Philadelphia Eagles (3-7-1) at Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Eagles Packers Bet Tips
Eagles Packers Odds and Betting Lines
Against The Spread: Packers -9 (-110)/Eagles +9 (-110)
Moneyline: Packers (-420)/Eagles (+320)
Total: 47 — Over 47 (-105)/Under 47 (-115)
Implied Team Totals: Packers 28, Eagles 19
The Eagles are 2-3 in their past five games, victims of three straight defeats. They’ll take their quarterback controversy that isn’t there (but really is) to Green Bay to take on the Packers, who are also 3-2 in their past five but are coming off a dominant win at the Bears last Sunday night.
If the Eagles drop this game to the Packers, their chances of emerging as NFC East champions will slip that much further away.
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Eagles Packers Key Injuries
Eagles RT Lane Johnson is out for the rest of the season with an ankle injury. Philadelphia’s line has been decimated by injuries all season long, but none as catastrophic as Johnson.
However, Pro Football Focus ranks Johnson as the 38th-best tackle on 405 snaps. He will be replaced by Jordan Mailata, who isn’t as much as a drop-off from Johnson as you may think.
Mailata is the 48th ranked tackle on 455 snaps. With both Jason Peters and Johnson in and out of the rotation this year, Mailata had to play significant snaps. Perhaps the Eagles will be able to tread water without him.
The Packers could be down two players in their secondary for Sunday’s matchup with the Eagles. Both Josh Jackson (concussion) and Darnell Savage (back) are day-to-day with their respective injuries.
However, the Packers are getting the Eagles on Sunday, one of the most horrendous passing offenses in the NFL this year. The Eagles’ offense is currently ranked as the sixth-worst unit in passing yards per game (206.4), Green Bay should not miss a beat with or without Savage and Jackson in the lineup.
Eagles Packers Players to Watch
Packers WR Davante Adams has smashed the Eagles in his short resume against them in his career. In three career meetings against Philadelphia, Adams has scored a touchdown or went for north of 100 receiving yards. In fact, he’s scored a touchdown in 2-of-3 games and has gone for 113+ in 2-of-3 as well.
The last time Adams faced-off against the Eagles back in September of 2019, he did not score but hung 180 yards on them off of 10 grabs.
This time around, Adams is expected to draw either Darius Slay or Avonte Maddox in coverage. He could also see a mixture of both with help over the top.
It won’t matter though. Adams has been crushing it this season. Despite missing three games, Adams is the 5th best wideout in receptions (74), 8th in yards (908), and second in total scores (11). Adams has also scored or gone for 100+ years in each of his past six games.
While the Eagles are allowing the eighth fewest passing yards per game (210.7), they can only hope to contain Adams. They won’t stop him.
Eagles RB Miles Sanders has been an utter disappointment this season compared to expectations. He’s only managed 723 total yards and three total touchdowns in eight games. While he is one of the more efficient backs in the league, averaging 4.9 true yards per carry, good for third amongst running backs, and 5.7 yards per touch, good for eighth.
I won’t put it all on Sanders, however. He is not getting enough of the opportunity. Sanders is 18th in carries (108) and 36th in receptions (19). Sanders should be getting more work for how effective he is. Instead, Doug Pederson is pass-happy with the inefficient and turnover-prone Carson Wentz. The Eagles are fourth in team pass plays per game (42.8).
If the Eagles are going to have a shot to win, Sanders must be busy. The Packers can be run on, allowing the 13th most rushing yards per game (114.5). If you don’t believe me, go look at David Montgomery’s production last week. He actually appeared competent for the first time in a long time.
Eagles Packers Weather Report
The weather at Lambeau Field calls for an overcast afternoon at the time of kickoff with a 0% precipitation probability.
The temperature is forecast at 40 degrees Fahrenheit with 11 mph winds blowing South-SouthEast.
Eagles Packers Bet Tips
BEST BET: Over 47 (-105)
We know that the Packers can score points at will. They are averaging 31.7 points per game, the second-best in the NFL. Where I see an issue is on Philadelphia’s end. They are averaging 21.5 PPG, good for the eighth fewest in the league. With both teams employing middle-of-the-pack defenses in points allowed, I slightly like the Over in this matchup, but it is close.
Each of the Eagles’ past five games has gone Under.
Four of Green Bay’s past five games have gone Over.
If the Eagles can run the football with success and let Miles Sanders run wild, Carson Wentz should have an easier time working the ball downfield to his pass-catchers. Speaking of pass-catchers, Zach Ertz could return from his ankle injury this week following a five-game absence. While he was activated from the injured reserve list, he did play in last week’s loss to Seattle.
Six of the past eight meetings between the Packers and Eagles have gone Under with two of the past three going Over.
CONSIDER: Packers -9 (-110)
For whatever reason, the Eagles show up to play at Lambeau. The Packers are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven home meetings with the Eagles.
The Eagles are 2-2 ATS in their past four meetings with the Packers.
The Eagles and Packers are both 2-3 ATS in their past five games this season with both covering in their last respective matchups after going two straight games failing to cover.
Two of the past three games between these two foes have been decided by at least 14 points. Both Packers’ wins.
PASS: Packers (-420)
While I love the Packers to win this game, this could be a trap for Green Bay. And considering how much you have to wager on the Packers Moneyline to get a decent return, I’d hate to see it go to waste if Carson Wentz and the Eagles find a way to take care of business on the road against the Packers as they did last year with their 34-27 win.
Although an Eagles victory is a longshot, it is not impossible. In their past five games, the Packers dropped an easy win to the Vikings while letting the Jaguars hang around long enough to almost pull off the upset. Both of those games were at Lambeau.
Anthony Cervino is 31-33-1 on his NFL Best Bets in 2020.
Anthony Cervino is an NFL Writer and Betting Analyst for The Game Day. He is also a lifelong NFL savant and self-proclaimed league historian. In the industry, Anthony has excelled in both the fantasy football and sports betting space with fantasy his proverbial bread and butter.
Anthony has made appearances on SiriusXM, amongst other publications. He is also the co-creator of the FF Faceoff (Faceoff Sports Network) and the FF Faceoff Mental Health Podathon partnered with the Hayden Hurst Foundation.
15th most accurate ranker in the FantasyPros ECR for both draft and in-season accuracy (2019)
| 8th most accurate ranker in the FantasyPros ECR for sleepers (2020)
| 13th most accurate ranker in the FantasyPros ECR for in-season accuracy, including 2nd at quarterback and 3rd at tight end (2021).
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