The Mountain West Conference had lost 11 straight NCAA Tournament games until the Aztecs defeated Charleston on Thursday afternoon. It was also San Diego State’s first tournament victory since 2015.
Furman pulled off an unbelievable upset over the 4-seeded Virginia Cavaliers by hitting a three pointer with two seconds left in the game after forcing a turnover.
This is a promising matchup for the Paladins: The Aztecs (74th-ranked in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency per KenPom) play a similar offense to Virginia (74th-ranked).
Let’s dive into the best bets and odds for this Round of 32 matchup.
Ani Sridhar’s March Madness Betting Record: 7-3 (+4.65 units)
San Diego State vs Furman Odds
Note: CBB odds mentioned in this article for San Diego State vs Furman were used from DraftKings Sportsbook, unless otherwise noted, and are current as of March 16, at 10 p.m.ET.
- Moneyline: San Diego State (-240) • Furman (+200)
- Spread: San Diego State -5.5 (-110) • Underdog +5.5 (-110)
- Total: Over 138 (-110) • Under 138 (-110)
San Diego State vs Furman Pick of the Day
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San Diego State vs Furman Prediction
San Diego State 71, Furman 68
San Diego State was able to beat Charleston because the Cougars rely on the three-point shot and the Aztecs are one of the best teams in the nation in guarding against the long ball. Furman presents a different defensive test as the Paladins are capable of scoring from everywhere on the court.
The most impressive part of the Furman win was the fact that their senior guard Mike Bothwell fouled out in the second half and wasn’t there to lead the team down the stretch. Furman did have the size advantage against Virginia, but that won’t be the case against San Diego State.
The Aztecs’ size and rebounding will give them the edge in this matchup which will most likely come down to the last possession of the game.
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San Diego State vs Furman Best Bets
Furman +5.5 (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
Furman made 10 threes against Virginia, but they are not a team that lives and dies by the three. Their guards and forwards are skilled and can put the ball on the floor and create shots at the rim.
As long as they can limit San Diego’s knack for offensive rebounding, they will be able to pull off another upset. Back the Paladins to cover the 5.5-point spread and keep this a close game.
San Diego State vs Furman Same Game Parlay
San Diego State vs Furman SGP (+120) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
- Furman +9.5 (-195)
- Under 145.5 (-270)
I expect Furman to keep this game close, and buying some points in the parlay is the safe way to go. San Diego State’s defense and pace of play will lead to a low-scoring game, and I expect fewer than 140 combined points in this one.
San Diego State vs Furman Props
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