Formula 1 United States Grand Prix Predictions & Best Bets

Last Updated: Oct 18, 2023

Formula 1 returns to North America for the next two races with the first at the Circuit of the Americas in Austin, Texas for the United States Grand Prix.

The Driver and Constructor championships are locked up for Max Verstappen and Red Bull, respectively, so why consider wagering on the U.S.’s second race of the season?

Let’s go over what to consider for the United States GP.

F1 United States Grand Prix Odds

Formula 1 odds for the US Grand Prix are current as of Wednesday, October 18, at 12:45 p.m. ET and found at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Read more about our top F1 betting promos.

Here are the top favorites for the United States GP:

  • Max Verstappen (-450)
  • Oscar Piastri (+1200)
  • Lando Norris (+1200)
  • Sergio Pérez (+1600)
  • Lewis Hamilton (+2200)
  • George Russell (+2200)
  • Charles Leclerc (+2500)
  • Carlos Sainz (+2800)
  • Fernando Alonso (+8000)
  • All others (+40000) or worse

F1 United States Winner Prediction

Max Verstappen (-400)

Caesars Sportsbook

Verstappen is the two-time defending champion of the United States GP. As unsurprising as that is, what is surprising is Verstappen’s inability to win and lock down the fastest lap.

Beyond fastest lap, Red Bull has shown no signs of slowing down with Verstappen and should have another decisive win in Austin.

F1 United States Max Verstappen Tips

It is difficult to recommend putting any money on outright wins for the champ.

The best way to wager on Verstappen and Red Bull is to find bets that include Verstappen and another factor in the race. An example would be ‘Verstappen to win and Lewis Hamilton podium finish.’

You can also look at the sprint race happening on Saturday. The sprint will set the grid for Sunday’s race.

F1 United States Best Prop Bets

Sprint Race Fastest Lap: Max Verstappen (-190)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

Verstappen’s fastest lap drought could end during Sunday’s race, but if history has any say, the best bet for him to win fastest lap is during Saturday’s sprint. The Dutchman is likely to win pole position via sprint, and it would be his fourth straight sprint race win of the season.

Top 10 Driver: Alexander Albon (+165)

BetMGM Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

Albon got his first taste of the Circuit of the Americas in 2022 and finished 13th. Williams has put Albon in position to compete for points majority of weeks, resulting in points in six races. A top 10 finish Sunday would lock in Albon’s second two-race point streak of the season.

Podium Finish: Lewis Hamilton (+260)

FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

The winningest racer in F1 history has had a history of success in Austin, winning five of ten races in Austin. He has not won there since 2017, but he has back-to-back 2nd place finishes. His teammate George Russell is the defending fastest lap winner at Austin, while Hamilton won it in 2021.

Mercedes performs well at the United States GP and I want the best odds on a three-peat podium.


Jeff Hicks

Jeff is the Digital Content Coordinator at The Game Day. He has been covering sports in some fashion for a decade. He has been published on Yahoo Fantasy, 4for4, FantasyLabs, The Action Network, Bleacher Report, Daily Herald (IL), and numerous others. His first published piece was a poem in 8th grade, so naturally he progressed to sports writing.

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