UConn vs Arkansas Predictions | Odds & Best Bets

Frank AmmiranteSenior Sports Writer
Last Updated: Mar 23, 2023

No. 4 seed UConn got off to a slow start against No. 5 seed Saint Mary’s before pulling away in the second half en route to a 70-55 win in the Round of 32. Junior forward Adama Sanogo had a huge game, putting up 24 points and eight rebounds.

No. 8 seed Arkansas pulled off the upset in the second round, knocking off the defending champion and No. 1 seed Kansas in a 72-71 win. The Razorbacks won due to terrific guard play, with Davonte Davis and Ricky Council IV each eclipsing 20 points.

This should be an interesting matchup, so let’s get right into my UConn vs Arkansas prediction and best bets.

Frank Ammirante’s March Madness Betting Record: 12-17-1 (-4.99 units)

UConn vs Arkansas Odds

Note: CBB odds mentioned in this article for UConn vs Arkansas were used from DraftKings Sportsbook, unless otherwise noted, and are current as of Monday, March 20, at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: UConn (-175) • Arkansas (+150)
  • Spread: UConn -3.5 (-110) • Arkansas +3.5 (-110)
  • Total: Over 139.5 (-110) • Under 139.5 (-110)

UConn vs Arkansas Pick of the Day

Keep reading for more UConn vs Arkansas betting tips.

UConn vs Arkansas Prediction

UConn 69, Arkansas 63

Both of these teams excel on defense, each ranking in the top 15 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, per KenPom. The difference here is that UConn is third in offense, while Arkansas ranks 50th. Look for the Huskies’ edge on offense to help them win this game.

📈 Keep track of NCAA Tournament winner odds to find our best March Madness bets:

UConn vs Arkansas Best Bets

UConn -3.5 (-110) DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

UConn ranks fourth overall on KenPom, behind only Houston, Alabama, and UCLA.

Read the rest of our UConn-Arkansas Sweet 16 betting tips

The Huskies are a well-rounded team, capable of putting up points while locking teams down defensively. Arkansas has had a nice run, but they’re likely overmatched here.

We only need UConn to win by four or more points, which is a reasonable number. Take the Huskies at -3.5 because the moneyline is too expensive at -175.

Under 139.5 Total Points (-110) DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Arkansas’s 50th-ranked offense (per KenPom) could have some issues putting up points to keep pace with the Huskies here.

UConn has held its opponents to fewer than 60 points in three of their last five games. None of those teams hit 70 points against UConn. This bodes well for the Under in this one.


Frank Ammirante

Frank Ammirante is a Senior Sports Writer at The Game Day. Previously, he wrote for 4for4 Football and RotoBaller. Frank is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association while maintaining an active presence within the community. He has competed in industry contests like the Scott Fish Bowl, The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational, and more. Frank will be making his debut in Tout Wars this year. He's got a diverse sporting background, but specializes in football and baseball.

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