Alabama vs San Diego State Predictions | Odds & Best Bets

Last Updated: Mar 22, 2023

The Crimson Tide are one of the last two remaining 1-seeds left in the tournament and have a favorable draw the rest of the way. The highest remaining seed in the South Region after Alabama are the 5-seeded San Diego State Aztecs.

The Aztecs knocked off the Cinderella-hopeful Furman Paladins in the Round of 32, and Alabama blew out the Maryland Terrapins in the second round. The Crimson Tide have only made the Elite 8 once in their program’s history in 2004, and San Diego State has never advanced beyond the Sweet 16.

Let’s dive into the odds and best bets for this South Region Sweet 16 showdown.

Ani Sridhar’s March Madness Betting Record: 9-5 (+4.89 units)

Alabama vs San Diego State Odds

Note: CBB odds mentioned in this article for Alabama vs San Diego State were used from DraftKings Sportsbook, unless otherwise noted, and are current as of March 20, at 9 a.m.ET.

  • Moneyline: Alabama (-300) • San Diego State (+250)
  • Spread: Alabama -7 (-110) • San Diego State +7 (-110)
  • Total: Over 135 (-110) • Under 135 (-110)

Alabama vs San Diego State Pick of the Day

Keep reading for analysis of this CBB pick of the day and more Alabama vs San Diego State betting tips.

Alabama vs San Diego State Prediction

Alabama 70, San Diego State 62

This will be a defensive battle as both teams are in the top five of KenPom’s adjusted defensive efficiency rankings. Out of the 16 teams that remain in the tournament, all of those top-five teams are still alive.

Alabama and San Diego State both held their opponents in the Round of 32 to under 55 points. The Aztecs will be able to hang around in this contest because of their defense, but they don’t have the offensive firepower to beat the Crimson Tide.

San Diego State is not a three-point shooting team and is ranked 69th in KenPom’s adjusted offensive efficiency rankings. They rely on their offensive rebounding and easy baskets around the rim to score.

📈 Keep track of NCAA Tournament winner odds to find our best March Madness bets:

Alabama vs San Diego State Best Bets

Under 135 Total Points (-110) DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

This is going to be a low-scoring game with two strong defenses on display. The Aztecs also play at a slower pace than the Crimson Tide and will look to work the ball into the paint for easy baskets.

Read the rest of our Alabama-SDSU Sweet 16 betting tips

Alabama star Brandon Miller scored 19 points against Maryland after going scoreless in the first game of the tournament, but we have yet to see a game-breaking performance from the freshman.


Ani Sridhar

Ani Sridhar is an NBA and soccer betting analyst at The Gameday as well as a producer at SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio. Residing in NY, but originally from Washington D.C and a University of Maryland alum, Ani is a long-time (and occasionally suffering) fan of all the Washington sports teams. He loves TV and movies, so just holler if you ever need someone to join your bar trivia team.

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