The No. 8 Miami Heat (46-36) will take on the No. 7 Philadelphia 76ers (47-35) in one of the most intriguing Play-In games in recent memory. Miami is known for punching above its weight around this time of year, and Philadelphia is much better than advertised now that Joel Embiid has returned.
If you’re feeling conflicted about the outcome, you can always lean on prop bets. There’s no shortage of terrific players to wager on in this series, including Embiid, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, and Tyrese Maxey.
Here are our best prop bets for Heat vs 76ers.
Heat vs 76ers Odds
Use our NBA odds to locate the best ways to bet on Heat vs 76ers:
Heat vs 76ers Player Props
Jimmy Butler: Over 35.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-102) @ 76ers
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
The Play-In is something of a gray area between the regular- and post-season, but we’re still due for a Playoff Jimmy sighting. Butler is notorious for playing like an MVP candidate when the situation calls for it, and this is certainly one of those times.
And although there’s only so much merit in the whole “revenge game" narrative, Butler is one player it applies to. The former 76er has voiced his opinions about the team’s decisions to keep Tobias Harris instead of him, for example, so this looks like a prime spot for him to stuff the stat sheet.
Butler didn’t surpass this threshold often during the regular season, but in the 2023 playoffs, he recorded Over 35.5 points, assists, and rebounds in 13 out of 22 appearances. He’s still liable to hit it on points alone, too.
Look for a vintage performance from Butler and make this your NBA bet of the day.
Joel Embiid: Over 30.5 Points (+100) vs Heat
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Embiid still isn’t at 100% after returning from a two-month absence, but he doesn’t need to be to hit the Over on his scoring prop. The 30-year-old put up absurd numbers this year, averaging more points (34.7) than minutes (33.6) per game.
He only met this mark in two out of five games played since making his return, but he also saw fewer than 30 minutes in two of those, so it’s not like he was getting a normal workload. Embiid reassuringly scored 37 and 32 points, respectively, in his final two games of the regular season.
- Check out our Hawks vs Bulls props for more NBA Play-In betting tips.
On the season, Embiid scored 31-plus points in 28 out of 39 appearances, or 71.8% of the time. He only went for 29 against the Heat on April 4, but it’s fair to expect that he’ll play more minutes and take on an increased role in the Play-In matchup.
Take the Over at plus-money.
Heat vs 76ers Prop Bets
76ers: Over 106.5 Points (-115) vs Heat
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
The Sixers went on a roll to close out the regular season, averaging 119.3 points per game over their last eight. Accordingly, Philly was undefeated during that stretch, with Embiid appearing in five contests.
Before Embiid went down for two months, the 76ers were averaging 118.9 points per game. That was good for sixth in the NBA, so it’s clear that this team has the potential to be elite on offense when all of its players are available.
Miami will do its best to slow the Sixers — it allowed the third-fewest points per game this year — but this remains a relatively attainable mark. Even with a rusty, more limited Embiid, Philadelphia dropped 109 points on the Heat on April 4.
76ers: 1Q -1.5 (-105) vs Heat
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Embiid was far and away the NBA’s most dominant first-quarter scorer this season. The reigning MVP averaged 11.4 points in the opening frame, clearing second-ranked Luka Dončić (9.8) by more than a point and a half.
It should come as no surprise, then, that Philadelphia was one of the best first-quarter teams before Embiid went down — particularly at home. The Sixers had posted a +3.4 average scoring margin at Wells Fargo Center as of Jan. 31, which, at the time, was good for fifth in the NBA.
Miami has also been effective out of the gate, but not to the same extent. Its +0.2 margin on the road is good for 10th, but I question whether the Heat have the firepower to keep pace with Embiid and Co. from the jump.
