Tottenham vs Burnley Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Last Updated: Jul 13, 2022

It’s a 12:00 pm BST kick-off at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday as Tottenham (19-11-5; 62 points), currently in a Europa League position, welcome Burnley (7-15-13; 34 points), who are looking at the real threat of relegation. Spurs, may have had eight wins in the most recent thirteen matches, but this battle sees them playing in front of their own supporters.

Tottenham and Burnley’s most recent encounter occurred in February 23, 2022 with the match ending in a 1-0 win for The Lilywhites. Hotspur have a record of 5-3-2 in their last 10 matches against Burnley. Hotspur have scored 18 goals across these head-to-head matches compared to Clarets’ five.

Tottenham vs Burnley Prediction

The bookmakers are in no doubt about who will win this game. FanDuel have the Tottenham as big favorites with odds of -270, while the Burnley are +800. 2 total goals are predicted.

With a record of 19 wins, 11 losses and five draws after 35 games, Tottenham head into this game in a Europa League position. The team has had eight wins in the last thirteen matches, netting a total of 60 goals so far while conceding 40. This has largely been because of performances from Heung Min Son, who has 12 goals, and Harry Kane who has nine. In their most recent match, The Lilywhites drew against Liverpool 1-1.

Burnley enter into this game facing the real threat of being relegated having secured seven wins, 15 losses and 13 draws in their previous 35 matches. The squad has had some painful losses and thrilling wins recently and have scored a total of 32 so far, conceding 49 goals. This has generally been because of the expertise exemplified by Josh Brownhill, who has two goals, and Wout Weghorst who has two. In their most recent match, Clarets fell to Aston Villa 1-3.

The latest squad news is that Tottenham will be missing Matt Doherty, Sergio Reguilon, Japhet Tanganga and Oliver Skipp. Burnley will be without Ben Mee, Johann Gudmundsson and Ashley Westwood.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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Moneyline Pick: Tottenham (-270) at FanDuel

Spurs are considered to be the favorite according to the market. The squad has been benefitting from an effective beginning to the month with a recent win percentage of 60% in their last 10 games (six wins, two losses and two draws). In contrast Clarets have a win percentage of 40% in their last 10 games (four wins, four losses and two draws).

Tottenham vs Burnley Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Tottenham (-270), Burnley (+800)
  • Spread: Tottenham -1.5 (-105), Burnley 1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: Under 2.5 Goals (+143), Over 2.5 Goals (-175)

Check out all the best betting odds with our lines comparison feature.

Tottenham vs Burnley Betting Trends

  • Win-Loss record last 10 games: Tottenham 6-2-2, Burnley 4-4-2
  • Home/Road Splits: Tottenham (19-11-5), Burnley (7-15-13)
  • Head-To-Head: Tottenham’s record is 5-3-2 in their last 10 matches against the Burnley
  • Type of Match: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.5 Total Goals (+143) at FOX Bet

Hotspur have scored an average of 1.3 goals per game over their last 10 matches. Clarets have averaged 1.0 goals per game over their last 10 matches in comparison.

Spread Pick: Tottenham -1.5 Goals (-105) at Betfred

For the bet to be a winner, Tottenham must win by the amount of the spread or more.


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