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Burnley vs Newcastle Predictions & Best Bets | Picking Against the Spread

Last Updated: Jul 13, 2022

This Premier League season is drawing to a close and Burnley (7W-16L-14D; 35 points), in 17th place in the league, will host Newcastle (12W-15L-10D; 46 points), who are in 12th place in the league. The match takes place at 4:00 pm BST on Sunday at Turf Moor. Clarets will attempt to wrap up their campaign successfully as they clash with Magpies from home in this end of season Premier League match.

Burnley and Newcastle played versus each other in the first half of the season on December 4, 2021 and that match ended in a 1-0 win for the Clarets. Burnley has a recent 5-2-3 record against Newcastle. Clarets have outscored Magpies across these head-to-head matches, scoring six goals to their 11.

Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction

The bookmakers are in no doubt about who will win this game. FanDuel have the Burnley as big favorites with odds of +220, while the Newcastle are +125. 2 total goals are predicted.

With a record of seven wins, 16 losses and 14 draws after 37 games, Burnley step into this clash in 17th place in the league. The team has had seven losses in the latest twelve matches, scoring a total of 33 goals so far while conceding 51. This has likely been due to the actions undertaken by Josh Brownhill, who has two goals, and Wout Weghorst who has two. In their most recent match, The Clarets beat Tottenham 1-0.

Newcastle heads into this match with 46 points. They are in 12th place in the league and their record right now has seen them pick up 12 wins, 15 losses and 10 draws over the course of 37 matches. The team has won in 11 of the latest seventeen matches and they have netted a total of 42 goals so far, conceding 61. Their top players Bruno Guimaraes and Joelinton have scored five and three respectively. In their last match on Monday, Magpies defeated Arsenal 2-0.

The latest squad news is that Burnley will be missing Ben Mee, Johann Gudmundsson, Ashley Westwood, Erik Pieters and Matej Vydra. Newcastle will be missing Jonjo Shelvey, Jamal Lewis, Isaac Hayden and Joseph Willock.

Sportsbook Play of the Day

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Moneyline Pick: Newcastle (+125) at FanDuel

Clarets are the favorite team according to the betting market. The club comes into this matchup with a recent win percentage of 40% in their last 10 games (four wins, four losses and two draws). In contrast, Magpies have a win percentage of 50% in their last 10 games (five wins, four losses and one draw).

Burnley vs Newcastle Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle (+220), Burnley (+125)
  • Spread: Burnley -0.5 (+118), Newcastle 0.5 (-151)
  • Over/Under: Under 2.5 Goals (-120), Over 2.5 Goals (-115)

Check out all the best betting odds with our lines comparison feature.

Burnley vs Newcastle Betting Trends

  • Record last 10 games: Burnley 4-4-2, Newcastle 5-4-1
  • Home/Road Split: Burnley (7-16-14), Newcastle (12-15-10)
  • Head-To-Head: Burnley’s record is 5-2-3 in their last 12 matches against the Newcastle
  • Match Type: League

Over/Under Pick: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-120) at BetMGM

Clarets have averaged 1.1 goals per game over their last 10 matches. Magpies have recorded an average of 0.6 goals per game over their last 10 matches in comparison.

Spread Pick: Burnley -0.5 Goals (+118) at Unibet

The selected team will need to win by the amount of the spread or more in order for the bet to win.

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