ByMatt De Lima

Feb 10, 2024

Best George Kittle Prop Bets For Super Bowl 58

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George Kittle is one of the most explosive playmaking tight ends in the NFL.

He isn’t typically a high volume pass-catcher, evidenced by only having four games this season with seven or more receptions. What you can count on though are big plays since he had a reception of at least 28 yards in 11 games this season, including both postseason contests.

The 2023 season was Kittle’s first 1,000-yard campaign since 2019, and coincidentally, he was named a first-team All-Pro in both years, as well (second-team All-Pro in 2018 & 2022).

The five-time Pro Bowl selection only collected four passes for 36 yards against the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LIV, and I suspect he will want to make an immediate impact to redeem that underwhelming and disappointing loss.

The Game Day has you covered on George Kittle player props, as well as the best sportsbook promos across the industry.

Best George Kittle Player Props

George Kittle: Over 46.5 Receiving Yards ()

bet365 Sportsbook • 2 Units

Kittle is averaging 62.7 receiving yards per game this season, including the playoffs. This even includes two games where he was held to single-digit receiving yards, which I consider to be serious outliers.

The former Iowa alumnus can be streaky. He’s eclipsed this total nine times in his last 12 games. However, he’s fell short twice in his last three contests (27 yards vs Lions in divisional & 29 yards in Week 18 vs Commanders).

Considering Kittle can explode on any given play and has long receptions of 28 yards and 32 yards in the 49ers’ playoff games, this feels like a safe wager. Brock Purdy frequently looks to get Kittle involved deep downfield, so a single big play could blow this prop out of the water.

George Kittle: Player with Longest Reception ()

DraftKings Sportsbook • 0.5 Units

Purdy led all quarterbacks in passes traveling 20-plus yards (72), 30-plus yards (31), and 40-plus yards (14). Patrick Mahomes wasn’t in the top-seven in any.

Purdy completed 27-of-41 passes that traveled 20-plus yards, good for a 65.7 completion percentage, best in the league by a wide margin. Meanwhile, Mahomes is averaging career-lows in completed air yards per completion (4.1), completed air yards per pass attempt (2.7), yards per attempt (seven), passing success rate (48.2), and the list goes on.

So, it’s safe to assume by the stats that the player with the longest reception is more likely to be from San Francisco than Kansas City.

Kittle had 18 receptions of 20-plus yards, three for 40-plus, and a season-long of 66. Brandon Aiyuk is the player with the best odds with 28 receptions for 20-plus, three for 40-plus, and a season-long of 92.

I’ll take Kittle with the more favorable plus-odds since Aiyuk is at (+360).

George Kittle: Longest Reception Over 20.5 ()

BetMGM Sportsbook • 1 Unit

We’re hammering the big-play narrative here. It’s wild that Kittle has the same longest reception threshold as Travis Kelce, considering the latter only had 12 receptions of 20-plus yards.

Kittle is seeing an absurd 9.5-yard average depth of target, a career-high by 1.2 yards. His 7.4 yards after catch per reception is the second-best total since his rookie year.

So, on average, a target to Kittle is about 10 yards, then add 7.4 YAC, and that gives us about 17 or 18 yards per catch, which nearly tracks with his 15.9 yards per reception average this season including playoffs.

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Matt De Lima

Matt is a sports content editor at The Game Day with more than 10 years experience in the fantasy and betting spaces. He is a two-time Fantasy Sports Writing Association award finalist with previous experience working for Sports Illustrated, Full Time Fantasy, FFToolbox, 4for4, and RotoExperts. Born and raised in California, Matt now calls southern Maryland home. He is a Virginia Tech alumnus and a life-long 49ers, Lakers, and Dodgers fan.

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