Leon vs Toluca Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Last Updated: Jul 13, 2022

This Liga MX de Clausura season is drawing to a close and Leon (5W-6L-5D; 20 points), qualifying for the next phase of the competition at the present moment, will host Toluca (5W-8L-3D; 18 points), who are in 13th place of the league. The action kicks off at Estadio Leon on Sunday at 8:06 pm CT. Now going into their last Liga MX de Clausura matchup of the season, the Green Bellies will attempt to end their campaign with a victory as they clash with Red Devils in front of their own fans at home.

Leon and Toluca’s most recent encounter occurred in October 31, 2021 with the match resulted in a 0-0 stalemate between the two. The Wild Beast have a record of 5-2-3 in their last 10 matches against Red Devils. The Wild Beast’s total goals across these head-to-head games is 21 compared to Red Devils’ 13.

Leon vs Toluca Prediction

WynnBET have the Toluca as +460 outsiders heading into this match while the Leon are strong favorites at odds of -107. A total of 2 goals are predicted.

Leon enters into this game qualifying for the next stage of the competition at the present moment with a record of five wins, six losses and five draws over 16 games. The club has experienced some painful losses and thrilling wins recently and have netted a total of 13 so far. This has mostly been because of the agility exhibited by Victor Davila, who has four goals, and Angel Mena who has three. The squad has conceded 18. In their penultimate game of the season, the Wild Beast dropped points against Santos Laguna.

Toluca step into this game in 13th place of the league having secured five wins, eight losses and three draws in their previous 16 matches. The team has had a varying degree of victories and failures lately and have scored a total of 17 so far, conceding 32 goals. This has principally been due to the vigor demonstrated by Leonardo Fernandez, who has five goals, and Camilo Da Silva who has three. In their most recent match, Red Devils fell to Atlas 2-4.

The latest squad news is that Leon have not ruled out any players. Toluca have not ruled out any players.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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Read Chris Wassel’s Caesars Sportsbook review for more insight and get your welcome bonus below, or continue reading our analysis.

Moneyline Pick: Leon (-170) at WynnBET

The Green Bellies are considered to be the favorite according to the market. The team could be experiencing a more fruitful month, coming into this matchup with a recent win percentage that’s been very low. The same we can say about Red Devils, whose win percentage was really low this month too.

Leon vs Toluca Betting Odds

Moneyline: Leon (-170), Toluca (+460)

Spread: Leon -1 (-102), Toluca +1.00 (-118)

Over/Under: Under 2.5 Goals (+107), Over 2.5 Goals (-139)

You can find the best betting odds with our lines comparison feature.

Leon vs Toluca Betting Trends

  • Win-Loss Record (Last 10): Leon 3-4, Toluca 2-6
  • Home/Road Split: Leon (5-6-5), Toluca (5-8-3)
  • Head-To-Head: Leon’s record is 5-2-3 in their last 10 matches against the Toluca
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.5 Total Goals (+107) at Unibet

Heading into this clash, the Wild Beast have recorded an average of 1.0 goals per game so far this month while in comparison Red Devils have scored an average of 1.5 goals per game so far this month.

Spread Pick: Leon -1 Goal (-102) at FanDuel

For the bet to be a winner, Leon must win by the amount of the spread or more.


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