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UConn vs San Diego State Predictions & Best Bets

Frank AmmiranteSenior Sports Writer
@FAmmiranteTFJ
Last Updated: Apr 3, 2023

No. 4 seed UConn cruised past Miami in a 72-59 victory in the Final Four. Star forward Adama Sanogo led the way with 21 points on an impressive 9-of-11 shooting from the field.

Meanwhile, No. 5 seed San Diego State pulled through in an epic 72-71 win over No. 9 seed Florida Atlantic. Junior guard Lamont Butler hit a buzzer-beater to secure the win for the Aztecs.

We’ve got a terrific matchup here, so let’s get right into my UConn vs San Diego State best bets and NCAA Tournament Finals predictions.

Frank Ammirante’s March Madness Betting Record: 21-34-1 (-12.55 units)

UConn vs San Diego State Odds

Note: Final Four odds mentioned in this article for UConn vs SDSU were used from DraftKings Sportsbook, unless otherwise noted, and are current as of April 2, at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: UConn (-350) • San Diego State (+290)
  • Spread: UConn -7.5 (-110) • San Diego State +7.5 (-110)
  • Total: Over 132 (-110) • Under 132 (-110)

UConn vs San Diego State Pick of the Day

Keep scrolling for more UConn vs SDSU betting tips.


Click for the rest of our UConn vs SDSU betting tips for the NCAA Tournament Finals:


UConn vs San Diego State Prediction

UConn 68, San Diego State 63

UConn has now won by double digits in each of their four victories in this tournament, so it makes sense that they’re heavy favorites vs San Diego State.

The Huskies have held every one of their opponents to 65 points or fewer, highlighted by the 54 points given up against the top-ranked offense in Gonzaga.

That’s bad news for the Aztecs, who are 68th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, per KenPom.

UConn vs San Diego State Best Bets

San Diego State +7.5 (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

While I think UConn will win this game, it feels that San Diego State is being slightly overlooked with this high number, making the Aztecs +7.5 our CBB bet of the day.

The Aztecs have an elite defense, which ranks fourth in the country, per KenPom.

In fact, they’ve held two of their five opponents to fewer than 60 points, which is quite impressive.

It’s going to be tough to do that vs the Huskies, but a 7.5 spread feels like too much. We’ll roll with the Aztecs to keep the game relatively close, helping us win this wager.

San Diego State vs UConn: Under 132 Points (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

This play works well with our San Diego State +7.5 wager. There is a general rule in sports betting: The underdog has a strong correlation with the Under.

This feels especially true with the Aztecs, whose stifling defense has the ability to keep UConn’s offense at bay.

San Diego State’s tourney matchups have gone Under this number in three of the Aztecs’ five games.

If the Aztecs can keep this one close, there’s a good chance that they’ve held the Huskies’ offense in check.

Author

Frank Ammirante

Frank Ammirante is a Senior Sports Writer at The Game Day. Previously, he wrote for 4for4 Football and RotoBaller. Frank is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association while maintaining an active presence within the community. He has competed in industry contests like the Scott Fish Bowl, The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational, and more. Frank will be making his debut in Tout Wars this year. He's got a diverse sporting background, but specializes in football and baseball.

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