Best MLB Predictions For Friday 5/27/22

Last Friday we split our best bets, with one game getting rained out. Using tonight’s 14-game slate, we’ll look to start a winning streak with our best MLB bets today.

All MLB gameday odds are current as of Friday, May 27, at 10 a.m. ET from Caesars Sportsbook.

  • Mike Thomsen’s MLB Bets Betting Record: 4-10, -7 Units

MLB Best Bet Today

New York Mets Moneyline (-160)

Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets

WAGER: 1 Unit

We start with a fun NL East rivalry game between the Mets and Phillies at Citi Field tonight.


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Philadelphia is going the opener route with Bailey Falter, which gives New York the edge behind Carlos Carrasco. Carrasco’s been lights-out at home with a 2.16 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP this year.

Both offenses are strong, but the Mets have been more productive this year, averaging 0.3 more runs per game.

Accordingly, I like New York to take this one tonight in Queens as my MLB bet of the day.

moneyline

-160

Mets Defeat Phillies

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MLB Bet Today

UNDER 8 Total Runs (+100) 

Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins

WAGER: 1 Unit

The Royals have one of the worst offenses in baseball this year, ranking 25th in MLB with 3.7 runs per game. The Twins aren’t great, either, ranking just below the MLB average at 4.2 runs per game.

This game also features a pair of solid pitchers on the bump in Brad Keller and Bailey Ober. Keller has a 3.20 ERA with a 1.03 WHIP in eight starts this year, while Ober has a shiny 2.55 ERA in five outings.

I like the Under here, especially since Kansas City is still without Salvador Perez (thumb) and Minnesota is missing Jorge Polanco (ankle).

over-under

+100

Royals @ Twins: UNDER 8 Runs

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MLB Longshot Bet Today

Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline (+185)

Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres

WAGER: 1 Unit

Sean Manaea is off to a decent start with the Padres but has been surprisingly dreadful at Petco Park with a 5.51 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP in three home outings this year.

Meanwhile, Jose Quintana has emerged as Pittsburgh’s ace with a 2.43 ERA, a 3.29 FIP, and a 1.18 WHIP in eight starts this season.

The only thing that scares me about this bet is the fact that the Pirates average just 3.4 runs per game, which is third-worst in MLB. Even so, I’m still riding the Bucs here as my MLB longshot bet of the day.

moneyline

+185

Pirates Defeat Padres

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NBA Betting News

  • Warriors vs. Mavericks over/under listed at 215

    The over/under for tonight's matchup between the Golden State Warriors and the Dallas Mavericks is listed at 215.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 215. The over is 2-2 in this series.

  • Warriors -6.5 vs. Mavericks

    The Golden State Warriors are -6.5 for their matchup against the Dallas Mavericks, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The spread for this contest sits at -6.5, down from the -7.5 it opened at. 60 percent of the public action has come on the Warriors to cover.

  • Celtics vs. Heat over/under listed at 203.5

    The over/under for tonight's matchup between the Boston Celtics and the Miami Heat is listed at 203.5, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 203.5. 71 percent of the public action has come on the over.

  • Celtics -3.5 vs. Heat

    The Boston Celtics are -3.5 for their matchup against the Miami Heat, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The spread for this contest sits at -3.5, up from the -1 it opened at. 58 percent of the public action has come on the Heat to cover.

  • Mavericks +800 to win West

    The Dallas Mavericks are +800 to win the Western Conference, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Mavericks are +800 to win the West, a huge jump from the +360 they sat at prior to Game 3. Dallas was able to win Game 4 but is not expected to emerge from the West. No team has ever overcome a 3-0 series deficit to win a series in the NBA Playoffs.