Texas vs NC State Predictions & Best Bets

Last Updated: Mar 30, 2024

No. 1 Texas (33-4) will take on No. 3 NC State (30-6) for the right to advance to the Final Four this Sunday, March 31, at 3 p.m. ET.

The Longhorns have rolled through each of their opponents thus far, including a commanding 69-47 victory over No. 4 Gonzaga in the Sweet 16. Meanwhile, the Wolfpack are fresh off a 77-67 upset of No. 2 Stanford, which entered the NCAA Tournament as one of the title favorites.

Can NC State keep its run alive against Texas? Find out in our best bets and predictions for this Elite 8 showdown.

Texas vs NC State Odds

All NCAAW odds are current as of Saturday, March 30, at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Spread: Texas -5 (-110) • NC State +5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Texas (-225) • NC State (+185)
  • Total: Over 136.5 (-110) • Under 136.5 (-110)

As one of the top teams in the nation, it’s no surprise to see Texas enter this matchup as 5-point favorites over NC State. The Longhorns possess a top-10 offense and defense and were tested in a brutal Big 12 Conference.

The total comes in at 136.5 points, which is only a touch higher than the 135-point mark set for Sunday afternoon’s bout between South Carolina and Oregon State.

Texas vs NC State Prediction

Texas 74, NC State 66

What makes this Texas team special is their collective experience. Nearly 90% of last year’s scoring is returned on this roster, yet the team is still led by freshman forward Madison Booker, who has averaged 16.5 points, 5.0 assists, and 4.9 rebounds in 30.6 minutes per game.

NC State’s frontcourt defense will also be tested. The Longhorns make more two-pointers per game than any other team in the country, while the Wolfpack have limited opponents to just 39.3% shooting inside the arc — the 11th-best mark in college basketball.

Ultimately, this game may be decided by who wins the battle on the glass. Texas allows the fifth-fewest rebounds per game, but NC State collects the 12th-most, and the latter has been especially great at limiting second-chance opportunities.

With that in mind, I lean toward the Longhorns. Their superior size and experience will make them a force to be reckoned with in the paint, and if they do need to step out to the perimeter, they have reliable options in Shay Holle and Shaylee Gonzales.

Texas vs NC State Best Bets

Texas -5 (-110) vs NC State

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

Generally speaking, Texas either wins big or loses by a small margin. Its most lopsided defeat came by six points, and only three of its wins were decided by less than 10.

In that case, your best bets are to either take the Wolfpack outright or back the Longhorns to cover the spread, and I’m going with the latter. This team knows exactly how they want to play, and I don’t believe NC State is disruptive enough to throw them off.

Look for Texas to advance to the Final Four and make this your best college basketball bet today.

Over 136.5 Points (-110)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

The Longhorns’ consistency inside the arc and ability to get to the free throw line are big reasons why I favor the Over at 136.5 points. They almost exclusively take high-percentage shots, and that’s not likely to change against NC State.


Garrett Chorpenning

Garrett Chorpenning is the Lead NBA Editor for The Game Day. His previous work includes covering the LA Clippers for Sports Illustrated and FanSided. He graduated from Ball State University in 2021.

Related articles


Get $1,500 in Bonus Bets

5 stars

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets or First Bet Safety Net

5 stars

Bet $10, Get $200 in Bonus Bets

5 stars

Get A Bonus Bet Up to $1,000

5 stars

Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets

5 stars

Get A Bonus Bet Up To $250

5 stars

Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Every Day for 5 days!

5 stars

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, DC, IL, IN, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY).

Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).

Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI).

All betting content on is exclusively intended for audience members 21 years and older who are permitted to gamble in legal states. The Game Day may earn revenue from site visitor referrals to betting services.

Responsible Gaming: Many sportsbooks offer ways to encourage responsible gaming, including the establishment of limits to deposits, spending, and time dedicated to betting.

The Game Day is a TGD Marketing Ltd. endeavor.