World Series Game 4 Predictions

Matt WilliamsDigital Content Coordinator
Posted: Nov 2, 2022Last updated: Nov 3, 2022

The Philadelphia Phillies took a 2-1 series lead on Tuesday after defeating the Houston Astros 7-0 in Game 3 of the World Series. Philly tied a World Series record with five home runs to secure the win, with all five coming off Astros left-hander Lance McCullers Jr.

Game 4 will feature Phillies right-hander Aaron Nola taking on 25-year-old Cristian Javier.

Let’s look at current betting odds and determine the best bets and props for Game 4 between the Phillies and Astros.

Astros vs Phillies Game 3 Odds

After the Phillies’ victory on Tuesday, Game 4 is a near toss-up with Houston listed as a razor thing favorite on the road. The Over/Under is currently set at 7.5 runs.

For a full series breakdown, visit our World Series odds and predictions page.

Astros vs Phillies Game 4 Prediction

Astros 4, Phillies 3

The Astros will put their trust in right-hander Cristian Javier in what has become the most important game of the season for Houston. The 25-year-old has made just 45 starts at the major league level. However, the Dominican is well-equipped to deal with the situation.

Javier may lack overall experience in the postseason, by he did allow just one single over 5 1/3 innings in the ALCS versus the New York Yankees. Houston’s right-hander posted a 2.54 ERA this season with a 0.95 WHIP over 148 2/3 frames with a 13 K/9 during the playoffs.

The current Phillies lineup has little to no familiarity with Javier, with Brandon Marsh (4-for-7) being the only player to log over two at-bats versus the right-hander.

On the other side, Nola will get the ball for Philadelphia after allowing five runs over 4 1/3 innings to Houston in Game 1.

The 29-year-old will hope for better results this time out but will need to be extra careful pitching to gold glove winner Kyle Tucker. The outfielder blasted a pair of home runs off Nola in Game 1, going 3-for-5 with four RBI.

It’s difficult to imagine Nola turning in two poor performances in a row, but then again, the Astros have already proven they can get to the right-hander. Meanwhile, Javier has the advantage of pitching to a majority of the Phillies lineup for the first time.

This series has been difficult to predict so far, but I am going to pick Houston to tie the series up at two games a piece on Wednesday.

There may also be an opportunity to place a NRFI bet on Game 4 between the Astros and Phillies.

Astros vs Phillies Game 4 Best Bet

Astros Moneyline (-112) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Odds posted are as of Nov. 2 at 9 a.m. on FanDuel Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

As mentioned above, this series has been difficult to predict. However, Javier should have the advantage in Game 4 within most of the Phillies lineup unfamiliar with the right-hander.

I would not be surprised to see a strong bounce back from Nola, but after Game 1, the Astros have a fresh look at his repertoire.

Look for the Astros to tie the series at 2-2 in Game 4.

Astros vs Phillies Game 4 Props

Kyle Tucker: 2+ Total Bases (+110) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Odds posted are as of Nov. 2 at 9 a.m. on FanDuel Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Tucker was 3-for-5 with two home runs in Game 1 against Nola, so far be it for me to bet against the Astros’ star outfielder.

For a look at current betting for World Series MVP, take a look at our series MVP page.

World Series Props


Matt Williams

Matt Williams is a Digital Content Coordinator with The Game Day, formerly of The Athletic and NBC Sports. Matt is the former host of the Turn Two Podcast and champion of both Tout Wars and the Kings Classic fantasy expert leagues. He has been nominated for an FSWA award and is known for his analytical breakdown threads on Twitter.

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