Baylor vs North Carolina Predictions | Best Bets & Odds

Frank AmmiranteSenior Sports Writer
Last Updated: Mar 19, 2022

Baylor started off the tournament on the right track with a 36-point blowout win over Norfolk State. The Bears dominated their first-round matchup from start to finish, shooting 57% from the field and knocking down 11 shots from beyond the arc.

North Carolina was also impressive in the opening round, putting a beatdown on No. 9 seed Marquette. In a game that was projected to be close, the Tar Heels won by a whopping 32 points, which definitely opened some eyes and has them looking like a legitimate dark horse.

It’ll be tough for the Tar Heels to knock off the defending champs, but they should put a scare into Baylor in this second-round matchup. Remember, star guard LJ Cryer remains out for the Bears, which is bad news against a tough opponent like North Carolina.

Baylor vs North Carolina Odds

Baylor vs UNC odds are provided by Caesars and current as of Friday, March 14 at 3 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Baylor (-250) @ North Carolina (+205)
  • Spread: Baylor -5.5 (-110) @ North Carolina +5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: Over 149 (-110) / Under 149 (-110)
  • Implied Score: Baylor 77.25, North Carolina 71.75

Basketball Betting Play of the Day

Slam home your basketball bets with BetMGM’s welcome offer: New BetMGM Sportsbook customers can bet $10 to win $200 in free bets.

Make a $10 moneyline bet on any game. If either team makes a three-point basket, you’ll win!

🏀 NBA Bet $10, Win $200: .

🏀 College Basketball Bet $10, Win $200: Click here and use promo code GAMEDAYCBB.

Read Anthony Cervino’s hands-on BetMGM Sportsbook review to learn more.

🤔 Want a different BetMGM welcome offer? New users can instead get up to $1,000 risk-free with code GAMEDAY. 👇

Baylor vs North Carolina Prediction

Both of these teams have excellent offenses, with Baylor ranking eighth and North Carolina sitting 22nd in adjusted offensive efficiency. Tar Heels forward Brady Manek is coming off a big game where he dropped 28 points and 11 rebounds. Expect this to be a high-scoring game that could come down to the final possession.

Baylor has a significant advantage on other end of the floor, as the Bears rank 13th to North Carolina’s 55th in adjusted defensive efficiency. It’s going to be difficult for the Tar Heels to knock down 13 threes at a 37 percent clip, like they did in the first round, this time around.

Having said that, the Tar Heels have posted double-digit wins over Duke and Marquette in their last four games, so they’re playing their best basketball of the season right now. This has the makings of a great matchup.

Baylor vs North Carolina Score Pick

Baylor 73, UNC 71

The Bears are likely to feel LJ Cryer’s absence in this game, taking on a red-hot Tar Heels team coming off a pair of double-digit wins against marquee opponents.

It wouldn’t surprise me to see North Carolina win this game outright. We should be in for a treat in the Round of 32.

Baylor vs North Carolina Best Bets

North Carolina +5.5 (-110) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

The Tar Heels are live dogs in this game given their recent performances.

This point spread tells us a lot about the projection for this game as we have a one-seed facing an eight-seed, yet Baylor is only favored by five points.

Compare that to the top-seeded Kansas Jayhawks, who are 11.5-point favorites against Creighton.

Baylor is a vulnerable top seed and we could see that come to fruition in this matchup.

Under 149 Total Points (-110) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

I understand that these are two prolific offenses, but this is a high bar to clear.

Baylor’s first game combined for 134 points, while North Carolina’s finished at 158. I think that we’re going to see a close game that slows down as we get to the late stages of the second half.

Ride with the Under in this spot.


Frank Ammirante

Frank Ammirante is a Senior Sports Writer at The Game Day. Previously, he wrote for 4for4 Football and RotoBaller. Frank is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association while maintaining an active presence within the community. He has competed in industry contests like the Scott Fish Bowl, The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational, and more. Frank will be making his debut in Tout Wars this year. He's got a diverse sporting background, but specializes in football and baseball.

Related articles


Get $1,500 in Bonus Bets

5 stars

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets or First Bet Safety Net

5 stars

$1,500 No Sweat Bet + NBA SGP Token

5 stars

Get A Bonus Bet Up to $1,000

5 stars

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets

5 stars

Get Up To $250 Second Chance Bonus Bet

5 stars

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, DC, IL, IN, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY).

Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).

Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI).

All betting content on is exclusively intended for audience members 21 years and older who are permitted to gamble in legal states. The Game Day may earn revenue from site visitor referrals to betting services.

Responsible Gaming: Many sportsbooks offer ways to encourage responsible gaming, including the establishment of limits to deposits, spending, and time dedicated to betting.

The Game Day is a TGD Marketing Ltd. endeavor.