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Michigan vs Iowa Predictions

Last Updated: Nov 28, 2023

The top two teams in the Big 10 meet for the Big 10 Championship game. The reigning Big 10 Champion No. 2 ranked Michigan Wolverines will travel to Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the No. 18 Iowa Hawkeyes this Saturday at 8 p.m. ET.

The Wolverines could finish the season as a perfect 13-0 and back-to-back conference champions with a victory. Jim Harbaugh’s squad clinched the best record in the Big 10 East and their spot in this game after a statement victory over Ohio State last weekend.

Can Iowa spoil Michigan’s perfect season? Let’s look at NCAAF Week 14 odds, Michigan vs Iowa odds, predictions, and best bets for the Big 10 Championship Game.

Michigan vs Iowa Odds

Track our latest CFB odds for Wolverines vs Hawkeyes:

NCAAF lines used for Michigan @ Iowa were current as of Nov. 27 at 4:30 p.m. EST on DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • Moneyline: Michigan (-2800) • Iowa (+1300)
  • Spread: Michigan -23 (-112) • Iowa +23 (-108)
  • Total Points: Over 35.5 (-110) • Under 35.5 (-110)

Oddsmakers and bettors don’t seem to have much confidence in Iowa giving Michigan its first loss of the season early this week. The line has already slightly moved further in favor of the Wolverines after opening at 22.5 less than 48 hours ago.

Michigan vs Iowa Prediction

SCORE PICK: Michigan 30, Iowa 13

Michigan should have no trouble defeating Iowa on Saturday night and finishing the season as Big 10 Champions once again.

The odds are certainly not in the Hawkeyes’ favor despite the program having arguably its best season in some time. Iowa’s offense is simply not up to par when looking at these two teams side-by-side, and Michigan should have little to no problem coming away from Saturday’s matchup with a victory.

The Wolverines proved many of their doubters wrong after narrowly defeating the Buckeyes and handing them their first loss of the season. Harbaugh’s squad has had arguably the best defense in the country, and they came up big once again with an interception to clinch the victory.

That same Michigan defense will now face an offense that has failed to score 20 or more points in five of its last six games. Iowa’s offense ranks 130th in the country with an average of 246.3 yards of offense per game this season.

It is worth noting that Kirk Fernetz has his squad playing like a top defense as of late - holding its opponents to under 17 points in six straight games. However, the Wolverines are simply on another level compared to some of Iowa’s recent opponents and will pull away when all is said and done.

Michigan vs Iowa Best Bets

Over 35.5 (-110)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

A 35.5-point total is awfully low in a game that features a 12-0 squad that averages 37.6 points per game. However, that says a lot about the elite defenses that will be featured by both squads this Saturday.

Even so, I believe these teams will hit the over by a small margin. The Wolverines will do the brunt of the heavy lifting and may even hit it by themselves, but Iowa can certainly put some points on the board.

Michigan -23 (-110)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

Covering a 23-point spread is surely much easier said than done. However, I believe Michigan gets it done here against an Iowa offense that has significantly struggled to put up points over the last few weeks.

Both teams have fairly decent records ATS and Iowa’s defense could ultimately prevent the Wolverines from covering in this one. However, the play of senior running back Blake Corum this season should give you confidence otherwise. The 23-year-old back scored 22 touchdowns on the year and two or more in the last four games.

Michigan’s 30-point outing last week against one of the top defenses in the country in OSU gives me confidence in it covering here against Iowa.

Michigan vs Iowa Same Game Parlay

Michigan vs Iowa SGP (+1000)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 units

  • Iowa Over 7.5 (+175)
  • Over 35.5 (-110)
  • Michigan -23 (-112)

Parlaying together our best bets with Iowa Over 7.5 gives us juiced odds for a Michigan vs Iowa same-game parlay.

Oddsmakers are clearly very low on Iowa’s offense, and with good reason. Fernetz’s squad had been one of the lowest-scoring schools in the country and will be up against a top defense in the biggest game of their season.

Even so, at +175, I believe that taking the over on Iowa’s point total at such a low number is great value and can prove to be very profitable. Iowa averages 18 points per game this season and has been held under eight points just once.

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