It may not be the matchup that was expected, but it is one of the best matchups in terms of offensive minds fans could have asked for. The Green Bay Packers head west to take on the NFC’s top-seeded San Francisco 49ers in the first of two NFC Divisional Round games.
The 49ers averaged 27.3 points per game at home this season, while the Packers averaged 27.6 away from Lambeau Field.
Sportsbooks are setting the line for total touchdowns at 6.5, which means there could be six or so different players finding paydirt if this prop hits. That also means there’s plenty of NFL betting opportunities when it comes to anytime TD props!
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Best Green Bay Packers Anytime TD Prop Bets
Dontayvion Wicks:
BetMGM Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 Units
Wicks is part of the rookie receiver class in Green Bay that has excelled as Jordan Love‘s ascent raised every pass catcher’s profile.
I was concerned about his role with the return of Christian Watson from injury, but even with a limited workload, Wicks still turned in a 2/25/1 performance on 2 targets in their Super Wild Card thumping of Dallas.
The good news is Romeo Doubs was the only WR to out-snap Wicks, with Jayden Reed seeing the same snaps (31) but with five on special teams.
Watson will continue to get more work, but his extensive injury history could lead to another capped game, especially as the main deep threat for the Packers passing attack.
Wicks saw eight red zone targets in the regular season, which is fine considering he was the latest bloomer of the Packers WR corps. He recent performance (four TDs in three games) sheds light on his ability to get open now, as well as within reach of the red zone.
Christian Watson: Anytime TD (+375)
ESPN BET Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 Units
This bet sticks out for a couple reasons. Watson is the deep threat for Green Bay when healthy, including a 77-yard score earlier this season. It also matters some that Watson saw a few looks as a rushers prior to getting hurt in November.
A.J. Dillon (knee) continues to not practice, and as nice as the Packers triumvirate is behind Aaron Jones, none have the elusiveness that Watson possesses with one touch.
San Fran allowed 44 receptions of 20-49 yards, which was good but not great as a defense. They also allowed 10 rushes between the same distance, which is notable for Jones’ TD prop (-110), as well as any upside Watson has as a potential rusher.
NOTE: If ESPN BET isn’t available in your state DraftKings has this
Best San Francisco 49ers Anytime TD Prop Bets
George Kittle:
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Green Bay plays more two-high safety defense than any other, which is great news for Kittle. He is a mismatch for the Green Bay safeties and linebackers, with Quay Walker the only LB that could slow him down (if asked to).
Even then, Kittle’s 9.47 aDOT makes him the ideal presence over the middle inside the red zone (12 targets), as well as to move the chains. 5 of Kittle’s 13 TDs from Brock Purdy have come from within the 10-yard line, including 4 inside the 5.
Kittle’s 1st TD prop of (+1100) on FanDuel is also in play for me at 0.25 units.
San Francisco D/ST:
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 Units
Jordan Love’s turnaround is undeniable, but the day he is perfect will be his first (and this goes for every QB minus a few single-game examples).
He is facing a 49ers defense that has the second-best interception ratio in the regular season, as well as a top 15 rate at home. Love threw 7 of his 11 picks on the road.
San Francisco had one pick-six (66 yards), which gives credence to this prop.
