Indianapolis Colts (8-4) at Las Vegas Raiders (7-5)
Indianapolis Colts visit the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET. Here’s our complete guide to Colts Raiders Bet Tips.
All odds and lines for Colts-Raiders NFL picks are from PointsBet, current as of Tuesday at 5:30 p.m. ET.
Colts Raiders Bet Tips
Colts Raiders Odds and Betting Lines
- Against The Spread: Colts -2.5 (-110)/Raiders +2.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Colts (-145)/Raiders (+125)
- Total: 51.5 — Over 51.5 (-110)/Under 51.5 (-110)
- Implied Team Totals: Colts 27, Raiders 24.5
The Colts are 3-1 in their past four games and are currently on top of the AFC South. They will look to gain ground on the Titans, who are currently in second with the same 8-4 record but Indy owns the tiebreaker.
It won’t be an easy out for the Colts as they take on a Raiders club that is 3-2 in its past four games.
They snapped a two-game losing streak with last week’s win over the Jets. The Raiders are in second place in the AFC West but have no chance of catching the Chiefs. Las Vegas is playing for a Wild Card spot moving forward.
[esi cache="public" adrotate group="1" ttl="60"]
Colts Raiders Key Injuries
Colts
Colts OL Anthony Castonzo sustained some damage to his MCL back in Week 12 and is considered week-to-week. However, Castonzo’s injury is not the only one Indianapolis needs to worry about at left tackle. His replacement, Le’Raven Clark suffered a left ankle injury in last week’s win over the Texans and did not return.
If both Castonzo and Clark are sidelined for Week 14’s matchup with the Raiders, Chaz Green will likely draw the start. Castonzo is the 32nd-ranked tackle, according to Pro Football Focus, and his absence would be a substantial blow to a normally top-end Indy front-five.
Raiders
Raiders RB Josh Jacobs is dealing with an ankle injury that forced him to sit out of last week’s win over the Jets. While there was some optimism about a Jacobs return in Sunday’s matchup with the Colts, it is not looking good.
Per Raiders HC Jon Gruden, he told the press that he “wouldn’t expect" Jacobs to play in Week 14. If Jacobs indeed sits out his second straight game, expect Devontae Booker to draw his second consecutive start.
In lieu of Jacobs, Booker led the Raiders in carries (16) and rushing yards (50). He also caught 1-of-2 targets for a one-yard gain. Facing a stout Colts front seven, the Raiders could be a one-dimensional team against one of the best defenses in the NFL.
Colts Raiders Players to Watch
Colts WR T.Y. Hilton is finally getting going. In each of his past two games, he’s had his most productive outings of 2020 while showing a crispt rapport with Philip Rivers.
In each of his past two games, Hilton has corralled at least 4-of-5 targets for 81 yards and a touchdown, topping out with an 8/110/1 line on 11 targets last week. Hilton’s Week 14 targets (11), receptions (8), and yards (110) were all season-bests for the veteran wideout, who has now scored in back-to-back games.
Hilton will face-off against a Raiders secondary yielding the ninth-most passing yards per game (257.1). The Raiders could be without Johnathan Abram, their second-year safety, who is dealing with a knee injury, which bodes well for big plays from the Indy passing attack.
Raiders TE Darren Waller has been an absolute monster in 2020. Currently, amongst tight ends, Waller is second in targets (108), receptions (77), and receiving yards (741) while fourth in touchdowns (7). He is also the No. 1 tight end in red-zone targets (20).
For the Raiders to have a chance on Sunday, Waller must ball-out, especially considering the fact that Josh jacobs is unlikely to play with a lingering ankle injury. However, Waller might be facing his toughest matchup to date in the form of the Colts.
The Colts’ defense is allowing the 10th fewest receptions (49), the third-fewest yards (424), and the fewest touchdowns (1) to enemy tight ends in 2020.
Colts Raiders Weather Report
The weather at Allegiant Stadium will not affect the outcome as it is a dome field.
Colts Raiders Bet Tips
BEST BET: Colts (-145)
While this game is on the road, the Colts should have no issue handing their business. The Colts are 5-3 in their past eight games straight up and 3-1 in their past four.
Meanwhile, the Raiders are 2-2 in their past four games, coming off of a three-point win against the Jets they won off of a blown defensive play call. That victory over the Jets also snapped a two-game slide for Las Vegas. Barely pulling off of a win against the Jets is not something to hang your hat on.
The Colts are the dominant team defensively. Their offense is also nothing to scoff at, especially considering the recent emergence of Jonathan Taylor and T.Y. Hilton. Philip Rivers is also playing his best football in a long time with his 18:9 TD:TO ratio.
Not expecting to have Josh Jacobs is also an issue for the Raiders. They are staring at a potential one-dimensional football game — if Devontae Booker can’t get going — which does not bode well for a Raiders offense that lives and dies by the run and play-action pass.
The Colts are 4-2 straight up in their past six meetings with the Raiders, dropping their 2019 matchup.
CONSIDER: Colts -2.5 (-110)
If you like the Colts to win and cover the spread, you will get slightly better odds going this route. I am playing it safe taking the Moneyline, however.
The Colts are 4-2 against the spread in their past six games and 3-1 in their past four.
The Raiders are 4-2 ATS in their past six games but failed to cover in each of their past two outings.
The Colts are 2-4 ATS in their past six meetings with the Raiders, failing to cover in their 2019 matchup.
PASS: Over 51.5 (-110)
While I am a total guy, this is one I am fading. This game could go either way. We could see the Colts shut down the Raiders, which would bode well for the Under, or this could be a blow-for-blow shootout if Las Vegas could overcome Josh Jacobs‘ potential absence and Derek Carr can find holes in the normally stingy Indy secondary, which is great for the Over.
The Over is 4-2 in the past six meetings between the Colts and Raiders while hitting in each of their past three matchups.
If I had to choose one, I like the Over, but I don’t trust it.
Anthony Cervino is 41-35-1 on his NFL Best Bets in 2020.
Prepare Week 14 betting tips and plan
- Read our latest NFL news, analysis, tips, predictions and betting tips.
- Learn how to bet on sports, including strategies, key terms, and betting process.
- Watch videos of our latest NFL analysis and predictions from experts.
- Choose the sportsbook and betting offer that fits your budget and strategy.
[esi sportsbookgrid num=3 ttl=”0″]
