No. 4 seed UConn cruised past Miami in a 72-59 victory in the Final Four. Star forward Adama Sanogo led the way with 21 points on an impressive 9-of-11 shooting from the field.
Meanwhile, No. 5 seed San Diego State pulled through in an epic 72-71 win over No. 9 seed Florida Atlantic. Junior guard Lamont Butler hit a buzzer-beater to secure the win for the Aztecs.
We’ve got a terrific matchup here, so let’s get right into my UConn vs San Diego State best bets and NCAA Tournament Finals predictions.
Frank Ammirante’s March Madness Betting Record: 21-34-1 (-12.55 units)
UConn vs San Diego State Odds
Note: Final Four odds mentioned in this article for UConn vs SDSU were used from DraftKings Sportsbook, unless otherwise noted, and are current as of April 2, at 10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: UConn (-350) • San Diego State (+290)
- Spread: UConn -7.5 (-110) • San Diego State +7.5 (-110)
- Total: Over 132 (-110) • Under 132 (-110)
UConn vs San Diego State Pick of the Day
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UConn vs San Diego State Prediction
UConn 68, San Diego State 63
UConn has now won by double digits in each of their four victories in this tournament, so it makes sense that they’re heavy favorites vs San Diego State.
The Huskies have held every one of their opponents to 65 points or fewer, highlighted by the 54 points given up against the top-ranked offense in Gonzaga.
That’s bad news for the Aztecs, who are 68th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, per KenPom.
UConn vs San Diego State Best Bets
San Diego State +7.5 (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
While I think UConn will win this game, it feels that San Diego State is being slightly overlooked with this high number, making the Aztecs +7.5 our CBB bet of the day.
The Aztecs have an elite defense, which ranks fourth in the country, per KenPom.
In fact, they’ve held two of their five opponents to fewer than 60 points, which is quite impressive.
It’s going to be tough to do that vs the Huskies, but a 7.5 spread feels like too much. We’ll roll with the Aztecs to keep the game relatively close, helping us win this wager.
San Diego State vs UConn: Under 132 Points (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
This play works well with our San Diego State +7.5 wager. There is a general rule in sports betting: The underdog has a strong correlation with the Under.
This feels especially true with the Aztecs, whose stifling defense has the ability to keep UConn’s offense at bay.
San Diego State’s tourney matchups have gone Under this number in three of the Aztecs’ five games.
If the Aztecs can keep this one close, there’s a good chance that they’ve held the Huskies’ offense in check.