No. 4 seed UConn continued their impressive run throughout the tournament, disposing of No. 3 seed Gonzaga in an 82-54 blowout victory. The Huskies held the top-ranked offense in the country to 33% shooting from the field.
Meanwhile, No. 5 seed Miami took down another top school in No. 2 Texas, erasing an eight-point halftime deficit in an 88-81 win. The Hurricanes did a great job getting to the line and knocking down their free throws, going 28-for-32 from the charity stripe.
We’ve got an intriguing matchup here, so let’s dive into UConn vs Miami best bets and predictions for the Final Four.
Frank Ammirante’s March Madness Betting Record: 18-32-1 (-13.55 units)
UConn vs Miami Odds
Note: Final Four odds mentioned in this article for UConn vs Miami were used from DraftKings Sportsbook, unless otherwise noted, and are current as of March 27, at 10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: UConn (-240) • Miami (+200)
- Spread: UConn -5.5 (-110) • Miami +5.5 (-110)
- Total: Over 149.5 (-110) • Under 149.5 (-110)
UConn vs Miami Pick of the Day
Keep scrolling for more UConn vs Miami betting tips.
- Bet on the other Final Four game: Click for SDSU vs FAU betting tips.
UConn vs Miami Prediction
UConn 79, Miami 69
We just saw UConn knock off an elite Gonzaga offense in a 28-point win. The Huskies can exploit a Hurricanes’ defense that ranks 104th in the country, per KenPom.
While Miami has been able to overcome this weakness throughout their run, it’ll be too much of a daunting task vs UConn.
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UConn vs Miami Best Bets
Miami: Under 72.5 Points (-120) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
While I think UConn will cover, I don’t feel comfortable to lay 5.5 points on the spread, nor do I want to pay a -240 price on the moneyline, especially with how many upsets have occurred throughout this tourney. Taking the Under on Miami’s team total is a good alternative for our CBB bet of the day.
If the Huskies are able to win like I project, there’s a high probability that they’ll have kept the Hurricanes’ fifth-ranked offense in check. We just saw UConn hold Gonzaga to 54 points, which was particularly impressive because the Zags had just scored 79 points vs UCLA’s elite defense.
It also helps that UConn plays at a slow pace, ranking 164th in this category. Look for Adama Sanogo and company to put an end to Miami’s offensive outburst during this surprising run.
UConn: Over 77.5 Points (-115) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Huskies should be able to exploit Miami’s defense in this spot. The Hurricanes just allowed 81 points to Texas in a game where the Longhorns shot 50% from the field and knocked down 10 three-pointers. UConn is dangerous from beyond the arc, averaging 9.1 threes per game this year.
Taking the Over on UConn’s team total is another creative way to target them to win this game. We have a chance for both of these props to hit, but I don’t envision a scenario where both of them lose. If Miami wins this game, it’s likely a high-scoring matchup.
We’ve seen the Huskies get strong guard play in the last two rounds, with Jordan Hawkins scoring 20 or more points during this stretch. Look for that to continue against Miami.
Under 70 First-Half Points (-120) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
We’ll conclude our best bets for this Final Four matchup by targeting the Under in the first half. This play has a strong correlation with Miami’s Under on their team total because if UConn is controlling the game early, it’s likely a slower-paced and lower-scoring start.
The Huskies’ defense is firing on all cylinders right now, as evidenced by their dominant performance against Gonzaga. This is a high number at 70 points, even with Miami’s deficiencies on defense. If this bet hits, there’s a good chance that we’re on track to win all three wagers.
UConn has held their opponents to 32 first-half points or fewer in their three tourney wins, so they’ll likely have to eclipse 40 for this wager to lose.
