Best MLB Predictions For Friday 5/27/22
Last Friday we split our best bets, with one game getting rained out. Using tonight’s 14-game slate, we’ll look to start a winning streak with our best MLB bets today.
All MLB gameday odds are current as of Friday, May 27, at 10 a.m. ET from Caesars Sportsbook.
- Mike Thomsen’s MLB Bets Betting Record: 4-10, -7 Units
MLB Best Bet Today
New York Mets Moneyline (-160)
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
WAGER: 1 Unit
We start with a fun NL East rivalry game between the Mets and Phillies at Citi Field tonight.
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First Bet Insurance
Philadelphia is going the opener route with Bailey Falter, which gives New York the edge behind Carlos Carrasco. Carrasco’s been lights-out at home with a 2.16 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP this year.
Both offenses are strong, but the Mets have been more productive this year, averaging 0.3 more runs per game.
Accordingly, I like New York to take this one tonight in Queens as my MLB bet of the day.
moneyline
-160
Mets Defeat Phillies
Bet $20, Payout $33
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MLB Bet Today
UNDER 8 Total Runs (+100)
Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Royals have one of the worst offenses in baseball this year, ranking 25th in MLB with 3.7 runs per game. The Twins aren’t great, either, ranking just below the MLB average at 4.2 runs per game.
This game also features a pair of solid pitchers on the bump in Brad Keller and Bailey Ober. Keller has a 3.20 ERA with a 1.03 WHIP in eight starts this year, while Ober has a shiny 2.55 ERA in five outings.
I like the Under here, especially since Kansas City is still without Salvador Perez (thumb) and Minnesota is missing Jorge Polanco (ankle).
over-under
+100
Royals @ Twins: UNDER 8 Runs
Bet $20, Payout $40
MLB Longshot Bet Today
Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline (+185)
Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres
WAGER: 1 Unit
Sean Manaea is off to a decent start with the Padres but has been surprisingly dreadful at Petco Park with a 5.51 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP in three home outings this year.
Meanwhile, Jose Quintana has emerged as Pittsburgh’s ace with a 2.43 ERA, a 3.29 FIP, and a 1.18 WHIP in eight starts this season.
The only thing that scares me about this bet is the fact that the Pirates average just 3.4 runs per game, which is third-worst in MLB. Even so, I’m still riding the Bucs here as my MLB longshot bet of the day.
moneyline
+185
Pirates Defeat Padres
Bet $20, Payout $57