The Phoenix Suns will travel to Denver to take on the Nuggets in the final game of this year’s NBA Christmas Day slate on Sunday, Dec. 25 at 10:30 p.m. ET.
This will be the first meeting of the season between the Suns and Nuggets, and it should be a great one. These are two Western Conference giants, and each has aspirations of winning the NBA title at the end of the year.
Here are my Phoenix vs Denver best bets and predictions for this Christmas Day matchup.
Suns vs Nuggets Odds
As of Friday, Dec. 16 at 2 p.m. ET, the Nuggets are listed as 2.5-point favorites over the Suns. Denver’s home-court advantage is among the best in the NBA, so this is understandable. Phoenix has also struggled on the road this season.
Suns vs Nuggets Implied Totals
Nuggets 117, Suns 114.5
Bookmakers have the Nuggets winning this one by a single possession in what should be the highest-scoring game on the NBA Christmas schedule. At 231.5 points, this one has shootout potential.
Suns vs Nuggets Pick of the Day
Read more on this Suns vs Nuggets bet below.
Suns vs Nuggets Prediction
Nuggets 124, Suns 119
Nikola Jokić and Devin Booker are the top players in this contest, and I anticipate them making the most of the Christmas Day spotlight. Their respective offensive abilities will be the story of what undoubtedly figures to be a high-scoring matchup.
For Booker and the Suns, the key to winning this game is picking apart Denver’s dreadful defense. The Nuggets rank 28th in defensive rating and are allowing opponents to shoot 48.9% from the field, which is the second-worst mark in the NBA.
The Nuggets’ task looks more difficult on the surface, as they’ll need to impose their will on Phoenix’s ninth-place defense. However, Jokić had a lot of success in this matchup in 2021-22, and teams get to the free-throw line rather easily against the foul-prone Suns.
In the end, I envision this being a high-scoring game that Denver ultimately wins behind Jokić’s dominance and supplementary scoring from Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, and Bones Hyland.
Suns vs Nuggets Bet Tips
Here are a few Suns vs Nuggets betting trends to consider before making your bets. Note that all statistics are current as of Friday, Dec. 16.
- The Suns are 15-14 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 12-15.
- Denver is 8-3 outright as a home favorite.
- Overs are a combined 27-28-1 in Suns and Nuggets games.
Suns vs Nuggets Best Bets
Nuggets -2.5 (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
Phoenix’s struggles on the road this season will be tough to overcome in front of a hostile Denver crowd. So long as the Nuggets can hit their outside shots and finish strong in the paint, they’ll cover this 2.5-point spread.
Over 231.5 Points (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
This may be the highest Christmas Day total on the board, but it still isn’t high enough. With Denver’s defensive woes and Phoenix’s offensive potential in mind, the Over is the better play for this marquee meeting.
Suns vs Nuggets Props
Check out the best Suns vs Nuggets player prop bets for NBA Christmas Day with our props comparison tool. Click on “Show More Games" below to find the Phoenix vs Denver game and see all of its prop bets.