ByPat Pickens

Sep 20, 2022

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The NFL season is coming soon, making it the perfect time to take a look at some futures. With so many lucrative sportsbook welcome bonuses on the market, you want to take a shot at a big payout on futures with long odds.

In this article, we’ll take a look at the Carolina Panthers, which could be a sneaky playoff team after trading for Baker Mayfield.

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Carolina Panthers Make the Playoffs (+400)

You look at this Panthers roster and you see some intriguing pieces, making them seemingly a quarterback away from playoff contention. You have studs on offense in Christian McCaffrey and D.J. Moore. The team just drafted tackle Ikem Ekwonu sixth overall to bolster their offensive line. The defense has some good pieces in Brian Burns, Derrick Brown, and Jaycee Horn.

Enter Baker Mayfield, a quarterback who led the Browns to the AFC Divisional game in 2021 before having the bottom fall out in 2022, a year that was marred by injuries. Mayfield played hurt, which suppressed his production. We could see a bounce-back year while playing with a strong supporting cast in Carolina.

This team may contend for the playoffs, making them worth a stab at (+400).

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Baker Mayfield: Comeback Player of the Year (+1400)

Before Mayfield was pigeonholed into a game-manager by head coach Kevin Stefanski, he actually showed playmaking traits. Recall that in his rookie season, Mayfield averaged a career-high 266 passing yards with 27 touchdowns. There may be more to his game than what we’ve seen so far.

The Panthers could unlock another level in Mayfield, especially playing with McCaffrey and Moore. These are two players that can excel after the catch, which can align perfectly with Mayfield’s skillset as a rhythm passer.

New offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo can put a point of emphasis on underneath targets to these players, which would give Mayfield a number of “layup completions.”

I’d bet on a career year from Mayfield in 2022, putting him firmly in play to win Comeback Player of the Year. The former first overall pick was once thought of as a promising young quarterback and he can get back to that level.

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Baker Mayfield, QB, Carolina Panthers

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Carolina Panthers: Win NFC South (+1000)

I’m a big believer in Mayfield and think he’ll help make the Panthers contenders, so I’m willing to take a shot on them to win the division. While the Bucs are overwhelming favorites here, Tom Brady is 45 years old. Father time is undefeated, as they say. You never know when the decline will happen. We saw it with Peyton Manning in Denver, although part of that was due to the neck injury.

While the Saints will be a tough team as well, I do think that the Panthers are underpriced here. They have a young and improving defense, strong supporting cast, and improved offensive line. The team just needs more from their quarterback.

Mayfield is set up nicely to succeed here, so I’ll take a stab at (+1000) odds.

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D.J. Moore: Most Receiving Yards (+3000)

Here we have a juicy longshot prop on a stud wideout who was held back by poor quarterback play from Sam Darnold. The key here is that Moore gets a ton of volume in this Panthers offense.

He put up 162 targets (fifth) with a 28% target share (fifth). Not only was he peppered with opportunities, but they were also valuable looks downfield. Moore ranked third with 1,727 air yards, which was about 40% of the Panthers’ share (fifth).

Despite these numbers, Moore was only able to put up 1,157 receiving yards because of an inefficient catch rate resulting from Darnold’s struggles. Mayfield is a much more accurate quarterback and can help bring out the best in Moore. At 30-to-1, he’s absolutely worth a look.

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Author

Pat Pickens

Pat Pickens is a seasoned sportswriter who has covered pro sports since 2013 for various websites, including The New York Times, NHL.com, Bleacher Report, Sportsnet.ca, USA Today, the Associated Press and many others. His debut book, titled "The Whalers" about the history of the NHL's Hartford Whalers, was released in October 2021.

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