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Chelsea vs Watford Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Posted: May 24, 2022Last updated: Jul 13, 2022

This Premier League season is drawing to a close and Chelsea (20W-6L-11D; 71 points), in a Champions League position, will host Watford (6W-26L-5D; 23 points), who are facing the real threat of relegation. The action gets underway at Stamford Bridge on Sunday at 4:00 pm BST. Now going into their last Premier League match of the season, Hornets will attempt to end their campaign on a high note as they clash with Blues on the road.

Chelsea and Watford played versus each other in the first half of the season on December 1, 2021 and that match ended in a 1-2 win for the Hornets. Chelsea has a recent 5-4-1 record against Watford. Blues have scored 23 goals across these head-to-head matches compared to Golden Boys’ 13.

Chelsea vs Watford Prediction

FanDuel have the Watford as +1700 outsiders heading into this match while the Chelsea are strong favorites at odds of -700. A total of 4 goals are predicted.

Chelsea head into this game in a Champions League position having a record of 20 wins, six losses and 11 draws in 37 matches. The squad has won in seven of the latest ten matches. In total, they’ve scored 74 goals. This has mostly been thanks, in large part, to the efforts by Kai Havertz, who has five goals, and Timo Werner who has three. They’ve conceded 32. In their last match of the season, The Blues tied with Manchester United.

Watford enter into this game facing the real threat of being relegated having secured six wins, 26 losses and five draws in their previous 37 matches. The squad has had 12 losses in the most recent sixteen matches and have bagged a total of 33 so far, conceding 75 goals. This has generally been because of the ambition exemplified by Cucho Hernandez, who has four goals, and Joao Pedro who has two. In their last match, Yellow Army suffered a defeat at the hands of Leicester City 1-5.

The latest squad news is that Chelsea will be without Mateo Kovacic, Timo Werner, Callum Hudson-Odoi and Ben Chilwell. Watford will be missing Imran Louza, Joshua King, Kiko Femenia, Ismaila Sarr, Emmanuel Dennis, Cucho Hernandez and Juraj Kucka.

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Moneyline Pick: Chelsea (-700) at FanDuel

Blues are considered to be the favorite according to the market. The club could be experiencing a more fruitful month, coming into this match with a recent win percentage that’s been very paltry. In contrast Hornets have a win percentage of 10% in their last 10 games (one win, seven losses and two draws).

Chelsea vs Watford Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Chelsea (-700), Watford (+1700)
  • Spread: Chelsea -2.5 (+122), Watford 2.5 (-156)
  • Over/Under: Under 3.5 Goals (-145), Over 3.5 Goals (+105)

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Chelsea vs Watford Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Chelsea 3-3-4, Watford 1-7-2
  • Home/Road Split: Chelsea (20-6-11), Watford (6-26-5)
  • Head-To-Head: Chelsea’s record is 5-4-1 in their last 20 matches against the Watford
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 3.5 Total Goals (-145) at BetMGM

Heading into this clash, Blues have recorded an average of 2.1 goals per game so far this month while in comparison Golden Boys have averaged 1.5 goals per game over their last 10 matches.

Spread Pick: Chelsea -2.5 Goals (+122) at Betway

The selected team must win by the amount of the spread or more in order for the bet to be a winner.

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