France vs Poland World Cup Predictions

Last Updated: Dec 2, 2022

The defending World Cup champions have bucked the trend of defending champions failing to qualify out of the group stage. France, even without Karim Benzema, Paul Pogba, and N’Golo Kanté finished at the top of Group D.

Poland was able to contain Argentina to only two goals, which put them over Mexico in the group in goal differential, securing their place in the Round of 16 for the first time since 1986.

Let’s dive in on the odds and best bets for this European showdown between France and Poland in the Round of 16.

France vs Poland Odds

  • 3-way handicap: France (-390) | Draw (+430) | Poland (+1200)
  • Draw No Bet: France (-1400) | Poland (+700)
  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (-125) | Under 2.5 (-105)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (+145) | No (-185)

France vs Poland odds are current as of 11 a.m. ET on Friday, Dec 2, at Caesars Sportsbook.

Oddsmakers are expecting France to move on to the quarterfinals in regulation and to hold a clean sheet. They are favored -390 on the moneyline and both teams to not score is juiced to -185.

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France vs Poland Prediction

France 3-0 Poland

Even without Benzema, the French attack has been relentless at this World Cup. They scored four goals against Australia and then two against a stout Danish defense.

They failed to score against Tunisia but rotated their lineup with a majority of their starters on the bench.

Poland struggled defensively against Argentina, allowing 12 shots on target, and could find themselves in a similar position in this match.

France vs Poland Betting Tips

The last time the two nations played in the World Cup was in 1982 when Poland defeated France 3-2 in the third-place match but the Poles have failed to beat Les Bleus in the last seven meetings against them.

Robert Lewandowski finally scored at the World Cup in their 2-0 victory over Saudi Arabia but the Poles failed to score in their other two games during the group stage. Lewandowski gets all the hype for this team but the star of the tournament for them has been goalkeeper Wojciech Szczęsny who has tallied 18 saves in three matches to lead all goalies.

He will most likely be busy in net yet again against France.

Back the French to advance to the Quarterfinals easily as they look to become the first back-to-back World Cup champions since Brazil in 1962.

France vs Poland Best Bets

France Spread -1.5 (-120) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

With France dominating the possession in this match, it’s tough to see Poland create any quality goal-scoring opportunities. Even if Poland nets a goal, the French offense is too prolific for Poland to contain. Back Les Bleus to win this match by at least two goals.


Ani Sridhar

Ani Sridhar is an NBA and soccer betting analyst at The Gameday as well as a producer at SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio. Residing in NY, but originally from Washington D.C and a University of Maryland alum, Ani is a long-time (and occasionally suffering) fan of all the Washington sports teams. He loves TV and movies, so just holler if you ever need someone to join your bar trivia team.

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