would suggest putting two units on it.

McCaffrey finding the end zone appears to be one of the best in-game results to bet on for Super Bowl 58. He tied for first in scrimmage TDs with 21 in the regular season, and he rushed for two TDs in both of San Francisco’s NFC playoff games.

McCaffrey is also the most popular pick to score 2+ TDs at (+225), as he looks to pull off the feat for the third time in this season’s playoffs. A total of six rushing TDs would tie him for second most all-time in a single postseason.

Travis Kelce (-120) and Isiah Pacheco (-125) are the second and third-most bet Anytime TD scorer prop targets. They have combined for six of the seven TDs that Kansas City registered in three AFC playoff games.

Kelce has also drawn the most bets for 1st TD Scorer, at (+650). McCaffrey has the shortest odds for that bet at (+340), and he has attracted the second-most wagers.

Christian McCaffrey: Most Rushing + Receiving Yards


The 49ers superstar led the NFL with 2,023 scrimmage yards during the regular season, becoming just the third player in league history to roll up 2,000-plus for two different teams. He has 260 scrimmage yards in two playoff games this season, and he has averaged 119.9 scrimmage yards in six career postseason games.

Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 TD passes at (-135) is the next most popular statistical/non-TD prop, but the Kansas City passer has not cleared that projected total in six of his last eight games.

Super Bowl 58 Props: Where Is The Money Going?

Patrick Mahomes: Over 25.5 Completions


The Kansas City offense is not as potent as in other recent seasons, and Mahomes did not reach the projected attempts total in two of his three playoff games.

But 98% of the bets are on the Over, so you will be taking a contrarian stance by going with the Under.

For Passing Yards, 78% of the bets are on the Over of 257.5 (-115). Mahomes has not reached that total in four of his past five games, including the playoffs.

Brock Purdy: Longest Completion Over 36.5 Yards


Bettors are mostly feeling good about Purdy hitting on a deep play to one of his many playmakers, as he is facing a Kansas City defense that allowed completions of 54 yards to Zay Flowers and 39 to Nelson Agholor in the AFC Championship Game.

Purdy has a long completion of 38-plus yards in six of his last seven games, and 78% of wagers are coming in on the Over.

For Purdy’s Passing Attempts of 31.5 (-105), 91% of the bets are on the Under.

Purdy has 31-plus attempts in three of his past four games overall, so taking the Under is a risky play, especially if the Niners take a high percentage passing approach to attacking the Chiefs defense.

Super Bowl 58 Props: Monitoring Line Movement

Travis Kelce: Over/Under 69.5 Receiving Yards


Kelce’s receiving yardage total opened at Over/Under 72.5 Receiving Yards (-115/120), as noted by Sharp Football Analysis. The future Hall of Fame first-ballot lock has totaled 71-plus receiving yards in each of his three AFC playoff games, so seeing the total move down only makes this wager more friendly.

Brandon Aiyuk’s yardage total moves slightly from 64.5 (-115/-115) to 62.5 (-115/-115). He has surpassed both totals in three of his past four games.

Isiah Pacheco: Over/Under 65.5 Rushing Yards


Pacheco’s rushing yardage total has dropped from the opening lines of Over/Under 69.5 (-115/-115). He has rushed for 68-plus yards in five of his last six games.

McCaffrey’s Over/Under opened at 90.5 (-115/-115) and has only moved to 89.5 (-115/-115). He has rushed for 90-plus yards in seven of the last eight games played.

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Scott Engel

Scott Engel is a Senior Sports Writer at The Game Day. Previously he was at and The Athletic. His work is also featured at RotoBaller and on Scott is a host on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio. He is an inaugural member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association's Hall of Fame. Scott is a four-time FSWA award winner and a 13-time finalist. He was an Associate Editor and featured writer at and his career began at CBS SportsLine, where he was a Senior Writer and Managing Editor. Scott was the Managing Director at RotoExperts.

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