MLB Betting Pick of the Day: Best Baseball Pick Today 7/26/21

Last Updated: Jul 26, 2021

Here is our best MLB Betting Pick of the Day, including the Best Baseball Pick Today, 7/26/21. All odds for July 26 MLB bet picks were obtained from DraftKings.

Tonight’s card is short but I’ve found some value! This week features plenty of exciting divisional rivalries and hopefully that will wake up most lineups around the league.

Here are some tips for my Best Baseball Pick Today 7/26/21.

  • Overall: 24-18 (+2.81 units)
  • Team Totals: 10-7 (+0.62 units)
  • First 5 IP Bets: 10-6-3 (+2.99 units)
  • Moneylines: 3-3 (-0.5 units)
  • Totals: 1-1 (-0.3 units)

MLB Betting Pick of the Day: Best Baseball Pick Today 7/26/21

Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox (7:10 p.m. ET)

  • Probable Pitchers: TOR RHP Thomas Hatch @ BOS RHP Nick Pivetta

Over 11 Runs (-105)

Wager: 1.40 units

All July 26 MLB odds, lines, and bets are courtesy of DraftKings. DraftKings offers a deposit bonus of up to $1,000 with your first deposit. Sign up to claim this welcome promotion today to place your 2021 MLB bets today.

Nick Pivetta has been the definition of an average starting pitcher this year with a 4.37 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a 2.5 K/BB ratio in 19 starts. He’s come back to earth after a hot start, yielding a 5.22 ERA, an .831 opponent OPS, and 12 home runs over his last 11 outings.

Pivetta has struggled in his three starts against the Blue Jays this year with a 7.56 ERA and a 1.80 WHIP over 16 2/3 innings. In fact, Toronto just tagged him for 11 hits in his most recent appearance last Monday — the most hits he’s allowed in a start this season.

The Red Sox righty has also been a disaster at home this season with a 5.62 ERA, a 1.49 WHIP, and 11 home runs allowed in 10 starts at Fenway Park. That doesn’t bode well for tonight’s matchup against the Jays, who rank top 3 in the American League in batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and home runs.

On the other side, Thomas Hatch will make his first start of the season for the Blue Jays. Hatch pitched well after debuting for Toronto last year with a 2.73 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in 17 appearances. Only one of those outings was a start, however, and he finished with mediocre peripherals such as a 7.9 K/9 rate, a 4.4 BB/9 rate, and a 4.14 FIP.

Hatch will have his hands full with the first-place Red Sox, who just took three out of four against the New York Yankees. Similar to Toronto, Boston features a dangerous lineup that ranks among the top of the AL in numerous offensive categories, including runs, hits, and OPS.

With first-pitch temperatures projected to be around 84 degrees, the ball will likely be flying tonight. All signs point to a high-scoring slugfest between two elite offenses, which is why we’re betting on at least 11 total runs.

Author

Jason Radowitz

Jason Radowitz is a jack of all trades when it comes to writing sports. Jason writes and bets the MLB, NFL, NBA, NCAAF, and NCAAB when the sports are in season. Currently, he's a Writer and Betting Analyst for The Game Day providing daily content in the MLB. Earlier in his sports career, Jason was a graduate assistant for the University of Hartford Men's Basketball team using analytics and numbers to help put together the winningest season in program history. With his articles, you will be sure to get an analytical approach.

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