Premier League Best Bets Matchweek 30

Last Updated: Apr 5, 2023

The Premier League is entering the home stretch as we enter Matchweek 30 of its 38-game season.

We have several intriguing matchups with implications at the bottom and top of the table.

Tottenham and Brighton square off in a battle for the Top 4, while Manchester United and Newcastle try to keep pace in their own matches against Everton and Brentford.

However, the match of the week is likely to be on Sunday when Arsenal travel to Anfield to take on Liverpool.

Let’s dig into the EPL fixtures for Matchweek 30 and determine our best bets.

Premier League Matchweek 30 Predictions

Premier League Odds used below are current as of Wednesday, April 5, at 12 p.m. ET, and courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook.

Check out the latest soccer futures with our odds comparison tool.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Best Bet

Aston Villa Cover -1 (+165) | BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Forest are winless in their last eight, including five defeats. During that time, Nottingham’s opponents have outscored them 17-7.

In addition, Forest have secured just one victory on the road this season, with three draws and 10 defeats. This has resulted in a goal differential of -29, which is good enough for last in the Premier League.

Meanwhile, Aston Villa have won five of their previous six matches, keeping a clean sheet in four of those victories.

I expect a reasonably one-sided match with the Villans playing in top form.

Fulham vs West Ham Best Bet

Fulham Wins (+225) | BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Ham vs Ham!

Fulham enters Saturday, having lost four matches in a row. However, three of the four have been on the road, with the remaining one being a 0-3 defeat at the hands of Arsenal.

The Cottagers stand a fair chance to right the ship against West Ham, who carry a -13 goal differential on the road compared to +1 at home.

Most sportsbooks have this as a dead-even contest, but Fulham should be given the benefit of the doubt at Craven Cottage, even without their star striker Aleksandar Mitrović.

Southampton vs Manchester City Best Bet

Over 2.5 Goals & Manchester City Wins (-130) | BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Erling Haaland is back on the pitch for City, who defeated Southampton 4-0 back in October. Haaland, Riyad Mahrez, Phil Foden, and João Cancelo found the back of the net during that match.

It should be noted that the Saints did pull off a 2-0 upset victory over Manchester City during the EFL Cup quarterfinal, a match in which Haaland did not start. However, I doubt we will see that kind of surprise occur on Saturday as the Sky Blues try to claw their way toward the top of the table.

City are 8-3-3 on the road this season with a +12 goal differential, while Southampton carry a league-worst 2-4-8 home record (-10 goal differential).

Premier League Matchweek 30 Parlay

  • Man City Cover -2 (at Southampton)
  • Aston Villa Wins (vs Forest)
  • Chelsea Wins (at Wolverhampton)

(+821) | BetMGM Sportsbook

Premier League Matchweek 30 Parlay

As mentioned above, I expect an easy victory for Aston Villa against Southampton, so we will throw that into our parlay.

In addition, I feel confident in City walking away with three points against Southampton. However, there is little value in the moneyline, so we will take -2 to increase our payout.

Finally, Frank Lampard is set to take over as the Chelsea manager, and the “new gaffer" boost is real. Look for the Blues to turn in a strong performance against Wolves this weekend.

Premier League Matchweek 30 Fixtures

Saturday, April 8

  • Manchester United vs Everton
  • Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
  • Brentford vs Newcastle
  • Fulham vs West Ham
  • Wolverhampton vs Chelsea
  • Tottenham vs Brighton
  • Leicester City vs Bournemouth
  • Southampton vs Manchester City

Sunday, April 9

  • Leeds United vs Crystal Palace
  • Liverpool vs Arsenal


Matt Williams

Matt Williams is the Lead MLB Editor for The Game Day, formerly of The Athletic and NBC Sports. Matt is the former host of the Turn Two Podcast and champion of both Tout Wars and the Kings Classic fantasy expert leagues. He has been nominated for an FSWA award and is known for his analytical breakdown threads on Twitter.

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