BySam Wagman

Feb 7, 2024

Hard Rock Sportsbook Super Bowl 58 Odds & Best Bets

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      No Regret First Bet

The Super Bowl has finally arrived, and the San Francisco 49ers, who coasted through much of the regular season before back-to-back dogfight victories in the playoffs led them to represent the NFC in the Big Game, will face off against the Kansas City Chiefs, who had plenty of issues in the regular season but have for the most part had an easy run to Super Bowl 58.

This is a rematch of Super Bowl 54, where Kansas City came back from a 20-10 fourth-quarter deficit to win Patrick Mahomes’ first Super Bowl title, 31-20.

Here at The Game Day, we’ve been dropping all of our best sportsbook promos to help get you ready for this Super Bowl, so let’s get into some Hard Rock Super Bowl odds.

Hard Rock Super Bowl Odds Promo Explained

The Hard Rock Bet sportsbook is relatively new compared to other sportsbooks, launching in 2019 prior to the Super Bowl in a select amount of states: New Jersey, Iowa, Indiana, Tennesee and Virginia. In 2022, Arizona joined the mix and just recently this past November, Florida finally joined as it legalized sports betting for the second time.

Given it’s new stature, Hard Rock Bet doesn’t offer some of the crazy promotions that other, more widespread books allow but they do offer a friendly sign-bonus: a No Regret First Bet, up to $100. Let’s get into this offer.

To activate this promotion is pretty simple. All that you need to do is sign up at Hard Rock Bet, deposit, and place your first cash wager of at least $10.

If that first bet loses, the amount of your initial wager will be refunded to you as a bonus bet token, up to $100. That bonus bet token will expire seven days after being issued, so make sure you act quickly!

To most efficiently use this promo, you should be wagering on something you feel more confident in, given you’re only guaranteed money if you lose the bet. You should always look to win your bets.

Let’s look at some bets on Hard Rock Bet that have odds that make sense.

Hard Rock Super Bowl Odds Bets

Brock Purdy: Under 20.5 Pass Completions (+100)

Hard Rock Bet • 1 Unit

Looking at this, it’s not a very high bar to clear, which explains why the OVER is juiced to -130. However, I see some value on the under in this spot.

Everyone knows that the 49ers rank first in pass game EPA, which makes sense, as they’re an electric pass unit. But Purdy doesn’t really need to throw that many times or complete that many passes to win games usually, and the fact that his Yards per Pass Attempt was 9.6 this season means he’s going to see more incompletions downfield (usually).

This should be a close game on paper, one in which the 49ers should be using Christian McCaffrey plenty. Purdy only went over this total in seven of 19 games this season, and in three of those, he barely hit this prop, sneaking in at 21 in pass-happy game scripts against Minnesota, Seattle, and Tampa Bay.

Against Kansas City, who holds one of the highest defensive pass DVOA ratings, I don’t expect Purdy to be throwing nearly as much, as the Chiefs tended to allow this over to hit in games where they were solidly ahead of their opponents.

George Karlaftis: Over 0.5 Sacks (+145)

Hard Rock Bet • 1 Unit

I had to make a sack prop for the Super Bowl, and I’m riding with Karlaftis here, who already has 2.5 sacks in three games this postseason and had 10.5 sacks in the regular season.

The 49ers have had one of the better offensive lines in terms of sack allowance, but there’s always one massive defensive play that can turn the direction of a Super Bowl (hello Brandon Graham sacking Tom Brady) and I’m betting that in the absence of Charles Omenihu, who tore his ACL in the AFC Championship, that Karlaftis will get home.

Trent Williams is impenetrable at LT, but the rest of the OL is attachable, and that’s where I’m hoping we’ll see Karlaftis line up. The 49ers center, right guard and right tackle positions combined are 30th in pressure rate this season, so if Steve Spagnuolo wants to get to Purdy, that’s a good place to start.

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Sam Wagman

Sam is the Sports Content Editor for The Game Day. He has been in the sports media industry for 4 years, with stints at VegasInsider, Footballguys, and Fantasy Points. Sam specializes in fantasy football content creation and strategy as well as sports betting content strategy with an NFL and PGA focus. Originally from Philadelphia, he enjoys all Philly sports despite now living in Florida. He enjoys playing tennis, pickleball, and golf -- while constantly struggling to break 80 on the course.

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