No. 4 seed UConn got off to a slow start against No. 5 seed Saint Mary’s before pulling away in the second half en route to a 70-55 win in the Round of 32. Junior forward Adama Sanogo had a huge game, putting up 24 points and eight rebounds.
No. 8 seed Arkansas pulled off the upset in the second round, knocking off the defending champion and No. 1 seed Kansas in a 72-71 win. The Razorbacks won due to terrific guard play, with Davonte Davis and Ricky Council IV each eclipsing 20 points.
This should be an interesting matchup, so let’s get right into my UConn vs Arkansas prediction and best bets.
Frank Ammirante’s March Madness Betting Record: 12-17-1 (-4.99 units)
UConn vs Arkansas Odds
Note: CBB odds mentioned in this article for UConn vs Arkansas were used from DraftKings Sportsbook, unless otherwise noted, and are current as of Monday, March 20, at 11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: UConn (-175) • Arkansas (+150)
- Spread: UConn -3.5 (-110) • Arkansas +3.5 (-110)
- Total: Over 139.5 (-110) • Under 139.5 (-110)
UConn vs Arkansas Pick of the Day
Keep reading for more UConn vs Arkansas betting tips.
UConn vs Arkansas Prediction
UConn 69, Arkansas 63
Both of these teams excel on defense, each ranking in the top 15 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, per KenPom. The difference here is that UConn is third in offense, while Arkansas ranks 50th. Look for the Huskies’ edge on offense to help them win this game.
📈 Keep track of NCAA Tournament winner odds to find our best March Madness bets:
UConn vs Arkansas Best Bets
UConn -3.5 (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
UConn ranks fourth overall on KenPom, behind only Houston, Alabama, and UCLA.
Read the rest of our UConn-Arkansas Sweet 16 betting tips
The Huskies are a well-rounded team, capable of putting up points while locking teams down defensively. Arkansas has had a nice run, but they’re likely overmatched here.
We only need UConn to win by four or more points, which is a reasonable number. Take the Huskies at -3.5 because the moneyline is too expensive at -175.
Under 139.5 Total Points (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
Arkansas’s 50th-ranked offense (per KenPom) could have some issues putting up points to keep pace with the Huskies here.
UConn has held its opponents to fewer than 60 points in three of their last five games. None of those teams hit 70 points against UConn. This bodes well for the Under in this one.
