Manchester City vs Newcastle Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Last Updated: Jul 13, 2022

It’s a 4:30 pm BST kick-off on Sunday at Etihad Stadium as Manchester City, currently in a Champions League position (26-3-5; 83 points), host Newcastle, currently in 10th place in the league (11-14-10; 43 points). MCFC, who have won in 16 of the last twenty matches, will have the home advantage for this clash.

Manchester City and Newcastle’s most recent encounter occurred in December 19, 2021 with the match resulting in a 0-4 win for The Magpies. Citizens have a record of 5-4-1 in their last 10 matches against Newcastle. Citizens have outscored Magpies across these head-to-head matches, scoring 26 goals to their nine.

Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction

The bookmakers are in no doubt about who will win this game. FanDuel have the Manchester City as big favorites with odds of -700, while the Newcastle are +1600. 4 total goals are predicted.

With a record of 26 wins, three losses and five draws after 34 games Current title holder, Manchester City step into this clash in 1st place in the league. The team has had 16 wins in the last twenty matches, scoring a total of 84 goals so far while conceding 21. This has likely been thanks to the actions of Gabriel Jesus, who has six goals, and Kevin De Bruyne who has five. In their most recent game they lost to Leeds 0-4.

Newcastle come into this game in 10th place in the league having secured 11 wins, 14 losses and 10 draws in their previous 35 matches. The squad has won in 10 of the latest fifteen matches and have scored a total of 40 so far, conceding 56 goals. This has largely been because of performances from Bruno Guimaraes, who has four goals, and Joelinton who has three. In their most recent match, Magpies suffered a defeat at the hands of Liverpool 0-1.

The latest squad news is that Manchester City will be without Kyle Walker and John Stones. Newcastle will be without Fabian Schar, Jamal Lewis, Isaac Hayden, Kieran Trippier and Ryan Fraser.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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Read Chris Wassel’s Caesars Sportsbook review for more insight and get your welcome bonus below, or continue reading our analysis.

Moneyline Pick: Manchester City (-700) at FanDuel

MCFC are considered to be the favorite according to the market. The club will start the month by putting their best foot forward with a recent win percentage not working. In contrast Magpies have a win percentage not working.

Manchester City vs Newcastle Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Manchester City (-700), Newcastle (+1600)
  • Spread: Manchester City -2.5 (+123), Newcastle 2.5 (-158)
  • Over/Under: Under 3.5 Goals (-148), Over 3.5 Goals (+123)

You can find the best betting odds with our lines comparison feature.

Manchester City vs Newcastle Betting Trends

  • Win-Loss record last 10 games: Manchester City 6-0-4, Newcastle 5-4-1
  • Home/Road Splits: Manchester City (26-3-5), Newcastle (11-14-10)
  • Head-To-Head: Manchester City’s record is 5-4-1 in their last 5 matches against the Newcastle
  • Type of Match: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 3.5 Total Goals (-148) at DraftKings

Citizens averaged 1.5 goals per game last month. By comparison, Magpies recorded an average of 1.0 goals per game last month.

Spread Pick: Manchester City -2.5 Goals (+123) at Unibet

For the bet to be a winner, Manchester City must win by the amount of the spread or more.


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