The series between the Miami Heat and the Philadelphia 76ers is headed back to Philadelphia for Game 6 on Thursday. The Heat came out firing in Game 5, leading to a 35-point win at home to take the lead in the series. Miami had seven players contribute 10+ points, and they converted a solid 13 of their 33 three-point attempts.
The Heat finally got notable performances from players not named Jimmy Butler in Game 5, leading to a lopsided win. For the 76ers, Joel Embiid looks out of sorts with his injuries, and it’s hard to trust James Harden in a playoff setting right now.
In what is a must-win game for the 76ers, here are my favorite player props and game prop for Game 6.
All NBA gameday odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook and current as of Wednesday, May 11, at 11 a.m. ET.
Heat vs 76ers Game 6 Player Props
Jimmy Butler, Heat: OVER 1.5 Steals (-145)
WAGER: 1 Unit
Butler finally fell short of securing multiple steals in Game 5 as the Heat ran away with the game in the second half. If we could have gotten a few more minutes from Butler, there’s a chance we get one more steal, but it doesn’t matter now.
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Did you think that since Butler was unable to get two or more steals in Game 5 I would quit taking his steals prop? Absolutely not.
This is when we can get Butler’s steals prop at better odds after he wasn’t able to deliver in Game 5. The All-Star forward has still snatched multiple steals in eight of his last 10 games.
In a potential close-out game on the road, Butler is going to be active on the defensive end against a turnover-prone offense in the 76ers, making this our NBA bet of the day.
Max Strus, Heat: OVER 2.5 Threes (-160)
WAGER: 1 Unit
It remains to be seen if Kyle Lowry will return for the Heat in Game 6 after missing Game 5 due to a hamstring injury he suffered in the first round against the Atlanta Hawks. Even if Lowry suits up, Miami is going to lean on Max Strus to score the basketball from beyond the arc.
Strus has taken Duncan Robinson’s spot in the starting lineup, and in Game 5, he was the second-leading scorer in the entire game with 19 points while knocking down four of his 10 threes.
- Read our full Heat vs 76ers Game 6 Predictions for more ways to bet this NBA Playoffs series.
The sharpshooting wing has made three or more three-pointers in six of his last 10 games and multiple threes in seven of his previous 10. Look for the Heat to draw up plenty of plays for Strus to get open three-point shots.
Heat vs 76ers Game 6 Game Props
More Points Scored in 2nd Half -0.5 (+160)
WAGER: 1 Unit
I took the Heat to score 10 points before the 76ers in Game 5, only for Harden to break our hearts by knocking down a free throw to give Philadelphia a 10-9 lead in the first quarter. The 76ers have now scored 10 points before the Heat in four straight games in this series, so I’ll be going with more points to be scored in the second half of this contest.
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Both teams realize how crucial this game is for their title aspirations. Miami wants to close out the series to guarantee themselves a spot in the Eastern Conference Finals. Meanwhile, Philadelphia needs a win to force a Game 7.
With the intensity ramping up after halftime, I expect both teams to be more aggressive in the second half on Thursday night.
PREVIOUSLY: Heat vs 76ers Game 5 Props
We now have an even series between the Miami Heat and the Philadelphia 76ers entering Game 5. Following two relatively easy victories for the Heat in the first two games, the 76ers have responded with two straight wins of their own.
The return of Joel Embiid has been much-needed for Philadelphia as the series will be headed back to Miami on Tuesday.
Jimmy Butler has been the lone consistent contributor for the Heat in the last two games, as he’s converted 25 of his 42 shot attempts for 73 points. Meanwhile, the rest of Miami’s roster has combined to shoot a dismal 40-117 in the last two games, leading to two consecutive losses.
With a competitive series now on our hands, see what player’s props and the game prop I like for Tuesday’s Game 5.
All NBA gameday odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook and current as of Monday, May 9, 1 p.m. ET.
Heat vs 76ers Game 5 Player Props
Jimmy Butler: Over 1.5 Steals (-160)
WAGER: 1 Unit
My first player prop shouldn’t come as a shock to anyone that has been following my prop bets for this series. I have been taking Butler to hit the over on his steals in each of the first four games and he has yet to let us down.
The All-Star forward has now recorded multiple steals in nine of his last 10 appearances, including each of his last eight. The 76ers continue to turn the ball over at a decent rate, with 34 total turnovers in the past two games alone. Butler should have no issue getting multiple steals again in a pivotal Game 5 at home.
Max Strus: Over Threes (TBD)
WAGER: 1 Unit
I mentioned above that Butler has been sensational for the Heat in the past two games, but he’s failed to get much help from the other members of the roster. As the series transitions back to Miami on Tuesday, I expect Max Strus to be among the players that bounce back on the offensive end.
Strus was inserted into the starting lineup over Duncan Robinson in the postseason, becoming Miami’s go-to perimeter shooter in the starting lineup. After lighting it up in the series versus the Atlanta Hawks, Strus has been fairly quiet, knocking down only nine of his 29 outside attempts against the 76ers in this series.
He’s made multiple threes in three consecutive games, and the volume is there, so I’m confident he can hit the over on his threes in Game 5.
Heat vs 76ers Game 5 Game Props
Race to 10 Points: Heat (-135)
WAGER: 1 Unit
Back in Game 1, I took the Heat to reach 10 points before the 76ers, and Miami proceeded to an 11-4 lead to begin the contest. However, in the past three games, Philadelphia has been able to score 10 points first. The return of Embiid certainly helps the 76ers, but I believe Miami will respond in a big way on Tuesday.
Following two straight losses, I expect the Heat to be extremely aggressive throughout Game 5, with Miami looking to set the tone early.
Butler will be driving to the basket often and players such as Strus, Kyle Lowry, and Bam Adebayo will look to make their shots early to find their rhythms. It’s also possible that the Heat wants to get to the free-throw line early in Tuesday’s matchup to get their offense going.
PREVIOUSLY: Heat vs 76ers Game 4 Props
The Philadelphia 76ers did exactly what they needed to do in Game 3 against the Miami Heat to get themselves back in the series. The 76ers took down the Heat by the score of 99-79, giving them a chance to tie the series at two apiece entering Game 5.
Before that can become a reality, though, Philadelphia will need to take care of business at home again in Game 4 on Sunday.
Outside of Jimmy Butler, Danny Green, and Tyrese Maxey, there weren’t many notable performances from players in Friday’s lopsided contest. Despite the lack of scoring we saw in Game 3, I expect more scoring in Game 4, giving us a better chance to hit some of our prop bets.
See what player props and game prop I’ll be wagering in Game 4 below.
All NBA gameday odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook (unless noted) and current as of Saturday, May 7, at 10 a.m. ET.
Heat vs 76ers Game 4 Player Props
Jimmy Butler, Heat: OVER 1.5 Steals (-140)
WAGER: 1 Unit
If there is something that continues to be a source of happiness and success, you should continue to do it, right? For me, I’ve gone with Butler to hit the Over on his steals in each of the first three games of the series and he has yet to disappoint.
That being said, I’ll roll the dice with Butler’s steals again in Game 4. The All-Star forward has recorded multiple steals in eight of his last nine appearances, including each of his last seven games.
The 76ers have turned the ball over 14+ times in two of the first three games of the series, so steals shouldn’t be tough to come by for a ball-hawking defender like Butler, making this our NBA bet of the day.
Tyler Herro, Heat: OVER 15.5 Points (-110)
WAGER: 1 Unit
It was a dismal performance from the members of the Heat not named Butler in Game 3. Butler himself made 12 of his 22 attempts, finishing the loss with 33 of Miami’s 79 points. The rest of the roster would convert a mere 15 of their 55 shot attempts, making it seem as if the basket had a lid on it.
Among the players who struggled in Game 3 is Tyler Herro, who shot 5-of-15 and finished the game with 14 points. Herro was much more efficient in Games 1 and 2, knocking down 15 of his 27 shot attempts, including seven of his 11 three-pointers.
- Read our full Heat vs 76ers Game 4 Predictions for more ways to bet this NBA Playoffs series.
I expect the offensive-minded guard to bounce back in the scoring department in Game 4 after scoring 18 and 25 points in the first two games of the series.
Heat vs 76ers Game 4 Game Props
More Points Scored in 1st Half +0.5 (-250) at BetMGM Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
The first two games of the series had more points scored in the first half compared to the second half, even though it was by thin margins. I elected to go with more scoring in the first half in Game 3, only for the Heat and the 76ers to combine for 75 points in the first half.
Following the quiet offensive output we got in Game 3, I expect both teams — especially the Heat — to be ultra-aggressive in the early going of Game 4. Miami wants to avoid letting Philadelphia tie the series while the 76ers want to prevent themselves from going down 3-1 entering Game 5.
PREVIOUSLY: Heat vs 76ers Game 3 Props
The Miami Heat have now secured a 2-0 lead over the Philadelphia 76ers in the second round of the NBA playoffs. The absence of Joel Embiid looms large for the 76ers as the All-Star center has been unable to play in the first two games due to an orbital fracture and a concussion.
Meanwhile, the Heat have been able to win the first two games of the series sans Kyle Lowry.
The series will now shift to Philadelphia after Miami won with ease at home in the first two games of the series. There’s a chance we see Embiid and Lowry suit up in Game 3 on Friday night, but their statuses haven’t been determined yet.
Ahead of a pivotal showdown on Friday night, let’s take a look at a couple of my favorite player props and a game prop for Game 3.
All NBA gameday odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook and current as of Thursday, May 5, 11 a.m. ET.
Heat vs 76ers Game 3 Game Props
More Points Scored in 1st Half +0.5 (-200)
WAGER: 1 Unit
We’ve seen both of these teams try to be aggressive at the beginning of the first two games of the series. Even though the Heat and the 76ers are near the bottom of the league in pace, we’ve seen them push the ball often to create shots early in games. That has led to more scoring in the first half than the second half thus far in the series.
In Game 1, there were 101 points scored in the first half compared to 97 points scored in the second half. For Game 2, there were 112 points scored in the first half compared to 110 points scored in the second half.
While it’s been close, I expect more points to be scored in the first half for the third consecutive game of the series on Friday night, making this our NBA bet of the day.
Heat vs 76ers Game 3 Player Props
Jimmy Butler, Heat: OVER 1.5 Steals (-135)
WAGER: 1 Unit
I’m going to continue riding the Over on steals for Jimmy Butler until the wheels fall off. For the second consecutive game, BetMGM had Butler’s steals total set at 1.5. The veteran forward has snagged multiple steals in seven of his last eight games.
- Read our full Heat vs 76ers Game 3 Predictions for more ways to bet this NBA Playoffs series.
Even with the 76ers limiting themselves to eight turnovers in Game 2, Butler still finished with two steals.
James Harden has handled the ball more with Embiid sidelined, which has led to plenty of steal opportunities for Butler. Even if Embiid returns, there should be plenty of chances for Butler to get us multiple steals again on Friday.
Tyrese Maxey, 76ers: OVER 22.5 Points (-105)
WAGER: 1 Unit
While Embiid has been inactive in the first two games, the 76ers have needed more from the likes of Tyrese Maxey and Tobias Harris. Both have responded well given the circumstances, while Harden has continued to struggle in the postseason.
It’s apparent that the Heat’s plan is to let the other players not named Harden — or Embiid when he returns — beat them.
Taking that into account, Maxey is getting a ton of shot opportunities, attempting a total of 37 shots in the first two games. The second-year guard has scored 19 points and 34 points respectively in the first matchups of the series.
Miami seems content with letting Maxey be one of the primary scorers for Philadelphia, so I expect him to get enough shots to hit the Over on his points for the third consecutive game.
PREVIOUSLY: Heat vs 76ers Game 2 Props
The Miami Heat have jumped out to a 1-0 lead over the Philadelphia 76ers in the second round of the NBA Playoffs. Miami came away with a 14-point win at home, holding Philadelphia’s offense to only 92 points. Slowing down the 76ers becomes a bit easier when Joel Embiid isn’t on the floor, and it appears that he’ll miss at least one more game in this series.
Doc Rivers elected to start DeAndre Jordan in place of Embiid, resulting in Miami having plenty of success in the paint. Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro led the way for the Heat in Game 1, giving Miami a handful of guys that could do damage versus the 76ers.
While I envision Miami winning the first two games of the series, here are a couple of player props and a game prop for Game 2.
All NBA gameday odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook and current as of Tuesday, May 3, 10 a.m. ET. Check back closer to tip-off for updated odds.
Heat vs 76ers Game 2 Player Props
Jimmy Butler, Heat: OVER 1.5 Steals (-135)
WAGER: 1 Unit
One of the easiest bets I ever made in the past week was for Jimmy Butler to record Over 1.5 steals in Game 1. The veteran forward had two steals before halftime, giving us a sweat-free wager on Monday night. Given the success we had with taking Butler’s steals prop in Game 1, why not do it again in Game 2?
The 76ers had 14 turnovers in Game 1, which gave Butler plenty of opportunities to grab a couple of steals. Butler has now gotten multiple steals in six of his last seven appearances as he’s making a concerted effort to get more possessions for the Heat.
With James Harden and Tyrese Maxey running the offense for Philadelphia, Butler should have no trouble getting over his steals prop again in Game 2, making this our NBA bet of the day.
Tobias Harris, 76ers: OVER 1.5 Turnovers (-190)
WAGER: 1 Unit
During the first game of the series, we also took Maxey to have over 1.5 turnovers. Maxey had zero turnovers at halftime, only for him to have two turnovers in the third quarter to hit the Over. Instead of taking Maxey to commit a couple of turnovers again, we’ll be taking Tobias Harris to have multiple turnovers in Game 2.
While Harris scored 27 points and grabbed six rebounds in Game 1, he turned the ball over three times with him having the ball more sans Embiid. Harris has now turned the ball over multiple times in six of his last 10 appearances.
- Looking for more coverage of this NBA Playoffs series? Read our full Heat vs 76ers Game 2 Predictions.
A couple of errant passes from Harris and the other members of the 76ers should help us reach the over for Butler’s steals.
Heat vs 76ers Game 2 Game Props
Race to 10 Points: Miami Heat (-160)
WAGER: 1 Unit
Another bet that I’m running back in Game 2 is the Heat to reach 10 points before the 76ers. In the five meetings between these two squads (including the playoffs), Miami has scored 10 points before Philadelphia in four of them. During the first game of the series, the Heat jumped out to an 11-4 lead, setting the tone early.
The only concern is that Harden could look to get to the free-throw line early in Game 2 to get into a rhythm. That being said, the Heat shouldn’t have many issues scoring on the 76ers if Embiid remains out.
For the second straight game, I’d consider taking either Adebayo or Butler to get the first basket for half a unit.
PREVIOUSLY: Heat vs. 76ers Game 1 Prop Bets
We were all excited to get a second-round matchup between the Miami Heat and the Philadelphia 76ers in the NBA playoffs. Jimmy Butler would be going toe-to-toe with one of his former teams and get an opportunity to square off with some of his former teammates.
However, the outlook of the series has drastically changed since it has been revealed that Joel Embiid will be out indefinitely with an orbital fracture and a mild concussion.
The Heat are now understandably massive favorites to win the series and most expect them to end it quickly, especially if Embiid misses multiple games. Embiid has already been ruled out for Game 1, so the 76ers will be shorthanded on both ends of the court.
Even with Embiid sidelined, there are a couple of player props and a game prop that I like for Game 1 on Monday night.
All NBA gameday odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook and current as of Sunday, May 1, at 11 a.m. ET.
Heat vs 76ers Game 1 Player Props
Jimmy Butler, Heat: OVER 1.5 Steals (-125)
WAGER: 1 Unit
During the first-round series between the 76ers and the Toronto Raptors, I targeted players from the Raptors to get steals and blocks with plenty of success. So why would I stray away from doing the same with the Heat in the second round?
With Butler expected to return after missing Game 5 of Miami’s first round series against the Atlanta Hawks, I’ll be siding with the Over on his steals.
Butler is known for his ability to swipe the ball, averaging 1.6+ steals per game in each of his last 10 seasons. In his last six appearances, he’s tallied two or more steals in five of them.
Furthermore, in his last 12 meetings versus the 76ers, Butler has had two or more steals in nine of them. The 76ers turned the ball over 77 times in their final five games versus the Raptors in their first-round series, so steal opportunities likely won’t be scarce for Butler.
Take Butler to nab two or more steals in Game 1 for your NBA bet of the day.
If you want a plus-odds prop to wager on, you could place half a unit on Butler to get Over 2.5 steals/blocks at +125 odds on BetMGM.
Tyrese Maxey, 76ers: OVER 1.5 Turnovers (-125)
WAGER: 1 Unit
To continue the theme of turnovers, I like Tyrese Maxey to hit the Over on his turnovers in the first game of this series. James Harden is going to be the primary ball handler, but Maxey should now become the No. 2 for the 76ers in Game 1.
The second-year guard should also see his usage increase with Embiid sidelined, which could lead to more turnover chances against a stifling Miami defense. During the first round of the playoffs, the Heat forced the second-most turnovers per game (16.4), making life difficult for Trae Young.
Maxey has faced Miami seven times in his young career and he’s had two or more turnovers in five of those games, including each of his last four.
Heat vs 76ers Game 1 Game Props
Heat To Win Race to 10 Points (-160)
WAGER: 1 Unit
On BetMGM, they allow you to wager on which team is going to reach a certain number of points first. I expect the Heat to come out swinging, which is why I’m betting on them to score 10 points before the 76ers.
Even with Embiid playing in three of the four regular-season matchups between these two teams, Miami reached 10 points in three of those contests. With Embiid ruled out for Game 1, the Heat could attack the paint with Bam Adebayo and Butler.
Paul Reed, DeAndre Jordan, and Paul Millsap are expected to rotate at center sans Embiid, so there shouldn’t be much resistance in the paint for Miami. If you’re someone that wagers on first-basket scorers, Adebayo and Butler are two logical choices.
