BySam Wagman

Jan 31, 2024

Best Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl Prop Bets To Make Now

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We are all set for Super Bowl 58, in case you hadn’t heard. The Kansas City Chiefs will face off against the San Francisco 49ers in a highly-anticipated rematch of Super Bowl 54, in which the Chiefs staged a late comeback to win 31-20 and claim Patrick Mahomes’ first Super Bowl title.

Mahomes isn’t having a superstar year by his standards, as he has had to deal with decidedly less offensive skill position talent than ever before in his NFL career, but he has made things work, due to his ever-dependent tight end Travis Kelce and emerging rookie stud wide receiver Rashee Rice.

Let’s get into some of the best sportsbook promos for Mahomes in the Super Bowl that you should be making right now.

Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl Prop Bets

Patrick Mahomes: Over 1.5 Pass Touchdowns

DraftKings Sportsbook • 1 Unit

You can 100% attack this 49ers’ defense through the air, if you’re creative. It helps to have one of the best quarterbacks in NFL history!

Mahomes immediately went on the offensive against a tough Baltimore Ravens’ passing defense, throwing all over them in the first half of the game this past week.

I expect a similar game plan from him and HC Andy Reid in this game, as the 49ers have showed they can falter in coverage.

Mahomes threw for multiple touchdowns in more than half his games this season, and while the 49ers have only allowed 7/19 teams to go for multiple passing scores, I expect the Chiefs to be ultra-aggressive in the red zone.

Mahomes threw for multiple scores in the previous Super Bowl against San Francisco, let’s see if he’s able to do it again here.

Mahomes Over 25.5 Rushing Yards

bet365 Sportsbook • 1 Unit

Mahomes going over his rushing yards should not surprise anyone. He is one of the most prolific scramblers of all time, especially on third down. On that down, he has converted a higher percentage (59% as of October 2023) than Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hurts, or Josh Allen, per ESPN.

It shouldn’t surprise anyone that I’m taking a Mahomes rushing over.

Quarterbacks tend to want the ball more in their hands during the playoffs, and Mahomes is no different, averaging over five yards a carry on 81 career playoff rushing attempts throughout his career. In 17 total playoff games, that’s an average of nearly five carries a game for over 25 yards.

The 49ers have allowed seven different quarterbacks to rush for at least 25 yards this season, and that includes pretty much every single rushing quarterback they faced, from Hurts to Jackson to Kyler Murray.

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Sam Wagman

Sam is the Sports Content Editor for The Game Day. He has been in the sports media industry for 4 years, with stints at VegasInsider, Footballguys, and Fantasy Points. Sam specializes in fantasy football content creation and strategy as well as sports betting content strategy with an NFL and PGA focus. Originally from Philadelphia, he enjoys all Philly sports despite now living in Florida. He enjoys playing tennis, pickleball, and golf -- while constantly struggling to break 80 on the course.

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