Kansas City Chiefs (12-1) at New Orleans Saints (10-3)
The Kansas City Chiefs visit the New Orleans Saints at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome on Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET. Here’s our complete guide to Chiefs Saints Bet Tips. Odds and lines for Chiefs-Saints picks are from PointsBet, current as of Tuesday at 5 p.m. ET.
Chiefs Saints Bet Tips
Odds & Betting Lines for Chiefs-Saints Picks
- Against The Spread: Chiefs -3 (-115)/Saints +3 (-105)
- Moneyline: Chiefs (-171)/Saints (+145)
- Total: 51.5 — Over 51.5 (-115)/Under 51.5 (-105)
- Implied Team Totals: Chiefs 27.25, Saints 24.25
The Chiefs are in control of the No. 1 seed in the AFC. A win over the Saints could lock it up, especially if the Steelers drop a third straight game, which is unlikely as they get the Bengals on Monday night.
While the Chiefs are winners of eight straight games, they will get a Saints club who just had their nine-game winning streak snapped last week by the Eagles.
The Saints need this game more than the Chiefs. They are still fighting for the No, 1 seed in the NFC. The Packers already own the tiebreaker over the Saints. A New Orleans Week 15 loss makes edging out Green Bay that much more unlikely.
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Chiefs Saints Key Injuries
Chiefs
The Chiefs are not dealing with any new injuries of significance.
Saints
Early Sunday morning, NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reported that Saints QB Drew Brees’ (ribs) playing status for Week 15’s tilt with the Chiefs remained uncertain.
And while Brees himself told the press that he wants to return and start, there is no official word from the team on whether or not it will actually happen.
If Brees misses a fifth straight game, Taysom Hill gets another start. Hill is 3-1 in four starts sans Brees since Week 11.
Chiefs Saints Players to Watch
Chiefs RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire rushed 16 times for 32 yards while catching 5-of-6 targets for 59 yards in last week’s win over the Dolphins. If you include Week 13 in which he was active despite an illness and did not log a single touch, the disappointing rookie has now logged three straight games with fewer than 91 total yards without a score.
In fact, Edwards-Helaire has accumulated fewer than 91 yards in seven straight games with four total touchdowns in three different outings in that period.
Edwards-Helaire will look to get back on track but could have difficulty doing so, on Sunday at the Saints. While the Saints defense allowed their first 100+ yard rusher since Samaje Perine did it against them back in 2017 — both Jalen Hurts and Miles Sanders went for 100+ yards versus the Saints last week — they are as stout as they come.
The Saints are allowing the second-fewest rushing yards per game (89.2) this season. They were first going ingot last week.
It seems like while slowly, Saints WR Michael Thomas is getting on track. Following a treacherous start to the year that included a multitude of injuries and off the field distractions, Thomas has now logged 8+ targets, 8+ receptions, and 84+ yards in three of his past four games. In two of those games, Thomas had 11+ targets, 9+ receptions, and 100+ yards.
While this is Thomas’ best stretch of the year, he has yet to score a touchdown in seven 2020 appearances.
If this game turns into a shootout, Thomas must be involved and productive for the Saints to keep up. The Chiefs’ defense is allowing the 14th fewest passing yards per game (230.5). Whether it is Drew Brees or Taysom Hill under center this week, the QB1 will have to cut it loose.
Chiefs Saints Weather Report
The weather at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome will not affect the outcome of the game as it is a dome field.
Chiefs-Saints Picks & Best Bet
BEST BET: Chiefs (-171)
In one of the games of the week, the Chiefs-Saints matchup should be a doozy. While I do believe the Chiefs are the better team, the Saints are not far behind despite the fact that two games separate these two clubs.
While we could see Drew Brees return from his ribs injury, we could also see Taysom Hill starting for the Saints. Either way, the Saints can win.
However, if this turns into a shootout, I am not sure Hill can keep-up. At this point, I am not sure Brees can either. To me in an offensive slugfest, the Packers are the only team that can trade punches with the Chiefs on a consistent basis. But that is another conversation for another day, possibly in early February.
Although the Saints bring a better defense, it is not by much. The Saints are allowing the fourth-fewest points per game (20.4) while the Chiefs are surrendering the eighth-fewest PPG (21.6).
Their offenses are in reverse. The Chiefs are scoring at the second-highest rate (31.0 PPG) while the Saints are scoring the seventh most PPG (28.3).
These teams match-up well, but I will err on the side of the better quarterback and the team with the better turnover differential — the Chiefs are (+8) while the Saints are (+6). The better quarterback is Patrick Mahomes and it is not close.
CONSIDER: Over 51.5 (-115)
I love my fair share of Over/Unders, but I am not too sure about this one. As I said above, the Saints and Chiefs match-up well. We could see a shootout or we could see a defensive struggle, especially since this game is being played in New Orleans. Due to my uncertainty, I am taking the Over, but it is not my Best Bet.
The Over is 5-5 in the Chiefs’ past 10 games but 3-2 in their past five.
The Over is 5-5 in the Saints’ past 10 games, going Over last week following five straight games meeting the Under.
The last three meetings between these two clubs have all hit the Under, but the last time they played was back in 2016.
CONSIDER: Chiefs -3 (-115)
If you like the Chiefs to win and believe they will cover, take them giving the three points and your odds will slightly increase.
The Chiefs are 0-5 against the spread in each of their past five games.
The Saints are 5-1 in their past six games, failing to cover last week.
Anthony Cervino is 48-40-1 on his NFL Best Bets in 2020.
Prepare Week 15 betting tips and plan
After studying Chiefs Saints Bet Tips and Chiefs-Saints Picks:
- Read our latest NFL news, analysis, tips, predictions and betting tips.
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