World Series Game 3 Predictions

Last Updated: Jan 2, 2023

After the Houston Astros defeated the Philadelphia Phillies 5-2 on Saturday, tying the World Series up at one game a piece.

The Fall Classic will now shift to Philadelphia, where Game 3 will be played on Tuesday, Oct. 31, at Citizens Bank Park following a rain postponement on Monday.

The game will feature Phillies southpaw Ranger Suárez taking on Astros breaking ball specialist Lance McCullers Jr.

Let’s look at current betting odds and determine the best bets and props for Game 3 between the Phillies and Astros.

Astros vs Phillies Game 3 Odds

After winning Game 2, the Astros are listed as a modest favorite to win Game 3 with McCullers on the mound, with the Over/Under currently set at eight runs on FanDuel.

For a full series breakdown, visit our World Series odds and predictions page.

Astros vs Phillies Game 3 Prediction

Astros 4, Phillies 2

The Phillies will send Suárez to the mound for Game 3 instead of Noah Syndergaard due to Monday’s rainout. The left-hander carries a 1.86 ERA this postseason with 1.14 WHIP and has already tossed 2/3 scoreless frames in the series.

No Astros hitter has compiled more than three at-bats against the Philadelphia southpaw, but Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker are both 2-for-3 with some extra base damage against Suárez. It is a minuscule sample size, but still noteworthy.

On the other side, McCullers has a career 2.77 ERA in the postseason. At the same time, the current Phillies lineup is batting .214 against the 29-year-old with a less-than-impressive .576 OPS.

It should be noted that the Phillies have yet to lose a playoff game at home this year, but the Astros are an experienced team that is unlikely to be phased by the raucous crowd. Therefore, I expect Houston to take advantage of this hybrid bullpen game from Philadelphia and chip away on the scoreboard, leading to a Game 3 victory.

There may also be an opportunity to place a YRFI bet on Game 3 between the Astros and Phillies.

Astros vs Phillies Game 3 Best Bet

Astros Moneyline (-126) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Odds posted are as of Nov. 1 at 9 a.m. on FanDuel Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

I expect McCullers to give the Phillies more difficulty than Suárez will give the Astros lineup. In addition, The Philadelphia bullpen is due to fall apart at some point, where Houston holds a massive advantage.

Look for ther Astros to take a 2-1 lead in the series in Game 3.

Astros vs Phillies Game 3 Props

Yordan Alvarez: Hits Home Run (+390) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Odds posted are as of Nov. 1 at 9 a.m. on FanDuel Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Call this a hunch, but Alvarez is due for a monster World Series moment and his 2-for-3 track record with two doubles is encouraging. Meanwhile, the 25-year-old is bound to cash in on the Phillies bullpen at some point.

If you can find a reasonable Total Base wager (up to -115), that may be more prudent, but for the time being, I like Yordan to go yard in Game 3.

For a look at current betting for World Series MVP, take a look at our series MVP page.

World Series Props


Matt Williams

Matt Williams is the Lead MLB Editor for The Game Day, formerly of The Athletic and NBC Sports. Matt is the former host of the Turn Two Podcast and champion of both Tout Wars and the Kings Classic fantasy expert leagues. He has been nominated for an FSWA award and is known for his analytical breakdown threads on Twitter.

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