NBA Trade Deadline 2022 | How Trades Changed NBA Futures Bets
The 2022 NBA trade deadline went out with a bang, as the Philadelphia 76ers finally dealt Ben Simmons after nearly a year of turmoil, getting former MVP James Harden from the Brooklyn Nets in return.
While the other trades in the league weren’t as high-profile, there was plenty of movement that could affect how the rest of the season plays out.
With that in mind, let’s dig into some 2022 NBA futures odds to see which bets to make post-deadline.
Please note that all NBA futures odds and lines are current as of 10 a.m. ET on Wednesday, February 16.
2022 NBA Trade Deadline Deals
Philadelphia 76ers & Brooklyn Nets: James Harden for Ben Simmons & Seth Curry
- 76ers get James Harden & Paul Millsap
- Nets get Ben Simmons, Seth Curry, Andre Drummond, & 2 1st-round picks
The biggest trade of not just this season, but recent history. Harden is reunited with his former GM Daryl Morey in Philadelphia while Simmons finally has his trade demands met after sitting out all season.
Harden will team up with MVP frontrunner Joel Embiid to form arguably the league’s most talented tandem, while Simmons will look to mesh with another volatile contender in the Eastern Conference.
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Dallas Mavericks & Washington Wizards: Kristaps Porzingis for Spencer Dinwiddie
- Mavericks get Spencer Dinwiddie & Davis Bertans
- Wizards get Kristaps Porzingis & 2nd-round pick
It wasn’t shocking to see Dallas deal Porzingis given his injury concerns and poor fit with Luka Doncic. It is surprising, however, that they failed to get a reasonable return and actually had to give away a draft pick to sweeten the deal.
Dinwiddie is a fine complementary guard and Bertans is a great shooting big, but both are flawed defenders and possess long, expensive contracts. This trade looks more like a salary dump than anything for the Mavs.
Charlotte Hornets & Washington Wizards: Montrezl Harrell for Ish Smith
- Hornets get Montrezl Harrell
- Wizards get Ish Smith, Vernon Carey Jr., & 2nd-round pick
This is a great trade for the Hornets. They have a massive hole in their frontcourt and adding Harrell — who is maybe the best bench big in the league — should help.
All it cost Charlotte was a project, a veteran journeyman, and a second-round pick, which is typically just trade fodder.
Boston Celtics & San Antonio Spurs: Derrick White for Josh Richardson & Romeo Langford
- Celtics get Derrick White
- Spurs get Josh Richardson, Romeo Langford, 1st-round pick, & 1st-round swap
The Spurs getting rid of White doesn’t make sense on the surface, especially given this return. It seems like they just wanted to open up space in the backcourt for Devin Vassell and Josh Primo while allocating primary ball-handling duties to Dejounte Murray.
As a result, Boston gets one of the better young combo guards in the league capable of providing a boost on both ends of the floor.
NBA Futures Bets To Make After Trade Deadline
Best Bet: Nikola Jokic To Win NBA MVP (+350) at Ceasers
While Embiid (+150) may be the betting favorite, Jokic is once again leading the NBA in win shares per 48 minutes. That may seem somewhat arbitrary, but it has actually decided a majority of MVP races over the past decade-plus.
This post is from last year and proved prescient. It also doesn’t hurt that Embiid is fairly prone to injury, which could cause him to miss time down the stretch.
Since LeBron's 1st MVP in 2009, all but two award winners (Rose in '11 and Russ in '17) led the NBA in win-shares-per-48
Nikola Jokic currently has the league-lead yet is 3rd in most books for MVP behind LeBron (+190) and Joel Embiid (+250)
Jokic at +400 is screaming value pic.twitter.com/EBrKJG6xIe
— kev mahserejian (@RotoSurgeon) February 23, 2021
With Jokic essentially replicating his numbers from last year, don’t be surprised if the Denver Nuggets star takes home the hardware again.
Nikola Jokic: Wins 2022 NBA MVP
Bet $20, Payout $90
Best Bet: Boston Celtics To Win Atlantic Division (+325) at Ceasers
After a bumpy start, Boston has been one of the best teams in the NBA since the beginning of January. The 76ers might be better on paper, but the Celtics have the best point differential in the Eastern Conference and don’t have a single hole on their roster when they’re at full strength.
It could take a few weeks for Harden to click with the Sixers, while the loss of Curry could hamper their spacing.
The way Boston has played over the past month, it wouldn’t shock me if they pass Philly down the stretch and end up winning the division, making this our NBA bet of the day.
Celtics Win 2022 NBA Atlantic Division
Bet $20, Payout $85
Best Bet: Boston Celtics To Win NBA Championship (+3000) at Ceasers
Again, the Celtics own the best point differential in the East and that is not to be taken lightly. They’re a point ahead of the Miami Heat and are undefeated in February.
The odds have yet to fully adjust to Boston’s recent success, making them a great value pick here. Take them before White fully integrates himself and things really take off for the C’s.
Celtics Win 2022 NBA Championship
Bet $20, Payout $620