Here is our best MLB Betting Pick of the Day, including the Best Baseball Pick Today, 8/2/21. All odds for August 2 MLB bet picks were obtained from DraftKings.
Since starting these articles on The Game Day, we’ve got an ROI of 6.8 percent and a winning percentage of 57.8 percent. It’s always fun to see profit come through during the season but I think we can grow this number in the next couple of months throughout the season.
Here are some tips for my Best Baseball Pick Today 8/2/21.
- Overall: 26-19 (+3.76 units)
- Team Totals: 10-7 (+0.62 units)
- First 5 IP Bets: 12-6-3 (+4.99 units)
- Moneylines: 3-3 (-0.5 units)
- Totals: 1-2 (-1.35 units)
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MLB Betting Pick of the Day: Best Baseball Pick Today 8/2/21
San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 p.m. ET)
- Probable Pitchers: SFG RHP Anthony DeSclafani @ ARI RHP Taylor Widener
Giants Over 2.5 Runs in First Five Innings (-120)
Wager: 1 unit
Throughout the trade deadline, the Giants watched their rivals in the Dodgers and Padres bolster their teams for the better. The Giants basically sat on their hands until the last second and picked up Kris Bryant from the Cubs.
Bryant already has a home run for San Francisco and looks great in those Giants colors. But most of all, he profiles very nicely in this Giants lineup against righties or lefties.
He’ll be batting second against Diamondbacks pitcher Taylor Widener, who is coming off two brutal starts against two brutal teams.
Widener went 3 2/3 innings in his last start against the Rangers, where he allowed five hits, five runs, and five walks with just three strikeouts. It took him 87 pitches and he couldn’t even get out of the fourth inning. In the start prior to that one, Widener allowed five runs off two home runs and eight hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Pirates. Although he had eight strikeouts, when the ball hit wood, they were hard-hit balls from the Pirates that fielders couldn’t help much on.
For Widener, he hasn’t pitched much at home this season. He’s only thrown two starts at home and has an ERA of 7.45 in Chase Field on the season, allowing opponents to hit .349 against him in 9 2/3 innings.
On the year, he’s allowing nearly two home runs per nine innings and walking nearly 10 percent of batters faced. He’s actually been able to leave over 80 percent of runners on base this season, but that’s starting to change after the last two starts. His luck is starting to fade away.
Widener has an ERA of 4.42 but an FIP of 5.67 and an XFIP of 5.31. He’s been lucky despite allowing ten runs in his last two starts. That’s how the beginning of his season went.
The projected lineup for the Giants has an ISO of .235 and wOBA of .378 in the last 30 days. Both of those numbers are way above the league average. This team is capable of hard-hit balls and limiting ground balls and while they will strike out a couple of times, they’ll also hit a couple of home runs or extra-base hits to drive runners home.
Widener has been exceptionally bad against righties and lefties. He’s walking nearly 20 percent of righties in his last 30 days and lefties are still walking at a high rate of 8.1 percent.
The Giants will have plenty of opportunities. They’ll need a couple of clutch hits in the first five innings and with a lineup that now includes Kris Bryant, I’m confident they’ll get the job done.